Could we get a tally?
|
WW16: The Outlaws and The Olives
|
Injera Wrote:Well, if Gaspar's going nowhere [b]Tasunke[b]. Why? Making it easier for mafia buddies to get a mislynch by putting a third one up within one vote?
"You want to take my city of Troll%ng? Go ahead and try."
Twinkletoes89 Wrote:Why? Making it easier for mafia buddies to get a mislynch by putting a third one up within one vote? Because at some point your vote has to count, and I think he's the most likely scum than the rest of the field at this point. I laughed at his predicted vote count from last night because it actually seemed pretty plausible, then I remembered that was the same guy who was cluelessly trying to attack me two days ago. Doesn't add up. Ichabod Wrote:Novice and Pindicator, am I right to assume that you are going back to Selrahc in order to avoid the lynch of Meiz? I think I prefer Selrahc or Tasunke over Meiz, yes. I could still change my mind though. Right now I think Selrahc and Tasunke are tied so I'll watch and see what transpires.
I have to run.
It always wonders me how much more motivation and energy a little BW gives to you :D
I've put waterbat in the villagers camp due to day 4 Matt voting, but his play still in general bothered me. Most importantly day 1, but now recently his post after Gaspar told of his test for Injera voters, http://realmsbeyond.net/forums/showpost....count=2832 Waterbat: http://realmsbeyond.net/forums/showpost....count=2834 "interetsing gaspar - your argument is similar to my watching on Jkaen. seemed too convenient a mislynch, but no wolf bites." And http://realmsbeyond.net/forums/showpost....count=2836 "which was also one of my reasons for flipping to Injera for a short time as well." It's almost like he got a bit scared after Gaspar's post. I'm not finding it believable that he coincidentally happened to have the same idea. His day 1: Votes thestick early in the day, http://realmsbeyond.net/forums/showpost....stcount=80 Changes vote later to Injera with minimal reasoning, http://realmsbeyond.net/forums/showpost....tcount=140 And slightly defends thestick, http://realmsbeyond.net/forums/showpost....tcount=180 ("he's just his villager self") Defends Matt, http://realmsbeyond.net/forums/showpost....tcount=252 "Well, mattimeos comments seem exactly something I would write as an innocent. then i would not understand why I was getting pounced on. I'm not defending him though, I just am open to the idea that his comments could go either way." And disappears for the rest of the day. --- General impression from day 4: He was the main lyncher of Matt. But after taking a closer look, it might not be the case. Makes the first vote on Matt, http://realmsbeyond.net/forums/showpost....count=1744 The votes against Matt follow in this order: Tasunke -> Meiz -> novice -> Lewwyn (changes vote next post) -> TT -> Ichabod steps in to stop the BW -> votes start to fly away from Matt. Waterbat doesn't post a single time during this BW. He just made the first vote and was quiet after that. His next post, http://realmsbeyond.net/forums/showpost....count=1843 "I was very curious to see where a Mattimeo wagon would go. Seems it has been derailed before it could even get started." Now Injera makes his claim and votes start to go back on Matt. Voters: Pind -> Catwalk -> Tasunke Waterbat posts, http://realmsbeyond.net/forums/showpost....count=1868 "Hmm. The wagon on Mattimeo has rematerialized thanks to Injera. I had all but given up and was going to move my vote. Never got good feelings from any qgqqqqq post so agree with the people on him." And then he makes a case agaisnt Catwalk and votes him, http://realmsbeyond.net/forums/showpost....count=1892 Later votes Qgqq, http://realmsbeyond.net/forums/showpost....count=1931 "I think we can afford a day or two on Mattimeo." And a big case against Qgqq, http://realmsbeyond.net/forums/showpost....count=2017 Also: "I suspect Injera against Matt for this reason, but really suspect Qgqqqqq as it was his head on the block." Later, http://realmsbeyond.net/forums/showpost....count=2035 Makes a layout for Matt wolf = Injera wolf, before Matt's role is known. When Qgqq is in very large lead, goes back to Matt making it the second vote, http://realmsbeyond.net/forums/showpost....count=2078 Followed by: Catwalk -> Meiz -> Ichabod -> Rowain -> TT -> Molach ----- So... this might not be the topic for the day, but after reviewing it seems like Waterbats first vote was placed when Matt was not in huge danger of being lynched, so it could be distancing. He didn't put much effort to push the BW forward and even derailed it on Catwalk and Qgqq. At the end of the day his Matt vote was the second, so it was not nearly guaranteed that Matt would go down. But he had gathered enough suspicion to go down in the following days, so distancing makes sense for a wolf. Waterbat is also one of the players who started to paint the post restrictions as suspicious early in the day (Tasunke being the other one at least). Examples: http://realmsbeyond.net/forums/showpost....tcount=638 "We do need to keep a watchful eye on him - the longer he stays alive, the more worried we need to become." http://realmsbeyond.net/forums/showpost....count=1407 "There is nothing to say that a wolf can't use a power on another wolf. I was going to neighborize BRick or novice last game just to make sure i didn't mysteriously hit a clean target each night (which I ended up doing). Anyway, its something to file away for later." So he also fits to the potential theory that wolves planned the pr's to generate suspicion, distraction and possible mislynches. My 2 cents for now... |
