The next big date for Brexit is December 10th. 80% is pretty good odds.
Crystal Ball should have Senate ratings next week. I think they will have what it takes to put AL at Leans R and say something like "this is one of the hardest things we've had to do at Crystal Ball" (Inside Elections can take the easy way out because they have the Tilt rating which is why I don't like it).
Crystal Ball should have Senate ratings next week. I think they will have what it takes to put AL at Leans R and say something like "this is one of the hardest things we've had to do at Crystal Ball" (Inside Elections can take the easy way out because they have the Tilt rating which is why I don't like it).