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[Spoilers] Old Human Tourist: Empress of Azteca

Heading for airport in an hour, but I guess there is always time for a quick macro post. I quickly also checked how the new turn looks: No negative developments, Dreylin is concentrating everything in the cap, which means that couple further cities should fall.. hammer

Aaaanyways, about the big picture and our overall game plan. The agenda for the next ~10 turns is pretty clear, we want to take Dreylin's land and consolidate our gains. This is doable, but by no means something that can be taken as granted. However, if we succeed I think we have to consider ourselves as the leaders for the first time in this game. This development comes kind of as a surprise, both our campaign against pindi+Drey has been faster and more successful than expected and BGN has not been able to acquire land for a while. We don't really have a good info reg what's happening between Krill & BGN in the west: There isn't really any WW at all, so no big setbacks for BGN in that sense, but there is still a some kind of focus-needing standoff going on and e.g. against all odds Ruff is still alive. crazyeye

Sooo, assuming we don't screw up with our own gains and other contenders don't make really fast land acquisitions we definitely have the economy required for winning the space race. However, I think there are still at least 3 feasible ways to lose this game in the long-run (+ their combinations):

1. BGN destroys us with his huge MFG
- PB20 isn't documented with too much detail, but the final events of the game (see discussion in lurker thread) provide a very relevant lesson for us. Seven was heading for space victory with a decent tech lead, but Mack used his superior MFG and simply produced too much stuff for Seven to handle (basically). In this game we are Seven and BGN is mack.. Currently our power levels are even enough and the situation has to stay that way. We can't afford to think that we can give BGN the lead and close the gap if we decide to "focus on military". Despite having a slight land lead our MFG will be smaller and we will need to draft our cities until the end. Having existing units + drafted infantry as mass hitters, producing planes + collateral + navy with our own production and using defender's advantage should give us a fair chance for keeping our land if BGN goes all military and comes at us with everything he's got. But we should not take that as granted. BGN has now factories+power plants everywhere (either ready or in production) and he will be able to pump out a ton of units from now on.. yikes

2. TBS wins culture victory
- TBS is still far away from legendary cities, he might not be going for culture at all and his power isn't too impressive, but let's assume he goes for CV, otherwise he is allowed to do whatever he wants in the north crazyeye... So, at the very least we will have time to tech transports, tanks, bombers etc. to deal with an attempt if TBS goes that way and I'm pretty confident that we can stop it. However, the real question is of course can we stop TBS and then deal with everybody else. It's maybe not the most interesting part of civ meta, but the leader of the game needs to stop these culture attempts even though TBS is pretty damn far away from us. If in XX turns we are clear favorites in space race I can easily see BGN, Dtay, Krovice saing "screw it" when it comes to stopping TBS. BGN can wait for our move against TBS and then pile on us (that's what I would too :P). We have been throwing in rough ideas how to deal with this (including preventive commando strikes on TBS capital way before things get tense), but we still have enough on our plates for the next 10 turns. Let's re-evaluate this also at that point..

3. Major dogpile
- Even though we kind of showed with dtay-attack that dogpiles can be effective, this is something that should not happen unless we invite it ourselves. We just need to keep respectable defenses at all our borders so we don't give anyone bad opportunistic ideas, which might start a dogpile-snowball.. Of course eventually this can happen if BGN makes a move (see no.1 way to lose this), but I think we should pay attention to keeping e.g. dtay in check.


Oooook, that was fairly superficial, but should at least somewhat explain how we (or at least I, feel free to disagree OH & THH & retep?) see our position. I'll have civ access again on Sunday/Monday, OH please win this before I get back. mischief
Finished:
PBEM 45G, PB 13, PB 18, PB 38 & PB 49

Top 3 favorite turns: 
#1, #2, #3
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RE: [Spoilers] Old Human Tourist: Empress of Azteca - by Fintourist - March 11th, 2015, 05:29

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