WW16: The Outlaws and The Olives

[pindicator]

This was an error by the scum team. TT was not going to change his mind on me. If we get lucky and hit wolf today, I'm actually hopeful we could still win! With TT there was no chance!

I'm re-energized by that kill. With TT alive, there was no point in participating much. Don't have a red oculus amount of time over the next 48, but I'll burn the night oil if needed.

You realize night-killing TT is also the only path you have to victory as a solo scum, right? Waterbat, if you are village, you needed to be burning the night oil regardless of who died tonight. Because right now you make the most sense as scum

But let's pretend you aren't for a second:

I'm pretty certain about Catwalk's innocence, mostly from earlier play. Lewwyn was pushing him from day 2 until day 4, and it wasn't until mattimeo flipped scum that Lewwyn (and everyone else) let off. And I think it's more likelier that Lewwyn was protecting his scum-buddy mattimeo than running some tricky circle-blame scheme, especially since the other wolves we've hung attacked Catwalk day 2. Additional point: Catwalk's insistence on pushing Azza despite being called out for having blinders on. The natural reaction for wolves is to hedge, because they know their target is innocent. But Catwalk pushed straight through up until azza was lynched. So I believe Catwalk is innocent.

Gaspar & Meiz for the win in this case. Either they're a pair or the wolf is a solo among them.

Now, back to you being guilty. Who's your partner?

It's not Catwalk for the same reasons I put above. I also cannot see it being Meiz, because Meiz has been hounding you since day 7 or 8. He's voted for you even when it meant putting himself in harm's way. So Gaspar would have to be your buddy in this case


So I think it's either Gaspar & Meiz, or Gaspar & Waterbat.


But there's another possibility: only one scum left. Again, I'm more sure of Catwalk's innocence than anybody else's. So I'm left between waterbat, Gaspar, & Meiz for the final out. Need to find the surest thing of a villager out of these 3 because there being 1 scum left would also mean we have a mislynch left

The TT kill does make me think it's more likely that there is 1 scum, and it does seem to indicate more towards waterbat being solo scum. Waterbat as scum has to night-kill TT or keep him to the end, and TT wasn't going to let waterbat survive all the way to the end. If waterbat was innocent, wolves would want to keep TT alive - that would be another mislynch for them and TT had already proven to be a willing cheerleader.


Going to re-read the last few days. Until then, waterbat and pindicator

@gaspar - why no votes?