[Spoilers] Old Human Tourist: Empress of Azteca

[Old Harry]

Turn 140: the options

BGN is keen to accept our peace offer, but we don't have 30 gold anymore, so I had to offer him 3gpt instead. Ooops.


Mardoc meanwhile doesn't seem that keen on peace .


This is how many units he has now (note the 2LB and HA that I didn't highlight have been taken into account in the sims):


We have two options then, so I figured out how many units we could have in theater and wrote some letters on the map which are referred to below:


Option 1: Attack Infrared:

t140 (this turn) we move:
A: 4 Kn, 6 Cat, Mace, 3 HA, Spear, Chariot
B: 3 Kn, Pike, 2 Cat
C: nothing
D: 1 Kn

t141 we move:
A: 8 Kn, 8 Cat, Mace, 3 HA, Pike, Spear, Chariot (6 bombards)
B:
C: 2 Kn

t142 we move:
A: 8 Kn, 8 Cat, Mace, 3 HA, Pike, , Chariot (7 bombards to take it down to 0%)
B: 2 Kn, Spear(or pike?)

t143 we attack
This means Mardoc has three turns to add further units.
- If he doesn't add any more then we lose all our Cats, but then win almost every battle after that, meaning we can take the city on t144
- If he adds two LBs then we lose all our cats and one to four Knights before taking the city t144 (four tests)
- If he adds four LBs then we lose all our cats and only take the city half the time (four tests) .

Option 2: Attack Red:

T140 (this turn) we move:
E: 7 Kn, 8 Cat, Mace, 3 HA, Pike, Spear, Chariot

T141 either we bombard or 3 cats attack, so our Knights get odds:
C: 2 Kn
E: 7 Kn, 8 Cat, Mace, 3 HA, Pike, Spear, Chariot (8 bombards to 18%)

T142:
4 bombards take the walls to 2%, then 2 cats attack to give our Knights odds and we take the city

So Infrared isn't the nice easy win that we normally like, while I still don't see the strategic gains from taking (burning?) Red. All Mardoc's cities are size two or three now, so surely he can't pump out any more Longbows, can he? If he can't then I'd move to Infrared, but I've underestimated his ability to reinforce fairly systematically so far, so odds are it'll happen again . Any thoughts?