Diplomacy No press Game 01 LURKER THREAD [NO PLAYERS]

[regoarrarr]

Italy disbands A Tunis. Again, not that it matters for Italy, but it's good practice to never disband a unit, unless you need to in order to build a different unit in the winter.

Sure it's not likely that he'd keep A Naf but you want to keep everyone else guessing.

[regoarrarr]

Adjustment results for Winter of 1903. (rbnopress01.012)

England: Builds a fleet in London.
France: Builds an army in Marseilles.
Germany: Removes the army in Picardy.
Germany: Removes the fleet in the Baltic Sea.
Italy: Removes the fleet in Naples.
Russia: Builds a fleet in Sevastopol.
Russia: Builds an army in Moscow.

France talked to me right before the deadline

I can't build fleets without being really aggressive
build F Bre and EF is finished
build F Mar and WTF am I doing?
going to hit A for some reason?
So have to build A Bre or A Mar
A Mar does nothing
maybe A Mar S A Bur, whilst A Bur S A Par-Pic and run at Belgium?
A Bre, A Par S A Bre-Pic, leaves A But open though, so I suppose A Mar is hte only option...
Actualy, A Mar is hte safest if I decides to be stupid and doesn't disband A Pie, gambling on me not being able to defend A Mar next turn...

I think I'd have built F Mar and tried to push into Italy and the Mediterranean

[regoarrarr]

Thoughts from Turkey

well the situation looks bleaker than ever. I was thinking about moving into Sev latst fall but in the end decided against it. t4rying to get russia as counterweight for Austria.

Apparently this did not work that well and those 2 will kill me fast now. I hope I can at least survive Italy

[regoarrarr]

Movement results for Spring of 1904. (rbnopress01.013)

Austria: Army Bulgaria SUPPORT Fleet Aegean Sea -> Constantinople. (*cut*)
Austria: Army Trieste SUPPORT Army Venice.
Austria: Fleet Aegean Sea -> Constantinople. (*bounce*)
Austria: Army Venice HOLD.
Austria: Army Serbia SUPPORT Army Vienna -> Budapest.
Austria: Army Vienna -> Budapest.

England: Army Denmark SUPPORT Fleet Skagerrak -> Sweden.
England: Fleet Skagerrak -> Sweden.
England: Fleet Holland -> Belgium.
England: Fleet Norway -> St Petersburg (north coast). (*bounce*)
England: Fleet North Sea SUPPORT Fleet Holland -> Belgium.
England: Fleet London -> English Channel.

France: Army Burgundy -> Belgium. (*bounce*)
France: Army Tuscany -> Piedmont.
France: Fleet Western Mediterranean -> Tyrrhenian Sea.
France: Fleet Tunis -> Ionian Sea.
France: Army Paris -> Burgundy. (*bounce*)
France: Army Marseilles SUPPORT Army Tuscany -> Piedmont.

Germany: Army Ruhr SUPPORT Fleet Kiel -> Holland.
Germany: Fleet Kiel -> Holland.
Germany: Army Munich -> Kiel.
Germany: Fleet Belgium SUPPORT Fleet Kiel -> Holland. (*cut, dislodged*)

Italy: Army Piedmont -> Venice. (*bounce, dislodged*)
Italy: Army Rome SUPPORT Army Piedmont -> Venice.

Russia: Army Ukraine SUPPORT Army Budapest -> Rumania.
Russia: Army Budapest -> Rumania.
Russia: Fleet Rumania -> Black Sea.
Russia: Fleet Sweden -> Baltic Sea.
Russia: Army St Petersburg -> Norway. (*bounce*)
Russia: Fleet Sevastopol SUPPORT Fleet Rumania -> Black Sea.
Russia: Army Moscow SUPPORT Fleet Sevastopol.

Turkey: Army Armenia -> Ankara.
Turkey: Fleet Black Sea -> Bulgaria (east coast). (*bounce, dislodged*)
Turkey: Fleet Constantinople SUPPORT Fleet Black Sea -> Bulgaria (east coast). (*cut*)


The following units were dislodged:

The German Fleet in Belgium can retreat to Picardy.
The Italian Army in Piedmont can retreat to Tyrolia.
The Turkish Fleet in the Black Sea can retreat to Armenia.

