WW16: The Outlaws and The Olives

[waterbat]

Catwalk, I think it's too easy to come up with a scenario for each successful vote *could* be bussing. If you haven't the time, look at current events. If my interaction with TT doesn't scream village to you, something is wrong. I laid out a path for scum victory and they took a more impatient path. We can't be wrong again. They want to win now.

I spent a good portion on the night phase guessing at who would die.

TT - no chance as outlined above. I did not anticipate the 1-wolf frame job, but I should have, given that I railed again the jkaen-waterbat pairing and the 1-will theory earlier.

Catwalk - good chance as he's considered by most to be villager.

Pindicator / Gaspar. Certainly, one of these would die. The scum would want these guys off the case. But the impatient path, it makes a lot of sense to leave pindicator alive ( if village ). He's been pushing for me - scum want to win now. You could make same case for Gaspar, but he's been much more hedgy about it.

Me - no chance.

Meiz - wasn't sure. In other games he's been an early night target due to strength of play. What have we got from him this game?

-- the other reason I was hoping for a pindicator / Gaspar death was that it would clear up much for me. One of them ( at least ) must be wolf.

I now know that there were at least 1 scum vote on lewwyn. We thought the presence of scum votes there would only make sense if Meiz was also scum.

I didn't want to lay out my candidates too early - as my reasoning will certainly be assailed, but the last 2 wolves are Gaspar and Meiz. I guess that's why I was appealing to you pindicator, I had come to that conclusion after jkaen flipped. I was really hoping you'd die to cement it.

Gaspar.

And since I'm handing the game to you if you do happen to be scum, pindicator