Mattimeo, could you spell out what's so terrible about PB's assumptions?
I'm trying to decide if I can trust Lewwyn. If he's innocent, then the following pair of quotes is kind of interesting.
If you're a scum pair, and two villagers independently peg both of you as scum on day 1, would you kill one of them? I sure would. And if you did, what would be the one line of investigation that you really feared on day 2? And how might you go about defusing that threat? Ok, that's a lot of rhetorical questions, but I think you see what I'm getting at. Gaspar's approach of basing his whole day 2 scumhunting on speculating about the night kill looks odd to begin with, but maybe it was deliberately designed to be shot down, just to close down that whole line of inquiry as inherently flawed. I know I've done similar things as scum on many occasions, for example by deliberately making a weak argument against my scum buddy, hoping it will be shot down.
Of course, I'm not entirely sure that Lewwyn is innocent here, but I like much of what I've seen so far. And to his credit, he didn't try leaning on dead man Serdoa's opinions in this matter, even if he easily could have.
FYI - this may be my last chance to post until an hour or so before the deadline. My vote is still on Gaspar.
I am buzzing with anticipation!
I'm trying to decide if I can trust Lewwyn. If he's innocent, then the following pair of quotes is kind of interesting.
(April 27th, 2013, 01:16)Lewwyn Wrote: Gaspar voted for Uberfish and I think his reason is bad. He hopped off Bigger, but I don't know why. Bigger didn't really write anything convincing. And now Bigger has hopped off Gaspar in different direction.
Computation says Gaspar and Bigger are both scum who distance in first half the day and moved on to other targets now. But nobody's gonna believe me anyway. Everyone's going to jump on mislynch bait Ryan...
(April 27th, 2013, 02:21)Serdoa Wrote: I also don't like the whole Bigger / Gaspar interaction, that reads faked on both ends. Really hard trying to act like villagers. As if Gaspar attacked Bigger and Bigger felt he had to retaliate, leading to Gaspar getting set up for a lynch which the two then tried to somehow get out of.
If you're a scum pair, and two villagers independently peg both of you as scum on day 1, would you kill one of them? I sure would. And if you did, what would be the one line of investigation that you really feared on day 2? And how might you go about defusing that threat? Ok, that's a lot of rhetorical questions, but I think you see what I'm getting at. Gaspar's approach of basing his whole day 2 scumhunting on speculating about the night kill looks odd to begin with, but maybe it was deliberately designed to be shot down, just to close down that whole line of inquiry as inherently flawed. I know I've done similar things as scum on many occasions, for example by deliberately making a weak argument against my scum buddy, hoping it will be shot down.
Of course, I'm not entirely sure that Lewwyn is innocent here, but I like much of what I've seen so far. And to his credit, he didn't try leaning on dead man Serdoa's opinions in this matter, even if he easily could have.
FYI - this may be my last chance to post until an hour or so before the deadline. My vote is still on Gaspar.
I am buzzing with anticipation!
If you know what I mean.