I think with peace for 30 turns due to the friendship with rho I might just push up the Settler to the Jade-Iron-Stone spot visible to the north of the marked out Lake spot. 30 turns is enough time to wall up and settle the Lake city behind it to shorten our supply lines. I'll also have quite a few Ngao by then so maybe the situation looks good enough to DoW rho instead in 30 turns, in which case it's a good jumping point
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