Alright, I haven't update in forever, so here's an update from me:
Here's the west, where I want to plant a new city:
The issue however is that speaker has at least an archer, mace, keshik, and spear in the area. I don't feel safe yet settling with just a longbow, so I want to at least get one knight out somewhere before that settler.
Here is my other settling spot:
This I am much safer with. I've had a warrior on the hill 1N of the city spot for eternity and the first unit it has seen is that archer. One longbow there and I feel safe. The settler, if you can't tell, is 1S of the city spot currently (along with two workers which will road 1N so it can be settled next turn). Build order will be a chopped workboat and then other things as needed.
Here are two cities which I don't think I've shown pictures of settling:
And the back side of my empire:
Finally and most interestingly, I just last turn completed two knights I plan to hit Hangzhou with. The city is currently defended by just 2 archers and a spear (with one archer I can see in range to move in). I will probably go in with just two knights, two HAs, and the LB sitting out there. He has no stronger units he can built, so I'm not too worried about my chances unless he has like 10 spears in the fog, which I doubt. I will use fast workers to road NE of my city for a one turn surprise move from my "staging" tile.
I'm now up to 17 Fast workers for what will be 9 cities this coming turn.