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[Spoilers] Shallow Old Human Tourist Hit the beach!

Turn 114 pt 2

Indeed, a good turn of events for us! You might remember these events from 50 turns ago including fighting in the very same area?:

(April 12th, 2018, 16:20)Old Harry Wrote: Turn 61 pt 1
So far this game our luck hasn't been so hot:
T39 - lost a 10% battle flawlessly when Tokugawa's warrior shanked our scout - fair enough, that's not unexpected
T50 - lost a coinflip for Stonehenge - meh, I never expect to win 50/50's anyway
T57 - lost a 90% spear vs warrior battle - banghead well I guess the warrior was C1 Shock...

This turn:
CR1 axe vs fortified axe behind walls - 10% - OT4E WINS!  rant  Wait. What? What? How? What? And it wasn't even close?
CR1 axe vs fortified axe behind walls - 23% - OT4E WINS!  troll  Again? Hang on, what's going on?
CR1 axe vs fortified axe behind walls - 88% - Okay, great, a battle where the odds are finally firmly not in our favour, what's going to happen? - OT4E WINS with 4HP to spare! - Well at least it was close this time.
Sigh.

Stonehenge we are probably never getting back, but at least we got our RNG revenge against OT4E  hammer

Anyways, we spent quite a while analyzing our options. Me an OH were yearning for blood and freedom for the city of Hippo, but Hitru forced us to calm ourselves. mischief  After all many of our units were damaged, which made the odds a bit shaky. If the attack had went according to plan, we were expected to lose 2-3, quite likely 3 axes taking Hippo. That’s probably worth it, but with only one truly bad roll things could change quite a bit and we might easily lose 5-6 units. Next turn when swords arrive, we should only lose 1-2 swords despite OT4E surely adding an archer or walls into the mix.

So we did the more cautious thing and killed couple of Numids including the GG:

C2 spear vs. C2 shock Numid, 74.7 %... WIN, 1 hit
Imm vs. George Patton Numid 1.2/6, 99.4 %... WIN, 4 hits (1 away from dying). Annoyingly this imm will probably be just free experience next turn..

And we pillaged the road so now both Hippo and Thaenae are isolated from OT4E’s core. OT4E also lost his silver, which should hurt him with his IND forges..  devil Let's see if we get an opportunity to pillage his ivory in the south.. devil




Next turn Hippo will surely be on the menu, but otherwise the discussion revolved around these items:
  • Attacking the island city, which just got fresh walls
  • Attacking Thaenae, which could have both positive and negative implications for our future Elkad border
  • How to stay prepared for Toku as our enforced peace ends in 2 turns and when to turn our aggressive attention there again
  • How to stay alert of OT4E’s potentially returning army from GJ front. According to our calculations it could reach the Hippo area as soon as in 2 turns, but we would expect it to say hi to Elkad first
  • And overall how to accommodate as much bloodshed between Elkad and OT4E as possible while progressing ourselves

Domestically we are slacking a bit with our wealth-builds and are putting up some military for a change. Toku is researching Construction at the moment. We will probably 2-turn it after he is done, gotta get that sweet known-tech-bonus.  jive




Demos and graphs:


Round of whipping and teching pause makes these more ugly again:



OT4E was completely out of running due to his economy already before, but at latest due to these events he is never coming back. He has a decent number of cities and mfg though, so in the short-term we can't afford to be overconfident



You can see a in the above picture Toku building a somewhat weird road in the north. The flat graph however makes us think that there won't be an attack.. Let's see what our sentry imm reveals next turn..



Finished:
PBEM 45G, PB 13, PB 18, PB 38 & PB 49

Top 3 favorite turns: 
#1, #2, #3
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RE: [Spoilers] Shallow Old Human Tourist Hit the beach! - by Fintourist - June 12th, 2018, 16:53

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