KoP's Screenies & Random Rambling

[KingOfPain]

It is actually the other way around. I cherry pick my own non winning ticket to be the bad luck non winning ticket each time. And then something like this happens to try and prove to me buying lottery ticket is a good bet that you are bound to win. Exactly what the lottery use to push ticket sales.

We all know about the gambler's fallacy. i think we are talking about the same thing but in a different way.

However, the law of average fails when we talking astronomical numbers.

[T-hawk]

The law of averages doesn't fail - what happens is you go out of scope for the antecedent condition. It says "given a sufficient sample size", the population of results will converge towards the expected value. If they didn't, then you didn't have a sufficient sample size.

[KingOfPain]

What I said   A matter of perspective. The application fails because of sample size. Even if we started the lotto twice a week from the beginning 40 years ago (which it didn't) we have a total of ~4000 draws out of 14 million. Invoking the law of average/probabilities is moot.

[KingOfPain]

MetaMorpheus & UberCulosis & Terrorized Diablo

So I've been putting the Variants on hold for a little bit and let myself catch up on playing some normal toons and pushing those toons nearer to the finishing line.

The Shako gang. UberCulosis is sporting the Tal armor obviously, 2 Ali Baba and War Traveller. MetaMorpheus is using an Up'd Hoz, Grief and Fortitude.


UberCulosis. The T is silent, um, I mean invisible. He is just a Magic Find Horker, My male purple counterpart to my purple McTyraelGal.

MetaMorpheus is a Paladin. This one is special in the way that I built him to freely use Tokens to re-spec his skills for whatever fancy me at the time, and for testing stuff. Because I find Paladin to be OP, and boring for the most part (granted they can make some complicated builds too). Especially, Hammerdins, how boring can it get? Walk/Tele up to a mob and press the RMB, that's it.

MetaMorpheus is currently a Smiter/FistOfHaven hybrid. It's a fun build because I get to use many skills during play. It is a balance between Smiting one enemy at a time or using the not so powerful(synergized) FoH for mobs. Not having leech also mean Charge is also on the hotkey to try and get some life back. Charge is more fun now since the fix in D2R (2.4?). Besides, it's a great running skill that can keep up with those crazy Teleporting Enigmas. But you can see I would not have time to hit anything.

I don't like joining games like this, it's just seem so wrong what D2 has become. But I will jump in when I want a couple of quick levels to equip something ...

This is Players8 Terrorized Chaos Sanctuary with Mlvl96 monsters in a minute. Waiting a couple of seconds for Diablo to spawn and killed in a split second is NOT efficient EXP-wise...  



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[KingOfPain]

GEM ACTIVATED


I mentioned couple of days ago I get an Ist every couple of days trading gems I pick up from normal gaming.


I have recently just came across LlamaSC’s “Find HIGH RUNES | Best Areas and Monsters - Results may shock you!” in which he claims LK runs in Single Player is the most effective way to get high runes. His “Results may shock you!” is, GRushing Forge is the most effective way in Multi-players. This is assuming of a Gul every 10-11 Forge. That much we are in agreement, although, the details are different.


It is safe to conclude that running Forge Mules can be the best way to high runes. It is actually better than that. Previously, I have not included some data in the calculation that everyone else overlook, in order to make an easier read. The missing piece of the formula is gems




GEM ACTIVATED

Some basics about gems:

Common trading value

30 - 40 Perfect Gems = Ist (usually 40PGems) 

12 - 15 - 20 Perfect Amethyst/Ruby = Ist  (usually 15 - 20)

Every NM and Hell Forge drops 1 Perfect, 2 Flawless and a Normal Gem

We will not count random gems drops since we get that farming for runes also.

We will use the lower trading values of gems for our calculations; which should give us plenty of margin to rounding+- (to keep it simple) as I see fit.


1/3 of the gems would be either Ruby or Amethyst.

