(October 23rd, 2012, 14:56)Catwalk Wrote: One thing just occurred to me, maybe my reasoning is wrong but hear me out:I've been thinking this, but here's the thing. Wolf could push a fellow wolf all day, but as long as there would be villager with one vote less, it would take 1 second switch in the end to seal the deal. Worst case scenario and wolf dies, another wolf still gains cover for it. I think both Pind and Gaspar could be potential partners with wb. But at this point I feel like I haven't seen enough incriminating evidence from Gaspar to put him over wb, and I really think he's the best bet today. Every time wb has been on block, he is on survival mode and I always get a feeling he doesn't look for the most wolfish player, just anyone but himself. He even bargained you earlier with promises for infinite vote on Azza, if you would not vote for him, http://realmsbeyond.net/forums/showthrea...#pid299863 . It makes most sense as a villager to find the scummiest player and convince others of their guilt, not play just to survive and vote anyone who's running for second. He now finally makes a case for Gaspar, after being prodded several times. But I have to wonder what the day would be if you'd picked me as your target today, Catwalk. Why do I think wb's vote would be against me at the moment?
If there are two wolves left and I'm villager, that logically means we're about to hang a villager unless waterbat is wolf and there's currently another wolf on him. If you believe my innocence is likely, it only makes sense to hang waterbat if you believe another wolf is still on him with 1h15m left. I'm not ruling out that possibility, but I don't consider it likely.
I will vote Gaspar in the end if it stays this way, but I have a strong preference at hanging wb today...
//crossposted. Well, I gues it's set then...