WW #43 - The Asha'man

[Rowain]

Well then DP101

[Dp101]

Day 1

I just really want to get to later days when we actually have enough information to start scumhunting in ernest. Although yes, I most likely will go to bed in the next few hours.

Day 2

The others I don't really have a feel on right now. Mostly I just need to organise my thoughts and figure out which scum tells are more important.

Sorry for my poor participation so far, I finally have access to a computer rather than my phone for a substantial amount of time, and I have been waiting for enough interesting things to occur in game to make a decent post. I will start catching up, and then elaborate on my reads.

Further suspects will have to wait until more votes come in, my reads on everyone else are either town (like Gaz) or muddled (like everyone else).

Dp101

That is fair criticism, I have been rather indecisive with my votes and cases. Again, sorry for not having anything stronger, I just haven't really known what to think about the various claims flying around. Also, it's hard to have opinions on people when almost no one responds to anything you post, and all claims that you are scummy have very few specific accusations behind them that I can actually debate.

[Gazglum]

I am suspicious because of your voting patterns. Day 1 you voted Town Adrien and Town Psilly....(as did I). Day 2 you gave Prometheus a town lean.

But I am sorry if you feel people have not been responsive. I will happily respond to you today.

We have 2 scum left. So for you its Rowain, Novice, LEwywn or Meiz? How would you order them?

[Rowain]

You realise that Gazglum claimed Cop? So him voting for you is a rather serious business.

[novice]

Dp101.

Given Jabbz' (and Rowain's) clarification it would be a negative free roll for Zak to hide behind Jkaen. He was cleared not only via the mason claim, it also seems Zak hid behind him on N1.

I have a feeling that Jkaen is town, but it would be nice to have that confirmed by a power role.

Speaking of power roles, here's my thoughts on how we can best leverage them.

In general, remember to not target Rowain with anything unless you really really think he's lying.

Doctor - try to predict the night kill, and protect him. Give a solid bias to protecting yourself since every night you stay alive gives us another chance of stopping the kill.

Cop - try to investigate someone scummy, who you predict would also be an easy mislynch.

Vigilante - hold your shot, unless you're feeling very bold. Risky business.

One-shot Vigilante - hold your shot. Save it for the endgame.

One-shot Day Vigilante - congrats on holding your shot today.

Bulletproof Townie - act like you're a cop or something, and try to attract the night kill.

Hider - pick somebody who would be nice to clear, but who you mostly suspect is town.

Watcher - try to predict the night kill, and watch him. (Don't pull a Narkissos and watch yourself.)

Tracker - try to identify who is the least suspicious mafioso and target him. Good luck. Trying to confirm/refute claims about active powers can also be nice, but I don't think anyone has made such claims besides Rowain, and don't target him.

Cop Lover - same as cop.

Roleblocker - I guess you can try to stop the night kill by predicting who might be the scum killer. But this can also do more harm than good, so it's a tough call.

Jailkeeper - like a doctor, but you probably can't self-target. Ideally somebody who you think is town will come out and claim no active power, so you can protect them. Or just play it like a roleblocker, but see above.

Vanilla Cop - same as cop, but also try to predict who might be a mafia goon.

FBI Agent (SK Cop) - same as cop, mostly. Just don't base your reasoning on interaction tells.

Nothing groundbreaking here, I know, but putting it out there nonetheless. For the record, I don't particularly want to be jailed.

So it seems likely that Zak died because he hid behind scum.
Now to figure out *where* he hid on N2.

[Dp101]

You realise that Gazglum claimed Cop? So him voting for you is a rather serious business.

Was I acting like it wasn't? Even town can be wrong however.

[Rowain]

You realise that Gazglum claimed Cop? So him voting for you is a rather serious business.

Was I acting like it wasn't? Even town can be wrong however.

You know what a cop is?

[Dp101]

Novice (not quoting post for purposes of length), is your vote on me unrelated to your post regarding Zak, or are you seeing something I'm not?

[Dp101]

You realise that Gazglum claimed Cop? So him voting for you is a rather serious business.

Was I acting like it wasn't? Even town can be wrong however.

You know what a cop is?

Yes, but even though he is a cop it doesn't mean he scanned me.

[Rowain]

So it seems likely that Zak died because he hid behind scum.
Now to figure out *where* he hid on N2.

That's zak list:

1. Dp101. His contributions are not convincing. Voted for anyone but Prometheus yesterday. His sudden characterization of a couple of Novice posts as "very suspicious" seems extremely convenient. Discarded Mafia Lover, showing that he was willing to play as Mafia.
2. Fenn. Significantly more townish than Dp101, yet still well within the possible scum domain. Good arguments and showing some townish confidence in rebutting Novice's attack, but overall, his analytical play is easy to interpret as scummy.
3. Meiz - Feels pretty townish, but so do the rest of the people on this list.
4. Lewwyn - See above.
5. Novice - Not a lot more townish than Meiz. These spots are pretty tight.
6. Rowain - Feels very much in character as the verging-on-suicidal PGO. I also think scum were taking the bait yesterday and trying to lynch him.
7. Gazglum - Good attacks, and on target with Prometheus. Slight SK possibility, I guess, but then publicly discarding Doctor is asking for trouble.
8. Jkaen - Confirmed townie, in my mind.

Well he would not hide behind Dp101 and fenn. He would not hide behind me . For Gazglum or Jkaen but both were likely NK-targets so I wonder if he gambled with his life there.

From those that remain : Meiz, Lewwyn, novice it is you novice whom he would love to see cleared . You are also the closest to the sure-town end in his list. So I think you would be his primary target.