Quote:So according to you taking a morning-after pill is murder ? I love how you try to make it sound like you're the mainstream and I'm extreme.
No, it's not murder, because murder is a legal/moral concept and does not rest on any particular biological foundation. We end life (of bacteria) with our every breath. There is nothing particularly bad about ending life (in a biological sense), in fact many forms of life biologically depend on ending life, biology has no respect for life whatsoever, and whatever we have cannot arise from biological theorizing. At least not in any obvious way.
Biology can inform, such that we know that cutting off another human's hair or even his arm is not murder, but that stabbing him in the heart so that he dies is.
Therefore biology can help distinguish between what is harm that is not murder, and what is harm that is murder. Or minimal harm, such as forcefully cutting off someone else's hair.
(October 8th, 2018, 14:55)Ichabod Wrote: Just to point out that Gavagai was right. We dig our own grave, no need of foreign influence for that.
Nobody got above 50%, so there's a runoff, right?
He's 80% at PredictIt. He's benefiting from being stabbed and is up against someone from the very unpopular incumbent party without the advantage of incumbency because Lula got (rightfully) banned. If they actually cared about they country and not just winning the left, after crashing and burning, would have supported the center-right to stop Bolsonaro.
Edit: He also only needs 4% more. He will be hampered by everyone else ganging up on him and the fact that this round's vote was suppressed because it was obvious who would make it but it's only 4%.
(October 8th, 2018, 14:55)Ichabod Wrote: Just to point out that Gavagai was right. We dig our own grave, no need of foreign influence for that.
Nobody got above 50%, so there's a runoff, right?
Yup, but Bolsonaro managed 46% of the votes, so it's very unlikely he'll lose.
(October 8th, 2018, 16:36)MJW (ya that one) Wrote:
(October 8th, 2018, 16:21)Commodore Wrote:
(October 8th, 2018, 14:55)Ichabod Wrote: Just to point out that Gavagai was right. We dig our own grave, no need of foreign influence for that.
Nobody got above 50%, so there's a runoff, right?
He's 80% at PredictIt. He's benefiting from being stabbed and is up against someone from the very unpopular incumbent party without the advantage of incumbency because Lula got (rightfully) banned. If they actually cared about they country and not just winning the left, after crashing and burning, would have supported the center-right to stop Bolsonaro.
There's some factual mistakes here. About the "what if..." scenarios, I really don't see a way that Bolsonaro could have been stopped. The "centre-right" candidate (it's arguable that there is no center-right in Brazil - we didn't have a proper right until this election, and I'm refering to Amoedo, not Bolsonaro) made 4,8% of the votes, despite having the advantage of by far the largest coalition, with the advantage that gives to a candidate (more TV time in public funded advertisement and more money for the campaign as a whole).
By the way, calling Bolsonaro "far-right" is offensive to people that support what has been debated in this thread as right-wing opinions. Bolsonaro is just a man full of hate speech, that grew in popularity as a meme. He chose to opportunistically defend the policies that would more likely get him elected, in very contraditory terms at times. He just blurts out every single cliché about "how to fix the country" and people actually believe it (and here we see where a big part of the left in Brazil failed, especially the Workers Party, when they keep supporting ideological speech that should have been abandoned long ago, like defending the government in Venezuela).
Well it looks like McCabe contacted someone before he left. That doesn't make sense unless Rosenstein actually did it. He has to get fired and he knows it but it will be sandbagged until after midterms. Other senate update
Solid: I call it
Likely: I almost call it
Lean: This team has a clear edge
Toss-up: Everything else
I agree with your calls, except that I have Texas as lean R instead of likely. In a large state like Texas, and with the unusual campaign that O'Rourke has done I think the polls are slightly less reliable. Kind of how pollsters underestimated Trump in the rust belt (changing demographic + unusual candidate)
He's closer to Pinochet, but it's a fair comparison. Same denunciations against democracy, same calls to give cops a licence to kill, death to gays & machine-gun protesters. Unlike Duterte the international press has nary a bad word to say about him; financial publications like the Wall Street Journal have even endorsed him because his chief economic advisor is a Chicago Boy who promises to privatize everything. Financiers love them some fascism.
