[SPOILERS] Team EggHeads: DMOC and TeddyKGB (Now Lurker-Friendly!)

[TeddyKGB]

@post #270 with C&D analysis.

Great summary on other teams openings. Its not important, but I'm pretty sure team CareBears have 17 land and 4 water tiles in BFC.

1. Same reasoning as #9 down the list, only I think due to starting with Fish/Agr that they're headed for AH.
2. They started with fishing and mining, so they can work 3H off the bat. On the last turn before the workboat is completed, they can switch from 3H to a tile like 2F 1H 1C (e.g. our deer) and still get the workboat out, but this lets them net a coastal fish and grow in 4 more turns (rather than 5) and thus I assume they are at size 2 (w/zero food overflow) on turn 12 and are almost certainly making a worker. Worldbuilder simulations showed that even with financial fish worked, it's not enough to speed up Agriculture to get it on turn 9, so turn 10 is the most likely bet. The Wheel is not the tech they researched because average rival power did not change.
3. I'm pretty sure this is right, as I tested it in WB where if we work a tile with 1 commerce with the first citizen, AH comes in on turn 13, explaining the lack of score increases.
4. They were the only one to get a tech increase last turn, and on turn 12, average rival power was at 2777 (from 2444 last turn) but another team had grown in population, so the 2000 power generated by AH seems right. But what I'm confused about is that they started with Hunting and Agriculture, so if they worked a tile with 1 commerce, they should have finished Animal Husbandry on turn 11, not turn 12.
5. They started with Fishing/Agriculture, so going worker first is straightforward with a 3H tile. Since it doesn't give commerce, they had to wait until turn 7 to get Hunting, as compared to Team Pony which got it a turn earlier (as that team didn't have to work a 3H tile). The rival average power also went up on turn 7. With Agriculture and Hunting, they are likely researching Animal Husbandry.
6. They were the only ones to get a score increase on turn 8, and the average power went up (Mining gives 2000 soldiers). Since they are expansive, it makes sense for them to work a 3H tile and start with a worker. Also, since their starting techs were Mysticism and Agriculture, they have either rice, wheat, or corn in their capital, showing that the starts are not mirrored.
7. Since they moved their settler inland (first 9 tiles are land) and start with Myst/Mining, they started with a worker while working a 1-commerce tile, thus allowing Agriculture to be done in 9 turns (i.e. done on turn 10).
8. They were the first to get a score increase (on turn 6), and since they started with Wheel/Agriculture, they must have gotten either Hunting or Fishing. However, the rival average power went up, so Hunting it ls. With Hunting and Agriculture, they might be researching Animal Husbandry.
9. They started with Fishing/Mining, so the logical tech is Bronze Working, which takes even longer than AH to research. Starting with Fishing, they probably built a workboat, but then I think they immediately started on a worker after that, thus explaining why they are at size 1 while Team Dinosaurs is at size 2. But they might have been sloppy in micromanagement and thus might not grow until turn 13. If their score doesn't change next turn, we can assume they're building a worker.

3. More reason to be sure M&M on AH is rival best GNP=21 for first turns. (I'm wrong here, read next item on the list)

4. If they worked +1cpt tile, their BPT=FLOOR((8+1+1+1)*1.4)=15. On T11 AH at 165/169 for them. So AH done on T12 is normal for them, I guess. And now I see I was wrong about GNP21 is M&M's only possibility.

5. I'm confused here. I thought team Orgy is #5 on your list and they go for WB first. And on T8 they start working improved Fish while researching AH. So they get max food=7 and max GNP=24 on T8 demo screen (which was taken after they finish T8).