I tried to analyze the fog, but didn't learn anything new. 3N-1E could be either water or land. I just can't tell. Either way, I think you are right. If we settle 1N, we'll get for sure three food resources, at least two green rivers and at least two normal greenlands and two hills. As far as I can tell, that is more than enough to support us through the early game even if the remaining squares suck totally. Starting from mid-game we can always relocate our capital if we find something much better. I'm pretty confident that settling 1N is at least as good as SIP. I haven't run any simulations, though.
[SPOILERS] Vive l'Afrique libre : Bowsling and Aivoturso are Mansa Musa of the Zulu
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