Okay, sim #1, with mack bombarding defenses
t178 - draft Om, France and Nuremburg, defense is 6 musket, 2 knight, 2 longbow, Axe, attack with cat
t179 - Mack bombards culture down to 4%, move three more muskets into the city: defense is 9 musket, 2 knight, 2 longbow, Axe.
t180 - The three cannons attack with 90% odds, then knights, mace and Jans attack and kill half of our stuff. We only win a couple of battles
t181 - We heal up, he attacks again but can't take the city this turn
t182 - The result is in the balance - it's down to RNG luck if he takes the city this turn or not
Sim #2 - no waiting around
t178 - draft Om, France and Nuremburg, defense is 6 musket, 2 knight, 2 longbow, Axe, attack with cat
t179 - three cannons attack, one or two survive, everything else attacks, half of them die, we mop up the survivors with our drafted muskets from France and Nuremburg.
So you're totally right, he doesn't have enough hitters there. However his three Galleons are heading back towards his mainland, so I'd expect more units to turn up t180. Our great person can be born EOT179 if we starve Cannae this turn, otherwise it will be born EOT180, giving Mack a chance to kill him if he adds more units t180. Which would you prefer?
Delaying Bureau a turn is only going to get us two more muskets, it will give France five unhappy faces and mean we have 11 muskets to defend with. I'm inclined not to delay, as getting Cuirs earlier is important. (Disclaimer: I've no idea if Bureau actually helps that...)
I also think adding a bowman next turn and moving the knights out of the city to avoid collateral might be a good idea.
Shall we offer white peace?
t178 - draft Om, France and Nuremburg, defense is 6 musket, 2 knight, 2 longbow, Axe, attack with cat
t179 - Mack bombards culture down to 4%, move three more muskets into the city: defense is 9 musket, 2 knight, 2 longbow, Axe.
t180 - The three cannons attack with 90% odds, then knights, mace and Jans attack and kill half of our stuff. We only win a couple of battles
t181 - We heal up, he attacks again but can't take the city this turn
t182 - The result is in the balance - it's down to RNG luck if he takes the city this turn or not
Sim #2 - no waiting around
t178 - draft Om, France and Nuremburg, defense is 6 musket, 2 knight, 2 longbow, Axe, attack with cat
t179 - three cannons attack, one or two survive, everything else attacks, half of them die, we mop up the survivors with our drafted muskets from France and Nuremburg.
So you're totally right, he doesn't have enough hitters there. However his three Galleons are heading back towards his mainland, so I'd expect more units to turn up t180. Our great person can be born EOT179 if we starve Cannae this turn, otherwise it will be born EOT180, giving Mack a chance to kill him if he adds more units t180. Which would you prefer?
Delaying Bureau a turn is only going to get us two more muskets, it will give France five unhappy faces and mean we have 11 muskets to defend with. I'm inclined not to delay, as getting Cuirs earlier is important. (Disclaimer: I've no idea if Bureau actually helps that...)
I also think adding a bowman next turn and moving the knights out of the city to avoid collateral might be a good idea.
Shall we offer white peace?
Completed: RB Demogame - Gillette, PBEM46, Pitboss 13, Pitboss 18, Pitboss 30, Pitboss 31, Pitboss 38, Pitboss 42, Pitboss 46, Pitboss 52 (Pindicator's game), Pitboss 57
In progress: Rimworld
In progress: Rimworld