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[PB29 Spoiler] In which Joey, then mackoti, swing happy go lucky

T122-T124.

News of the World in Brief (like I actually be brief lol)

Started writing this T122 btw, so if some turn numbers sound off its because of that. (Assume that for the last few pages of posts, plus the rest of this thread too, for what it's worth.)


In no particular order:

Haram

The biggest news recently is that Haram is apparently too busy to keep playing and has recruited a replacement, flagauto. frown This is really disappointing, as I felt we were both redeeming ourselves here for our PB20 disaster and gearing up to have an epic showdown. There, we (well, the blame should fall on me moreso than him) wrecked ourselves from early conflict and we fell behind the rest of the world. Here, we are neck-and-neck and yet leaps and bounds ahead of the rest of the world. Well, alas. flauauto is a decent player but nowhere even close to Haram's level, so I feel like our chances to win the game have increased, not that the Sumerian civ is out of the game by any means. Edit: and the even more recent news is that flagauto might have gone AWOL, immediately after signing up? Realmsbeyond.net, ladies and gents.

A few other bits of Haram news:
1.) It seems he has actually completed Nationalism, one turn ahead what I expected! Taj ETA should thus be about 5-6 turns from now.
2.) He's planted two fillers, bringing him up to 18 cities. We're still up on him by about ~30 pop though, according to the victory screen. 3.) Strangely, Haram built the Hagia Sophia - for apparently *NO* failgold, from what I've monitored of his economy - which was a big shock to me. This honestly feels like not only a big waste of hammers (well, only 200 raw hammers, but still that's a lot - a whole turn of total empire production), but a big waste of failgold potential. I can understand his desire for more worker-turnage, to convert like half his land to workshops, but even still man, you're Productive, why not just build another couple of workers or whatever? And neither Guilds nor Chemistry will come in that immediately for him. Seems like a mistake.
4.) We've been dumping a lot of EP on each other, to the tune of about ~22 per turn. This is my full output, but not all of his:




So, he's probably splitting some on TBS to get his research vis too. IMHO it's best for both of us if we keep dumping EP on each other until we get research vis; we're each making too much eppt for not research vis to be realistic, but neither of us would want the other to have a significant lead.

Dreylin

Dreylin is falling behind in cities, but not CY or MFG, and, more importantly, he is building power, as seen both in his increasingly frequent small-whips and this bump in the power graph:




In addition, I've seen, directly, with my scout, several Praets pop up in his cities, only to disappear from view the next turn. He has but one galley in the north, so I think these sneaky guys are slinking into galleys in the south. An attack on Tsargon thus seems imminent; I have scaled back our infrastructure wishlish a bit in response, and I think its smart to bump Machinery up a bit higher in the tech queue too. We don't want to finish Education right away anyways, don't want anyone else to get KTB on it from us. (KTB is worth over 100 beakers per player on that tech; would be over 200 beakers if this were RtR!)

So, what kind of invasion force could he have, as of what we can see from his power last turn? He's got HBR and Alphabet (14k tech), but I have at least 30 pop on him, so we'll call that a wash. So 57k is what, 3 additional full galleys of Praets? So he could potentially have about 8-9 galleys full of Stuff in total? He'll need more than that to seriously conquer Tsargon, but if he has that in addition to some Knights... he could have a pretty goddamn serious army in as soon as 10 turns.

TBS

TBS is now knee-deep into his first GA. He's already popped a GE, but since he hasnt been running a gold surplus I have been unable to offer him a loan, ugh. If this was an AI-signalling game, I bet I could have figured out some way to commmunicate that I was willing to throw interest-free money at him. Alas. He has still not landed the SP, although I really am expecting it any turn now. The SP is a quite underrated wonder and I'd be really really surprised if TBS did not try to snag it. (Edit: He lasted the SP T124!!! Totally called it! lol 282 failgold, hurray! Might have been able to beat him there, but we have other, more important priorities right now)

On the war front, TBS has taken two of Scipio's 6 pre-war cities, leaving him just 3 on the mainland and the one on his island, which Fennbandit will surely take. Two of the 3 mainland cities seem to be near Haram's island's south coast, from what I can see with my Chariot, although I can't see into them directly, while the last is his capital. Scipio has been whipping like a fucking madman in the last dozen turns. I don't understand why people will putz around forever but then whip themselves into oblivion right before they die. It's a pretty common pattern in these pitbosses. Like, you obviously know how the whip works, so where was this enthusiasm 20 turns ago? Poor TBS. Well, at least he got some land outta the deal; he's also settled 2 more cities in the last few turns, bringing him up to 19, same as us.

