GG Rowain, I like the dignified march to the gallows, much more seemly. If it helps, I could see you as a traitor, as well. You weren't going to get any points for busing Scooter Day 3 after your behavior and voting Day 2. We can't all have as spotless a voting record as Superdeath, but you are far too good of a player to have as perfectly awful a set of reads as that.
Just because Rowain is obvscum doesn't mean we should be silent all day, though.
With 17 players, I don't know how fruitful speculation on faction balance is, but it feels like a weird place. My speculation earlier was that if there's a Serial Killer, there could be a 3-man pack with some fairly jacked powers (JOAT is great). Scooter being vanilla wolf torched that somewhat optimistic hope. Could still be so, and that's lovely, but I have my doubts. So what do we have as more likely scenarios? First paragraph is the faction fraction, second is just my free-associating while tired and sleepy.
Scenario 1: Occam's Village
In this scenario, the simplest explanations rule the day. So the kills are from two factions of scum, and last night something blocked a kill. Either my doctor order worked, or a serial killer faction opted to not shoot, or both factions went for the pretty conclusively not-a-wolf GKC. In Occam's Village, there are four wolves (or three wolves and a traitor) and a single serial killer. Because simple.
(In best Occam's Village , Pindicator is the serial killer, who claimed to be the one-shot vigilante because his shooting gave him flop-sweat. He claims to be redirected because he was redirected, or it's one of his superpowers (SK's tend to be brutes with bulletproofing, etc). Occam's Village, Rowain is a wolf who led the passionate charge trying to save Scooter and kill GKC because that's what wolves do. There is one more wolf who Rowain is trying to save, one with some cover who shouldn't be risked in an actual fight that would leave the final wolf obvious. Life is simple in Occam's Village.)
Scenario 2: Honesty Village
In this scenario, we are blessed with that most rara avis, a Real Actual One-Shot Vigilante. As compensation to the poor village for having such a cursed tool, there is only one faction, The Wolves. This is an honest place, so what terminated poor Cyneheard was some kind of JOAT bomb or something. Only the dead know. In Honesty Village, there's something like four wolves and a traitor or five wolves, else this is very anti-wolf setup. It's a weird place, I don't trust it to exist, but with Pin's claim so very specific and no supporting claims, I don't know how else to parse this.
(In this village, I think Rowain is still scum because he's clearly not very honest and that behavior isn't tolerated in this bucolic burg. Pindicator is Realms Beyond's own Rodney Dangerfield, so of course Brick would give the poor man that worst of all roles. Wolves have to have a redirect or jailer, and I got roleblocked as well. This is a lot of unclaimed powers, but with three remaining scum, there are enough to account for it. Uh, in this village we're also at lylo.)
Scenario 3: Packwar Village
In this scenario, there are multiple packs. So two wolfpacks, wolves and a SK/apprentice, something like that. This is a highly lethal setup, but heyo, there's another reason presenting itself for only one nightkill...we wiped out one of the packs.
(In this village, reads are much harder, because factions of scum are hard to sort out.)
Anyone have good other scenarios? Nothing in this thought experiment makes me not still prefer to kill caught scum self-voting.
Just because Rowain is obvscum doesn't mean we should be silent all day, though.
With 17 players, I don't know how fruitful speculation on faction balance is, but it feels like a weird place. My speculation earlier was that if there's a Serial Killer, there could be a 3-man pack with some fairly jacked powers (JOAT is great). Scooter being vanilla wolf torched that somewhat optimistic hope. Could still be so, and that's lovely, but I have my doubts. So what do we have as more likely scenarios? First paragraph is the faction fraction, second is just my free-associating while tired and sleepy.
Scenario 1: Occam's Village
In this scenario, the simplest explanations rule the day. So the kills are from two factions of scum, and last night something blocked a kill. Either my doctor order worked, or a serial killer faction opted to not shoot, or both factions went for the pretty conclusively not-a-wolf GKC. In Occam's Village, there are four wolves (or three wolves and a traitor) and a single serial killer. Because simple.
(In best Occam's Village , Pindicator is the serial killer, who claimed to be the one-shot vigilante because his shooting gave him flop-sweat. He claims to be redirected because he was redirected, or it's one of his superpowers (SK's tend to be brutes with bulletproofing, etc). Occam's Village, Rowain is a wolf who led the passionate charge trying to save Scooter and kill GKC because that's what wolves do. There is one more wolf who Rowain is trying to save, one with some cover who shouldn't be risked in an actual fight that would leave the final wolf obvious. Life is simple in Occam's Village.)
Scenario 2: Honesty Village
In this scenario, we are blessed with that most rara avis, a Real Actual One-Shot Vigilante. As compensation to the poor village for having such a cursed tool, there is only one faction, The Wolves. This is an honest place, so what terminated poor Cyneheard was some kind of JOAT bomb or something. Only the dead know. In Honesty Village, there's something like four wolves and a traitor or five wolves, else this is very anti-wolf setup. It's a weird place, I don't trust it to exist, but with Pin's claim so very specific and no supporting claims, I don't know how else to parse this.
(In this village, I think Rowain is still scum because he's clearly not very honest and that behavior isn't tolerated in this bucolic burg. Pindicator is Realms Beyond's own Rodney Dangerfield, so of course Brick would give the poor man that worst of all roles. Wolves have to have a redirect or jailer, and I got roleblocked as well. This is a lot of unclaimed powers, but with three remaining scum, there are enough to account for it. Uh, in this village we're also at lylo.)
Scenario 3: Packwar Village
In this scenario, there are multiple packs. So two wolfpacks, wolves and a SK/apprentice, something like that. This is a highly lethal setup, but heyo, there's another reason presenting itself for only one nightkill...we wiped out one of the packs.
(In this village, reads are much harder, because factions of scum are hard to sort out.)
Anyone have good other scenarios? Nothing in this thought experiment makes me not still prefer to kill caught scum self-voting.
If only you and me and dead people know hex, then only deaf people know hex.
I write RPG adventures, and blog about it, check it out.
I write RPG adventures, and blog about it, check it out.