no horse 
then again we haven't scouted our surroundings fully yet. let's not give up hope!
as for tricky. that's the 2nd time you've said W when you meant E ilios; i think Tricky Dick might be tricking you
i'd say promote woodie 1 -> move 1 tile E. @ 1.9 in forest + woodie 1 + across the river (i'm thinking of that bear) we get 3.7 versus 3, decent odds.

then again we haven't scouted our surroundings fully yet. let's not give up hope!

as for tricky. that's the 2nd time you've said W when you meant E ilios; i think Tricky Dick might be tricking you

i'd say promote woodie 1 -> move 1 tile E. @ 1.9 in forest + woodie 1 + across the river (i'm thinking of that bear) we get 3.7 versus 3, decent odds.