WW16: The Outlaws and The Olives

[Rowain]

Thirdly, if I were a wolf and there were 6 or 7 of us, I would have immediately put one wolf voting on Thestick. The reason being, he could either do a late jump for extra saving effort, or stay there if the situation was lost and gain some cover. I guess Bigger and Merovech are the ones fitting this bill, but Bigger is unlikely to be wolf IMO due to the late swing of votes on him.

Merovech did a last minuteswitch (well 10 minutes before) to Bigger to 'press him'.
OTOH the wolves did have a great opening to pile on Bigger instead of Mattimeo when (5 hours before lynch) Lewwyn switched to Bigger making it 4:3 (thestick:Bigger) with everybody else only having 2 votes.

Instead they used the opening Serdoa gave them with thispost:

thestick
I'd rather lynch Mattimeo tbh, but I don't expect to get much help with that, so back to thestick.

which was followed by:

I'd vote Matt over thestick, I really didn't like his post where he voted tasunke either.

and

I'll vote Mattimeo. I would like him to explain his reasoning with his change of heart.

and

I could get behind a Mattimeo lynch. I agree w/ Uberfish and Mattimeo's original observation (I think it was Uber, might be Novice, net too flaky to check) that Tasunke claiming Vanilla Villager isn't an observation that slides the probability distribution at all.

Then Serdoa switches back and TT jumps on the waggon too (+uberfish) pushing Mattimeo in the lead.

After the claim people choose different targets with 2 exceptions: Both pindicator and TT go to unvote.
Only after thestick gained alot of votes we get a gem from pindictor defending uberfish and voting thestick (at that time it doesn't matter as thestick has a comfortable lead.

Uberfish has read like someone who is genuinely busy IRL. His misunderstanding a lot of posts that are directed at him look like someone who is trying to keep up by skimming since they don't have a lot of time, and he's missing because of that.

I think a wolf would try to be a little more careful, so I'm leaning village for uberfish. I'll have a better read after day 2, i think.
thestick's silence is the most suspicious thing i can spot right now. Why the disappearance?

Also at this time TT decides that thestick is scummy. 20 mins before lynch the stick leads 11:5 vs Bigger.

After Catwalk left Bigger (making it 11:4) Sareln moves to Bigger and Merovech moves from thestick to Bigger with an absolute ridicolous claim (putting pressure 10 minutes before lynch ) And now with 10:6 pindicator decides to switch to Merovech (leaving thestick) bringing Bigger another step closer to the gallow (9:6). uberfishs vote and catwalks return brings us the final result (9:8).