WW15 - Chiron is a harsh mistress

[Catwalk]

I'd like to question Jkaen's argument a bit anyway: Let's say thestick is a wolf and there were already 2 wolves (+ thestick) voting Tasunke. I don't see it as altogether implausible that the wolves then backed a Tasunke lynch while also placing a vote or two on thestick for alibi. The case on Tasunke was strong (as always ), so I can imagine wolves going for a play like this. I still don't think this makes thestick look guilty, but I'm less inclined to bump him down on my suspicion list.

[Jkaen]

Erm catwalk.

Tansuke - 2 wolves+stick(wolf)
the stick - 2 wolves

First ouch thats a lot of wolves even assuming no wolves at all on the scattered votes

Secondly do you really think they would have bunched up nicely like that for us (note to refute my theory you are saying 3 of the first 6 voters on tansuke are wolves)

[Jkaen]

On second thought 5 may be the total number of wolves if there is 1 pack, given 21 players.

Still cant seeing them bunching up on day 1 though

[Bigger]

night deadline (for all night ations) is 2200 GMT, about 5 and a half hours from now.

FYI, there is a very small chance I'll be late. deadline is still 2200, although it may take me until 2300 GMT to post results (again, slim chance).

[Lewwyn]

Well please don't kill me for the next couple nights. I"m with extended family and would like to have this to keep me going.

[Catwalk]

I don't think 5 wolves is all that unlikely, and they could have joined gradually. I'm not saying this condemns anyone, I just don't think it clears thestick any without further proof.

[BRickAstley]

I think BRickAstley claimed Yang at some point, as well?

Yes, I am the Chairman.

LONG LIVE THE MINDWORM LEGACY!!!!

ooh, and the fire, yes lots and lots of fire ... muaha muahaha .... muahahAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHA :necksnaps:

Sad crazy Tasunke. I suppose I should have read some of those previous games where apparently he acted like this, otherwise I wouldn't have worried about him.

[Molach]

because 3/15 is on the low side for wolves and 4/15 is high

That was about WW 14.
We ended up with 4/16, 25 %
3/15 20 %
4/15 27 %

So if plain ole 1 pack of enemies
4/21 is 19 % (less than 'on the low side')
6/21 is 29 % (more than 'high')

so 5/21, 24 % fits the bill.

Uberfish oversaw game balance. So if just one faction, we can safely assume it is 5 NAPs.

[waterbat]

I thought he could have been referencing me since I defended Tasunke, so I asked if he did. Waterbat took that as a reason to push with some shoddy reasoning



And rather than taking apart how silly his logic was (like, why would a wolf need to practice how to howl in pain for it to be second nature?) I threw back a little sarcasm.

Ayfkm? "Shoddy reasoning"? I obviously was joking. There aren't any wolves here anyway - just evil conspirators. When I use shoddy reasoning, you'll know it. Unless I die tonight, in which case you won't know it until you join me in the lurker thread.

[Bigger]

night ends in 25 minutes.