Are you, in fact, a pregnant lady who lives in the apartment next door to Superdeath's parents? - Commodore

Create an account  

 
[LURKERS] Setting Up Tents for a Ren Faire

Oh dear

Quote:Mack's cataphracts are not too great a concern since he hasn't beelined towards them (he still needs the three key techs of Gunpowder, Nationalism, Mil Trad). And in Janissaries we have one of the best counters available.

Seems somebody isn't keeping track of his opponents well
Reply

is taotao a ded-lurker?
Reply

He hasn't explicitly said "I'm a dedlurker", but he also definitely hasn't posted in anyone else's thread.
Reply

So from Scooter's last couple posts it now seems pretty clear Mack is doing a full scale invasion of Al, who isn't going to have jans in time. I'm assuming Al doesn't have graphs on Mack...? REM should skip SoL and do a massive military spike to take half of Al. I really can't see a downside to that and tons of upside.

Scooter and then RMoG could at least consider poaching the western border of Mack. If that happens Plako could potentially snipe some Scooter cities.

That's my sort of fluid dynamics approach to everything, where everyone moves to fill in the holes that are left open (for drainage? This metaphor is weird.) There are a lot of opportunities that could arise that may be missed. In a FFA everyone has to keep everyone else in check.

I have never played a civ4 multiplayer in my life, but I have a lot of experience with RTSs and other various online strategy games. Feel free to call me out if my analysis is way off.
Reply

I would be shocked if anybody went for mack in the phract era
Reply

(October 18th, 2016, 17:24)Fluffball Wrote: I agree with Scooter that it's really weird REM is trying this race to SoL when he knows he's behind in tech AND the GE.
After rereading the discussion between El Grillo and REM, it seems he doesn't know he's behind in tech, really.  At least not as far as he actually is - they seem to be taking it for granted that they will hit Democracy before Scooter does.  Take El Grillo's comment, for example:
Quote:If they get to Democracy even 4t after you
It seems like it will be the other way around!  Scooter's expecting to pick up Democracy a couple turns *before* REM does, if I'm reading their respective threads correctly.

Quote:And the double factor of it seems like the entire world is going to let Mackoti do whatever he wants militarily. I think that's partly on Scooter as well though. On that note, are NAPs  typically upheld at RB? I would be breaking them left and right if it won me the game.

That, on the other hand, I agree with you.  I don't think anyone can conquer Mack, but they could certainly force him to leave half his army at home by providing a threat he has to respect.  That, in turn, could be the difference between him making a good profit from war and getting into a quagmire.

There is a bit of Prisoner's Dilemma, in that holding Mack back is something everyone benefits from, but only the person who does it actually pays the cost.  I think that's the fundamental reason it's not happening, actually.  Well, plus I don't think anyone seriously believes Mack will be able to get more than a couple border cities.

NAPs are typically upheld.  But...nothing in an AI Diplo game is a real NAP, and Mackoti is one of the few who is known for breaking NAPs, so honestly I'm surprised that Scooter is being so blasé about it.  Seems to be leaning too hard on 'I could whip out an army if I had to' and not enough on 'I have an army'.  Especially when he's already on the wrong side of the military quality line and would presumably also not have initiative.

Quote:I have never played a civ4 multiplayer in my life, but I have a lot of experience with RTSs and other various online strategy games. Feel free to call me out if my analysis is way off.
The main thing that's different between Civ and RTS games is that Civ heavily favors the defense.  Culture and associated mobility, collateral, the rock-paper-scissors mechanics combined with every attacker facing the best defender for him.  So a lot of your 'minor adjustments' like mack's western border theoretically going to Scooter and then scooter cities to plako, won't happen.  You generally need an overwhelming advantage in numbers or quality or both to make good progress.  That's where Commodore's treatise comes from, the one linked in Scooter's thread.

Honestly, even RMOG or Alhazard could stop Mack cold, if they stopped trying to expand and instead built up a critical mass of catapults + hitters.  The main reason Mack's making progress is that no one else is building military, so he does have an overwhelming advantage in numbers. And the reason for that, is that everyone keeps hoping he'll go after someone else, so they have time to get some more economy instead. If they'd admit that he's coming and the only recourse is to stop him, then ironically he wouldn't want to come anymore.
EitB 25 - Perpentach
Occasional mapmaker

Reply

Mack is indeed like wolf in the sheepfold...
Reply

Agreeing to a NAP with mackoti has to be the height of naivete
Suffer Game Sicko
Dodo Tier Player
Reply

(October 19th, 2016, 09:56)Mardoc Wrote:
(October 18th, 2016, 17:24)Fluffball Wrote: I agree with Scooter that it's really weird REM is trying this race to SoL when he knows he's behind in tech AND the GE.
After rereading the discussion between El Grillo and REM, it seems he doesn't know he's behind in tech, really.  At least not as far as he actually is - they seem to be taking it for granted that they will hit Democracy before Scooter does.  Take El Grillo's comment, for example:
Quote:If they get to Democracy even 4t after you
It seems like it will be the other way around!  Scooter's expecting to pick up Democracy a couple turns *before* REM does, if I'm reading their respective threads correctly.

Not entirely sure on the relative turns for the updates, but it seems like Scooter is going to Hit Democracy only a couple of turns after REM/Nic finish PP ... which if they're paying attention to the Tech screen is going to be a nasty shock, but will likely save them a whole bunch of Democracy beakers.

I gotta say I think REM might have got a bit tunnel-visioned on it such that even El Grillo's analysis is not swaying him from the path.
Reply

Scooter is showing 3 turns to Democracy on turn 243. That's at 100% science, but he has the gold to do that for three turns. REM has 2 turns to PP on turn 243, so yeah he should only sink a single turn's science to Democracy before he finds out Scooter has it and can re-evaluate.
Reply



Forum Jump: