WW16: The Outlaws and The Olives

[waterbat]

Did you even read my posts?

I didn't say your reasoning/motivation for claiming was missing. i said i didnt understand it.


Complete random chances of hitting a mafia now (assuming 4 left):

4/16

assuming you aren't a unanimous lynch, you might get better odds - maybe 3 mafia on your lynch count of 8 ?

in 2 days if we've mislynched both days and you are on the block for the third:

4/12 now 3/6 or so if you go for one of your lynchers randomly.

of course, these odds get even more drastically better when you put some reason into your targets instead of randomly picking them.