Interestingly, it appears that TBS is keeping up with tech fairly well, at least what I can read from the score. A lot of that is the Mids and some of it is his very nice capital, but it can't be all of it. Thus, I'm pretty sure he's used a few of his many great people for their special effects - bulbs, trade missions, etc.

Tsargon

He asked for a 400g for 45gpt loan; I sent it back to him, and then I guess he slammed accept while the game was paused for him? Because suddenly we had 3 loans on the table. crazyeye We resolved it by him sending me 800g for my 90gpt. Anyways, I don't know what he needs this for but I hope its Feudalism so he doesnt get completely chumped by Dreylin.

Borsche

Swapped into Bureaucracy without a GA; I'm sure he'll have Machinery very soon (and in fact may have just gotten it this turn, now that I look at score jumps), and then I have to get psycho-paranoid about our Moai. If it looks like we need to lib Astro, we should def get Optics earlier rather than later to scout out any BUllshit from this noted psychogamer.

Fennbandit

I'm not sure what's happening over here, but these guys are falling behind. On one hand, they've managed to settle 2 more cities, bringing them up to 18, and look to be in 3rd place CY, just behind Haram. So, all that is good. However, their economy has completely stagnated and their MFG is in the fucking dumpster. IIRC, on T100, right before their GA, they were gaining like 140gpt or so, which was the best in the world. 24 turns later, they are gaining... just 160gpt. For reference, we're gaining about 430gpt, not including Tsargon's loan repayment. Not saying that they should be as high as us, especially since we have a lot of gold multipliers, but surely their economy should have grown more than this! I think one of their bigger problems was throwing their first GA too early to swap into Bureau; the other is that they're probably behind on hammers, both in raw hpt and from whips, and thus haven't put up many courthouses.

Well, they'll probably snag some more easy land from Scipio; maybe without a pressing need for a Real War they'll be able to catch back up when the rest of us are spamming troops. They probably should figure out what they're gonna do about Fin vs Pro lategame, how to divide their cities between hammers and commerce or whatever; what I've seen so far is mostly a bias towards commerce, which will destroy them unless they're able to make up some serious ground on tech.

Jowy

Completely quiet! yikes Very low power, lowest power in the world I think. Hasn't thrown a GA yet!

Domestic Update


Well, our empire still looks pretty much exactly the same except with different numbers, so there's no point in showing a global shot. Instead, I'll show city queues from this turn, from before we whipped away 12 pop:

CITIES-SCREENSHOT

Woops I forgot to hit save again, XD. Anyways, we had 152 pop.

Our Infra plan is going well:



(I converted all hammer numbers shown into "base" hammers, which means forges and bureau are factored out.)

Since the last time I showed this, I increased the total hammers to build from 5500 to 5800, then to about 6400. That includes our National Epic, which should be done in, IIRC, T132ish. So, we've actually built about 3900 hammers in 13 turns, for an output of about 300hpt just into infrastructure, not including wealth builds or military units. (built a lotta that stuff too). Going forward, I felt that pushing some of the AP buildings further into the future was a good idea so that we can support more military buildup. The logistics of actually shuffling monks around ended up being slower than my original optimistic estimate anyways.

We've been whipping hard, but I think that the next 2-3 turns will be the last really hard whipping - into buildings, at least - that we'll need to do for quite a long time. I'd rather that we grow into our beautiful tiles... speaking of, by the way, the Fin wharf is a funny creature, at least in fishing villages. It's expensive enough where you want to whip it, but if you whip it there's no point to it. So, it's more like a "capstone" building that absorbs whip overflow from bigger pop whips of other buildings, so that its ready to "coast" (scared) to completion at high fpt and low hpt when all other desired buildings are complete.