There should be 10 Ruby/Ameth in a batch of 30 gems

Since Amethyst and Ruby have twice the trading value, so 30 random gems equals the value of 40 gems

If Ist trade for 40 PGems, and since a batch of 30 PGems = the value of 40 PGems , we do the following exchanges as:

30 = Ist

15 = Mal

7.5 = Um

3.5 = Pul


Omitting Normal Forge, each Forge Mule will get a total (NM+Hell) of 3 Perfect, 1 Flawless and 2 Normal gems. 10 Forge Mules =

10 x 3PGems = 30PGems

10 x Flawless = 3.1PGems

10 x Normal = 3.1 Flawless = 1PGem

Total = 34PGems = 1.25 Ist

This alone boosts our estimated Gul drops by >50% points.


If we cube up all the runes below our average Gul from the 10 Forge Mules, plus the value of the Gems,

We easily double the estimated 1 Gul per 10-11 mules.


That is the power of gems.


As I have reported recently I traded a full set of Tal Rasher for an Ist, and sold it for a Vex. I would say it is many orders of magnitude easier to gather enough gems to trade for the set than it is to find the entire set yourself.

PS: Still, I have omitted one set of data, that makes Forge Runs ~3 times as profitable as people give it credit for 

 

Sorry for the formatting mess. That's a forum software bug with Edit
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[KingOfPain]

A Chat with Bing






I have not supplied any character information on the video except the following description:
GoGoGadgets No Skills Baba - Uses Skills from items only
NatureCalls  Naked Base Vit Druid Summoner
Does Hell Andariel

But Bing Knows, despite the video was made by GoGoGadgets PoV.
- Teleport was available on NatureCalls. See Below assumption
- I might or might not have a PI Sunder Charm in my inventory on NC at the time (can't remember, these toons are used as mules sometimes). Even though Bing doesn't know a Sunder Charm does no good on NatureCalls since he is not attacking anything, it knows/thinks I am using one to break PI. Maybe it is all assuming from other "contaminated" sources as the point below
- NC's merc is clearly using a BoneHew, and GGGs' merc is still with a Kelpie Snare.

BTW, video link to Bing is Nature Calls and GoGoGadgets doing Hell Andariel.
Notice the noob forgot to recharge his items and ended up missing important skills.


But Bing got One Thing Right™

The video makes it look easier than it actually is



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[T-hawk]

Heh, kinda entertaining. It got a surprising amount of stuff right. I think it even made up the "single skill challenge" on its own, nobody really talks about that as a thing to do. Although of course there's the bloopers like a naked sorc should take enough strength to wear a belt and shield, or somehow thinking HoZ grants Holy Shield. And "RealmsBeyond is a tome found in Diablo 1" - is that true?

[KingOfPain]

Yes, the Sin War


But we were not named after the tome. It was when Charis and I decided to merge together and wanted to carry on beyond/after Diablo that we named it RealmsBeyond - Hence we used to refer to our different games as RBD, RBCiv, RBGW etc.

One of our idea was to model it somewhat like Geocity, maybe a university, that anyone who wants to be a major contributor can occupy a campus with name of their choosing - Run a sub-site under RB.

One of the story I like to tell is when I was working in San Francisco doing R&D in Virtue Reality back in the boom days. My Office was in Pier 39, and I decided to have a walking lunch in the park/docks. I happened to look across the street to a 4 story high building with a huge signage down the building that read REALMSBEYOND.COM. I joked to myself, "one day I am going to own you".

I guess we lasted longer than they did  

I had a couple of offers since I own realmsbeyond.com, including an offer from this guy
Realms Beyond - Ashes Of The Fallen









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[KingOfPain]

Diablo IV - My Initial 5 Toons

My line up of girls:
Ice Cream - Ice Sorceress  - IceCream
Wind/Sur El - Whirlwind Barbarian - Surel
You Go First - Bow Rogue - UgoPhurst
Dominion - Necro Summoner - DoMinion
Mother Earth - Earth Druid - 土地婆



Now that the most difficult part is over...  



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[KingOfPain]

Caught Baal Cheating Again - Vile Effigy


First it was constant poisoning, then spawning more minions in the Throne Room, and now Baal +2





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