The best thing about the Horse Archers in this conflict is their mobility lets them cover everything. From 2N of Antietam, they can hit a stack 1NW of C-ville immediately, and anywhere else (including the far east) in 2t. Since Jowy went Phalanx-happy, he's going to be very vulnerable to HAs with his, what, 2 spears? It'll take 3 turns to march from Thebes to C-ville. That's too much time for Spullla to churn out an extra 7 HAs or so.
My call:
Shiloh burns to the Praets (There's no way that won't happen unless Whosit backs out), but no other cities fall.
Post-COWar the tech pace is going to crawl, with Spullla facing massive whips and whip anger (they need to double-whip some HAs or else never get out from their looming happiness crunch), and everyone else struggling financially.
My call:
Shiloh burns to the Praets (There's no way that won't happen unless Whosit backs out), but no other cities fall.
Post-COWar the tech pace is going to crawl, with Spullla facing massive whips and whip anger (they need to double-whip some HAs or else never get out from their looming happiness crunch), and everyone else struggling financially.