WW16: The Outlaws and The Olives

[Azza]

Just happened to be online at the right time.

[Rowain]

Since you grace us with your presence Whom do you think scum? whom do you vote for?

[Azza]

I really don't know at the moment.

I'm definitely starting to think novice is scum, just because it seems like an enormous risk from the mafia to leave him alive this long if he was village. He's also the mayor, which if he's village could potentially cause problems for the mafia in a tight day. Don't know how he's still alive tbh.

I was thinking that potentially those who wanted to lynch the "lurkers" was a scum attempt at a bandwagon, as Arromir was found innocent and I know I'm innocent as well. But I couldn't find any real patterns in votes or discussions so dropped that line of thought.

Also, based purely on gut feel, tasunke seems quite suspicious, but I don't have anything concrete at this stage.

If forced to pick someone to vote for, right now my gut says pindicator. Probably not a great indicator, but I'm not a fan of how he's been voting. I'm pretty sure he's the most active player to have voted for nothing targets at the deadline, and therefore the most able to switch. But I'm nowhere near confident enough in that to make it official at this stage.

[pindicator]

Good point, Injera. Which one is it, Pindictor? Did you pull a day one gambit or didn't you?

I did not vote like i did with the intention of drawing attention. But if the pattern is established enough that it is noticeable then it no longer draws the desired effect when I do want to pull it out.


@jkaen - I don't think you answered my question. Why am I suspicious now when you were defending me day 2? Same goes to injera, actually, because those quotes you just put up are a response to you saying:

There's a broader context here too. Two games ago pindicator specifically made a WTF last-minute switch to avoid getting killed by the wolves, which worked (I think it was the night you and Zak died together.) He did something similar last game which made me argue that we should eat him. And his Merovech vote fits a similar pattern.

I guess it's stupid to have my vote on someone I'm hunting scum with.

Ichabod

And you both double down right after novice votes Gaspar, so I will join him

If forced to pick someone to vote for, right now my gut says pindicator. Probably not a great indicator, but I'm not a fan of how he's been voting. I'm pretty sure he's the most active player to have voted for nothing targets at the deadline, and therefore the most able to switch. But I'm nowhere near confident enough in that to make it official at this stage.

Look at the content of my posts and tell me I'm not trying to help find who the scum are. I'm not the only only who has picked wrong at every turn. If you don't think I'm more authentic then they are then I've let down the village.

[Tasunke]

4 wolves left ...

Jkaen, Novice, Gaspar, and Lewwyn? ;P

(joke)

[Tasunke]

Honestly though, given Jkaen and Gaspar's playing styles, I would be much more likely to believe Novice and Lewwyn's guilt at this time. (even if it IS like Ichabod said, and the vets tend to look like wolves after time)

[Azza]

Look at the content of my posts and tell me I'm not trying to help find who the scum are. I'm not the only only who has picked wrong at every turn. If you don't think I'm more authentic then they are then I've let down the village.

As I said, I'm nowhere near confident enough to even put a vote on you yet, let alone say you're definitely a mafia and park my vote.

[Ichabod]

And you both double down right after novice votes Gaspar, so I will join him

So, Gaspar, Jkaen and Injera are wolves?

[Tasunke]

After rethinking things, I have come to some conclusions.

Firstly I think that Injera is a wolf.

why?

his role is follower, meaning that he can only determine the name of the power used. Seems more like a role-scanner than an investigative role to me. Or namely, something more useful to wolves, perhaps. (unless of course a village follower finds a roleblocker, but in this power-lite setting I find that far less likely than a follower to just find other investigative roles or any protective roles).

One problem with this theory, I realize, is that it would mean the wolves have at least 3 powers out of 6 members. and I honestly don't have a lot of explanation for that ... however given the set up (blood brothers et al) it seems that what powers we do have tends to be skewed in favor of the mafia. therefore, I wouldn't be too surprised.

[Ichabod]

Well, it's hard to believe that the scum would have a cloaker only to protect against a single tracker, so I tend to believe in Injera for now.