At T132, we'll add grocers, universities, observatories, and banks to this list. I think we'll want at most 3-4 groc/uni/obs in our 4 bigtime commerce cities, and then maybe 8? 9? banks at most, plus Wall Street? I don't think we'll have a reason to build Oxford unless we lose out on the Kremlin, but we'll see. So, that's... 2700 total hammers for the fancy commerce buildings, added to 1700 hammers in the "future" column of our wishlist and 600 leftover hammers we won't finish before T132. That's only 5000 hammers in buildings over the next 50 turns in our original 19 cities, about 2/3 of which will be done by the end of our GA. (so, in 20 turns or so) Everything else will be units... lots and lots and lots of units... shifty

Tech wise, we have Monotheism and Paper complete, and 1/3 of Education. T124 we get 3/4 of Machinery, then we go back to pick up Alphabet at 100%, overflowing into Machinery at 100%, overflowing into Education; that should put us around 5/6 complete, with 3 100% turns of tech needed to lib Printing Press(and enough money to get there), at which point we evaluate what tech we should actually use Lib on. We'll monitor people's gold levels pretty closely for the next half dozen turns or so, and by people, I specifically mean Haram and TBS.

We pop our Great Merchant in 2 turns; I'll put him into position to pop a trade mission if we need it. Our GA should be coming T137/T138 or so... maybe T136, not sure if its worth gimping the city pre-GA to fire it 1T sooner. Not soon enough to matter for Lib, at any rate, but maybe for the Economics merchant, if we can finangle that. We shall see...


Demos, Graphs, Counts:


Demos:




Not much to say here. We swap between 3rd and 4th in soldiers with Haram every other turn or so.




CY is still looking very good, considering how much we've been whipping. (which is a lot!)




MFG is still inching up... we'll look very good in 4-5 turns from now, once we regrow onto a bunch of mines and at least a half dozen additional AP buildings finish. And then Haram throws his GA and we again look like garbage. bang

City counts:
19: Us (T98), TBS (T121)
18: Haram (T118), Fennbandit (T122)
16: Borsche (T118)
15: Dreylin (T101)
13: Jowy (T103)
11: Tsargon (T96)
4: Scipio (T121)

Note that Haram, Fennbandit, TBS, and Borsche have each founded a couple more spots recently. We'll also throw down 1 last filler in about 5T, because why the hell not?

Whip Counts:
The Blues Brothers: 140 pop total; 6 triplepop whip, 39 doublepop whips, 43 singlepop whips
TBS: 117 pop total; 7 triplepop whips, 39 doublepop whips, 15 singlepop whips
Dreylin: 80 pop total; 1 quadruplepop whip, 4 triplepop whips, 15 doublepop whip, 34 singlepop whips
Fennbandit: 68 pop total; 1 quadruplepop whip, 8 triplepop whips, 13 doublepop whips, 14 singlepop whips
Haram: 65 pop total; 6 triplepop whips, 19 doublepop whips, 11 singlepop whips
Borsche: 46 pop total; 1 quadruplepop whip, 2 triplepop whips, 10 doublepop whips, 16 singlepop whips
Scipio: 43 pop total; 4 triplepop whip, 9 doublepop whip, 12 singlepop whips
Jowy: 39 pop total; 4 triplepop whips, 8 doublepop whip, 11 singlepop whips
Tsargon: 25 pop total; 1 quadruple pop whip, 1 triplepop whip, 7 doublepop whips, 4 singlepop whips

We're back to a pretty commanding lead in self-genocide, heh. We've whipped 33 pop more than Haram in the last 13 turns, worth about ~1150 extra hammers in total, or 89hpt. However, been making up around 50ish hpt of that in raw MFG, and then some more via OR and cheaper courthouses. So, I think we're about even.
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Oh, one last thing I forgot to mention, from a few turns back: we're not #1 in land anymore, because this happened:




ARrrgh! Haram's Moai/Colossus city expanded 4th ring borders! Both those things are over 1000 years old by now, explaining why the city is gaining like 30 culture a turn according to the Cultural Victory section of the victory screen. Well, we'll get our farm back once Memphis Slim, our future NE site, secures 3rd ring borders...
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T127.

Alphabet came in last turn; here's everyone's tech status.

