sunrise, I've gone trough their thread and tried to find out what the current situation was:
they had at least 22 units available (maybe more, he is showing a stack of 21 which is 2N,3W of Gao + at least one which stands north of Gao) which could reach Gao by turn 226 (from their thread that is the turn the rule-break happened).
Nakor did have 20 units (13 in the city + 6 cannons and a rifle E,SE of Gao).
The pictures indicate that except for 4 cavs all unit standing 2N,3W had their full movement available at turn 225, including 11 cavs.
He posted that he needed 4 cavs to kill the 6 cannons and 1 rifle. He also killed 13 defenders in the city. Counting that together he need 4+13+1 (he lost one battle) = 18
There is one redlined defender in the city left, would make 19 - he had 22, that means they had sufficient force to take the city and kill the cannons on their own.
So only one question remains: Could they reach the cannons without borders popped? Yes they could - they had on turn 225 11 cavs with enough movement to reach 1N of Gao. The cannons are located E, SE of Gao and E of Gao is flatland. With there 2 movers they would be able to kill the stack even without popped borders.
Only question remaining which cannot be answered: Would Nakor be able (and willing) to raze the city if Dantski is not allowed to get defenders in? Though as Spullla did lose only one attacker, they still could at least put around 7 cavs in the city.
And please keep in mind, that is only from their pics. I am not sure if they did not even have more cavs then indicated by the pics (possible, because they talk about 20 I think).
they had at least 22 units available (maybe more, he is showing a stack of 21 which is 2N,3W of Gao + at least one which stands north of Gao) which could reach Gao by turn 226 (from their thread that is the turn the rule-break happened).
Nakor did have 20 units (13 in the city + 6 cannons and a rifle E,SE of Gao).
The pictures indicate that except for 4 cavs all unit standing 2N,3W had their full movement available at turn 225, including 11 cavs.
He posted that he needed 4 cavs to kill the 6 cannons and 1 rifle. He also killed 13 defenders in the city. Counting that together he need 4+13+1 (he lost one battle) = 18
There is one redlined defender in the city left, would make 19 - he had 22, that means they had sufficient force to take the city and kill the cannons on their own.
So only one question remains: Could they reach the cannons without borders popped? Yes they could - they had on turn 225 11 cavs with enough movement to reach 1N of Gao. The cannons are located E, SE of Gao and E of Gao is flatland. With there 2 movers they would be able to kill the stack even without popped borders.
Only question remaining which cannot be answered: Would Nakor be able (and willing) to raze the city if Dantski is not allowed to get defenders in? Though as Spullla did lose only one attacker, they still could at least put around 7 cavs in the city.
And please keep in mind, that is only from their pics. I am not sure if they did not even have more cavs then indicated by the pics (possible, because they talk about 20 I think).