I'd question whether Dantski's a "clear second last" at this point (though I'd agree with it immediately after the Indian War). One could make a case for him being as high as fifth place, ahead of slaze and maybe even Whosit. The former looks quite likely to soon be more badly crippled than Jowy was. The latter has wrecked his economy fighting too many wars; he has almost zero chance of remaining relevant once crossbows and maces render the Praets obsolete.
I'd rank his options at the flip as so:
Best: Hit HRE immediately and work closely with India. Absorbing HRE territory would turn him into a major power, and he'd be very well positioned for a second-place finish as India's primary ally.
Average: Switch sides, but don't hit HRE and don't make any attempt to work with India. Results in him being an also-ran whose best hope to improve his finish from sixth is that the stronger civs will continue to have higher-priority targets than him. This is, of course, what he ended up doing.
Worst: Stick with the CoW. Some added damage would have been done to India, but in the end he'd likely have gotten it worse than they did.
I'd rank his options at the flip as so:
Best: Hit HRE immediately and work closely with India. Absorbing HRE territory would turn him into a major power, and he'd be very well positioned for a second-place finish as India's primary ally.
Average: Switch sides, but don't hit HRE and don't make any attempt to work with India. Results in him being an also-ran whose best hope to improve his finish from sixth is that the stronger civs will continue to have higher-priority targets than him. This is, of course, what he ended up doing.
Worst: Stick with the CoW. Some added damage would have been done to India, but in the end he'd likely have gotten it worse than they did.