WW16: The Outlaws and The Olives

[Catwalk]

Catwalk - please explain your thinking in full.

If we agree to lynch Gaspar and he turns village, then what?

I outlined my suspicions of Gaspar earlier. To add to that: Gaspar seems much more guarded and precise with his posts than waterbat. I'm willing to accept waterbat's argument that villagers tend to ramble more, at least that holds true for myself. I tend to not filter my posts much, just say what comes to mind. I think wolves tend to be much more careful with what they say, as their objective is not being caught as opposed to discovering people's alignments.

It's mostly gut feel. I think both are scummy, but I'm more comfortable with Gaspar hanging. If he flips village and we're alive tomorrow, that means we're very lucky as I think it's highly likely there are two wolves left. If there's only a single wolf left and Gaspar is not it, my bet would most likely be waterbat tomorrow.

One thing just occurred to me, maybe my reasoning is wrong but hear me out:
If there are two wolves left and I'm villager, that logically means we're about to hang a villager unless waterbat is wolf and there's currently another wolf on him. If you believe my innocence is likely, it only makes sense to hang waterbat if you believe another wolf is still on him with 1h15m left. I'm not ruling out that possibility, but I don't consider it likely. I still think Gaspar is the better choice today and urge you and Meiz to switch votes. Both are scummy, but I can more easily see waterbat being a misguided and hyperactive villager than Gaspar being this disengaged and under the radar. Yes, I still think that you've mostly avoided suspicion.

Also, just found another scumtell on Gaspar. When I argued that he'd received very little suspicion all game (never been a serious lynch candidate), he counters with this:

Disagree I've received little suspicion, I've never been so close to being mislynched. I think I've gotten votes almost every day and I was a crusade target at varying points for Injera, Ichabod and novice. They all eventually backed off but particularly the day novice was heavy on me I thought I was toast.

Funny coincidence that he points to 3 villagers who were crusading him? That does absolutely nothing to disprove my point! I wasn't arguing that noone suspected him, I was arguing that he was receiving little suspicion. And from what I can tell, a tiny amount of the suspicion he received was from scum.