Tsargon
370 gold
Up: Monarchy, Feudalism
Down: Polytheism, Monotheism, Civil Service, Aesthetics, Literature, Compass, Machinery, Paper

Borsche
45 gold
Up: Monarchy, HBR
Down: Alphabet, Aesthetics, Literature, Paper, Compass

Haram
373 Gold
Up: Monarchy, Theology, Philosophy, Nationalism
Down: Alphabet, Aesthetics, Literature, Compass, Machinery

Wetbandit
42 gold
Up: Monarchy, Feudalism, HBR
Down: Aesthetics, Literature, Alphabet, Paper, Machinery

Dreylin
429 gold
Up: Monarchy, Feudalism, HBR
Down: Aesthetics, Literature, Paper, Machinery

TBS
363 gold
Up: Monarchy, Feudalism, HBR, Music
Down: Monotheism, Alphabet, Paper

Jowy
396 gold
Up: Monarchy, Feudalism
Down: Meditation, Code of Laws, Aesthetics, Literature, Alphabet, Paper, Compass, Construction, Machinery

I think Haram and us are almost exactly equal in total number of beakers researched, which is just a bit mind-boggling to think about, considering how differently we've managed our economies. I bet that, once you factor in his higher courthouse number and better wealth-build potential, our break-even bpt is pretty even as well. Well, we should have a slight edge even there; our GNP are 898 and 903, respectively, and he's gotta have an extra 100-150 culture per turn compared to us, easy. We've also got a pocket Great Merchant we can cash in, although I'm reluctant to do that if we're not ensured the free one from Economics.

Anyways, last turn, Haram lost ~120g while not gaining a new tech. Considering that I think he has, at most, 4 more courthouses than us, this has to be an insane amount of wealth building. His city-count is now even with ours and we're at like -160gpt, which includes the 45gpt loan repayment from Tsargon and about 50gpt in wealth builds. At least 2 of Haram's cities are new and 2 others are fillers:



(I thought this guy was going to snipe some land from Scipio/TBS, but I now think he actually ended up near Jowy, based on what I could see after Tsargon and I traded maps last turn)

We're gaining 800bpt at 100%, for reference, and that number continues to rise every turn as monasteries and libraries complete. I believe that the earliest we can hit Lib is in 4 turns, for Printing Press. Astro would require an additional turn. An attempt at libbing Economics is absolutely not happening unless Feudalism or Machinery disappears from Haram's "can research" tech column in F4 next turn.

Counts and Demos:


Demos:



FOUR TWENTY SMOKE FOODHAMMERS EVERY DAY

I also added an extra 11hpt of wealth building after this screenshot.

City counts:
19: Us (T98), TBS (T121), Haram (T126)
18: Fennbandit (T122)
16: Borsche (T118), Dreylin (T127)
14: Jowy (T125)
11: Tsargon (T96)
4: Scipio (T96)

Whip Counts:
The Blues Brothers: 149 pop total; 6 triplepop whip, 43 doublepop whips, 44 singlepop whips
TBS: 124 pop total; 7 triplepop whips, 42 doublepop whips, 16 singlepop whips
Dreylin: 85 pop total; 1 quadruplepop whip, 4 triplepop whips, 16 doublepop whip, 37 singlepop whips
Fennbandit: 78 pop total; 1 quadruplepop whip, 9 triplepop whips, 16 doublepop whips, 14 singlepop whips
Haram: 65 pop total; 6 triplepop whips, 19 doublepop whips, 11 singlepop whips
Borsche: 50 pop total; 1 quadruplepop whip, 2 triplepop whips, 11 doublepop whips, 18 singlepop whips
Jowy: 45 pop total; 4 triplepop whips, 11 doublepop whip, 11 singlepop whips
Scipio: 44 pop total; 4 triplepop whip, 9 doublepop whip, 13 singlepop whips
Tsargon: 25 pop total; 1 quadruple pop whip, 1 triplepop whip, 7 doublepop whips, 4 singlepop whips

Only 17 more pop to whip over the next 5 turns before our big infrastructure push ends, which is easy.
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T128.

The more I think about it, Haram and I might be in a dead heat for lib. I've become increasingly paranoid about this.

some math on the subject:

On one hand, I somehow miscalculated our own rate to lib, way back like two weeks ago, and we'll end up being just a couple hundred beakers short of a 4T eta. I wish we ran more wealth builds 6-7 more turns ago, but I didn't have time then to pay attention to that as closely as I could have. So, we're 5T away no matter what, including this turn.