[regoarrarr]

Some comments on moves:

France - didn't like the move of Mar S Tus-Pie. He mentioned to me that he wanted to do that to prevent Rom S Pie-Tus (dislodging and destroying his army in Tuscany), but IMO the odds of Italy doing that were so remote as to not even be worth considering. On the plus side, his fleets are in great shape and making the Italian army retreat to Tyrolia will give plenty of headaches for Austria and Germany

I liked Russia's orders.

Speaking of Russia, he sent me this before the deadline

Obviously happy about 1903. I was able to predict Germany's and Austria's moves and grab Budapest. Sweden was a nice bonus.

My build and S04 moves are supposed to tell Austria: "I just needed Budapest for another fleet build, let's keep cooperating and carve up Turkey." Not sure if he'll get the message, though.

I plan to aid Germany as best I can, to slow down EF. Hoping to bounce England in GoB.

Long term, if things go well, I'll turn on Germany or Austria and propose a NAP with England. (Convoy Lon-Nap or Lon-Swi)

Bounce in GoB was supposed to be bounce in BAL. Luckily I caught my
mistake in time to change my orders.

[regoarrarr]

England: continues to play well and will likely build again this year. We'll see if/how France freaks out about F Eng. England has a legitimate reason for wanting it there with Germany in Belgium but it's one of those things about no-press that it's really hard to coordinate. Plus Germany retreating his fleet to Picardy will make France nervous I'm sure.

It was interesting that France ordered unsupported to Belgium, perhaps counting on England to support him in, but England decided to take it for himself. Typically France would get Belgium in an EF, since England usually gets gains from Scandinavia before France breaks through the Med. But in this game with Italy being full of France is making good headway. They're both at 6 centers so Belgium could go either way IMO

Austria is making the right moves. Ideally (if he knew where he stood with Russia) he'd want to order Bul-Con rather than Aeg-Con, to make taking down Turkey easier. He's also got to worry about France's F Ion now.

Italy - moves this turn were fine - he was sunk by his first two years

Turkey - I'd have ordered Arm-Sev: Russia's moves were pretty telegraphed given his F Sev build so it should have been easy to cut the support in Sev.

Germany - making the most of a pretty bad position at this point. Guessed wrong (Ruh S Bel, Bel S Kie-Hol would have been the moves to make) but it's impossible to know exactly what England would do. Still, he's got a decent shot to stay even this turn, and maybe he can signal France to switch sides (offer to support him to Belgium and maybe France gets spooked by EF Eng?)

[regoarrarr]

Hmm actually Russia could be in trouble. He's losing Bud and Swe, and has no real great chances to pick up a center (maybe he gets lucky with Bal-Ber?). He's in decent shape to take on Turkey, but if he has to remove 2 units that could be trouble

[regoarrarr]

Retreat results for Spring of 1904. (rbnopress01.014)

Germany: Fleet Belgium -> Picardy.
Italy: Army Piedmont -> Tyrolia.
Turkey: Fleet Black Sea DISBAND.

What POSSIBLE reason could you have to disband a unit in spring?!?!?

Unless he's banking on not losing a center and being able to build an army in Smyrna in the winter. Which it is true that an army would be more useful in defending...

[T-hawk]

Well yeah, that would be exactly it. Disband a unit in the spring if you want it rebuilt and repositioned but you don't expect anybody to be dislodging it in the fall.

[regoarrarr]

Well yeah, that would be exactly it. Disband a unit in the spring if you want it rebuilt and repositioned but you don't expect anybody to be dislodging it in the fall.

But the problem is that it forces you to play Spring a unit down, which is almost always bad news.

In any case, Turkey sent me a note

Disbanded the fleet cause a F ARM isnext to useless.

My hope is that Austria and Russia fight before the finish me but my chances of survival are slim.

So soon we'll have Turkey dead, Italy dead and Germany dead. As long as France and England keep peace between them the others are doomed.
OTOH england will be in a great position to stab France.