OTOH, Haram has sunk, I believe, 2T into Education, and needs 2-4 turns more to finish it. He also already has Philosophy. He only has 250ish gold remaining, which is 2T of 100% research, BUT, if the Taj finishes in the next turn or two, then there is a real possibility of running at 100% science break-even with enough wealth builds during his GA. Yikes.

I'm having trouble predicting how much more Haram needs on Education. First off, I don't know how much overflow he had going into that. Second of all, I'm having trouble estimating his peak BPT. One odd thing to note is that he went from ~900 GNP last turn to ~980 this turn. I have no idea where this extra GNP could come from except from another tech with better KTB? Ours went up a similar amount, but that's because I added like 30bpt in research builds, had a pair of dyes hookups, had another monastery finished, and switched tech to Philosophy, which has a 3% KTB. (worth about 30 more GNP). Haram does not have Alphabet so I don't know what else he could be doing to add this much GNP other than to change techs.

So, if our bpt of 854 translates to 980 GNP, what does his look like? Well, I think he has about 100 culture per turn more than us, for one; I added up ours to 91cpt, but he's got a whole bunch of 1000-year-old wonders, more AP buildings, etc. He also loses 60 less gpt than we do, despite the fact that we still have a net 21gpt coming from Tsargon. Also toss in, maybe, an extra 8ept?

So, for us, we get:

bpt + cpt + ept + gpt = GNP
854*1.2*1.03 + 91 + 24 - 186 = 984

For Haram we have:

? ebpt + 191 + 32 - 125 = 980
1.2*bpt*KTB = 855
bpt*KTB = 712

So, if he actually is research education this turn, he's getting 712bpt, which I do not believe is possible, since he does not have Alphabet for research builds. However, if he's research Alphabet, Feudalism, or Machinery, which each have a 4-civ KTB, he'd be getting 635bpt, which not only sounds more reasonable, but would explain where his extra ~80 GNP came from. In which case, maybe we're ok...

Anyways, losing lib would be a very big deal. First of all, I think this would all but ensure Haram wins all 3 of the Taj-Lib-Merchant trifecta. Combined with his upcoming 36Turn GA, he'll have an unassailable tech lead for a long time, and we'll need to react to that rather than setting our own pace. On top of that, he'd have the option of taking the expensive Constitution with Lib, allowing him to switch into Rep instantly, build a billion jails for EP dominance, be very close to Corporation for even more income, and have a big step up towards AL. The denial value of lib is worth it by itself, in that sense. Liberalism also isn't necessarily an optional tech for us. We need it eventually if we want the Kremlin, which, barring the chance that Haram gets into some catastrophic war with a 3rd party, we'll need to compete against late-game Productive. Both Free Speech and Free Religion are important techs for us too. None of that is in the near term though...
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Haram's Taj finally completed this turn, T131, and he's pulling in fucking 452 hammers per turn already. Cripes.
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ARRRRRRRRRRGGHHHH

[Image: 132.png]

Goddamnit I starved my capital down a half a size for this fucking thing, and I was 1 turn off?!?!! Shit! FUUUUUUCK!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! rant
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at least I got lib in the bag. Goddamn, he built it in his colossus city too. I wish I had a great general, right now I have half a mind to go raze the goddamn fucking thing!!

arrgh, this sucks!!!

welp, and there goes our chances for economics merchant too, Sankore was gonna be the secret weapon that gave us the edge. Woulda already been at like 70bpt. frown speaking of, merchant mission in Fennbanditia abandoned.... 1700 gold woulda been solid and gave us just enough to run down to Econ, but if we miss the free merchant that our GA will be super delayed.
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why does tsargon have multiple gpt deals with you? is he being retardedly paranoid again and paying you for a NAP or something?
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oh, 10T ago he asked for a loan of 400g for 45gpt; I canceled but sent it back to him. When he played again, the game was paused, and somehow he was able to accept 3 times. So, we worked out (including Krill) that he could just send me back 800g for 90gpt. Later on, I asked for a loan from him for 180g for 21gpt and 200g for 24gpt to help secure lib.
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its very boak of you, boak, to notice and comment on the trivial loan repayments, and not the colossal bpt swing between me and the game's only other economic superpower that i circled repeatedly and started cussing and crying about for several paragraphs.
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