Mr. Cairo PB 53 [Spoilers]

[Mr. Cairo]

Here's a report for turn 25:

I just founded my third city, Josie. I just finished Bronze Working, revealing Copper underneath Peg.

I have 2 workers, with a third on the way. I will then build a few Chariots to go and burn Hippo. I have 40% more power than TBS despite having only 5 Warriors. So I imagine he's running something of a farmer's gambit. Hopefully I'll be able to take advantage. Ideally I'd also have a settler ready to plant on the spot marked over there.

Demos:

[sunrise089]

[Mr. Cairo]

That second Axe was going to be a 1-turned Chariot, and I was going to attack with 1 Axe, 2 Warriors, and 2 Chariots. However, The appearance of that Spear has changed my calculations. What if he'd started an Axe in that city as soon as the Spear was finished? (I'm assuming the spear is newly built, because the power ratio didn't change from last turn even though I built an Axe.)
By the time I get there he'll be able to whip it, and in order to get past an Axe and a Spear, I need 2 Axes. So next turn I'll whip that Axe, and road the tile the newly built Axe is on. The overflow will 1-turn a Chariot, and I'll attack with 2 Axes, 2 Chariots, and 2 Warriors. I was also thinking of trying to keep the city, but that would definitely encourage TBS to try hard to take it back. If I burn it and resettle closer to me, that'll give him an opportunity to resettle in the area as well, and might actually stabilize the border somewhat.

I don't have a demos screenshot, but I'm out in front in GNP, and not last in the other categories. So that's good. Need more cities though. TBS settling up on me like this has really messed up my plans.

[sunrise089]

Good luck. You'll move in four turns?

Are you thinking of settling White Dot if you raze the city?

[Mr. Cairo]

Good luck. You'll move in four turns?

If by move in you mean move next to his city, then yes, 4 turns from then. I'm hoping the Chariots will come as a surprise. He'll see 2 Axes and 2 Warriors and I'm hoping that the most he'll be able to do is get an Axe out. However, I am worried about the worker on that forest. If that chop goes into an Axe, then he might even be able to whip a second Axe. I'm thinking of moving my first Axe up there to threaten the worker's position. But doing that basically guarantees that he'll put an Axe in the queue to whip. What if he's chopping into a Barracks, or a Worker, or a Monument, or a Library? If I show myself early, then those hammers will definitely go into a unit.

If he does get two axes into the city, do I still attack? I think I have to. If I go in with the Warriors first, and don't lose flawlessly, then my Axes will have odds on his Axes. I can then promote my Axes to clear out the Spear and Warriors for my Chariots.

I've been doing a lot of sims of that scenario, and it depends so much on luck. I don't like to rely on luck.

I need to know if he's chopping that forest, or if he's pasturing it. This turn he should be finishing the chop if that's what he's doing. So, if next turn an Axe appears in that city, I have to be ready for 2 Axes. Which means I'll build another Chariot. I have a forest being chopping outside my cap, intended for a Settler, but if I have to, it'll go into a third Chariot, which should be able to reach the front in time.

Are you thinking of settling White Dot if you raze the city?

Yes, I have settlers coming from my cap and second city soon.

[Mr. Cairo]

So that forest hasn't been chopped yet, and he moved his units back. The Warrior that was in the city must have moved away, and he moved the Spear and the Warrior that was covering the worker into the city. He has quite a high power, but this activity makes me think he's worried about something happening somewhere else. I could have moved the Warriors up to threaten the worker, but I think I'd like to continue to appear non-threatening next turn.

[Mr. Cairo]

So I moved in and declared war. That forest the worker was on was chopped. I rolled the turn and an Axe appeared in the city. The city also grew to size 4 so he can dry whip another Axe, so I will be facing 2 Axes. Fortunately I decided better to be safe than sorry and built that third Chariot. It should be enough if nothing else changes, and I don't get horrendous luck.

The attack will go: Warrior v Axe, Warrior v Axe, both times hopefully injuring the Axes a bit. Then Axe v Axe, and Axe v Axe. If I win both or one of those, then we're still good to go, if I lose both, then it's over. One Spear can easily defeat three Chariots with just a bit of luck. But in my sims a victorious attacking Axe gets enough XP to promote, while a victorious defending Axe doesn't. And if a surviving defending Axe is hurt enough, the Spear will defend before it. So I can promote my surviving Axe, kill the Spear, and then my Chariots finish everything off. If by the time I attack he's able to have three Axes and the Spear, or two Axes and two Spears, then I give up. Let's hope he doesn't have the cash to upgrade that Warrior, or have some other unit already on the way. Or Masonry for Walls.

[mackoti]

So I moved in and declared war. That forest the worker was on was chopped. I rolled the turn and an Axe appeared in the city. The city also grew to size 4 so he can dry whip another Axe, so I will be facing 2 Axes. Fortunately I decided better to be safe than sorry and built that third Chariot. It should be enough if nothing else changes, and I don't get horrendous luck.

The attack will go: Warrior v Axe, Warrior v Axe, both times hopefully injuring the Axes a bit. Then Axe v Axe, and Axe v Axe. If I win both or one of those, then we're still good to go, if I lose both, then it's over. One Spear can easily defeat three Chariots with just a bit of luck. But in my sims a victorious attacking Axe gets enough XP to promote, while a victorious defending Axe doesn't. And if a surviving defending Axe is hurt enough, the Spear will defend before it. So I can promote my surviving Axe, kill the Spear, and then my Chariots finish everything off. If by the time I attack he's able to have three Axes and the Spear, or two Axes and two Spears, then I give up. Let's hope he doesn't have the cash to upgrade that Warrior, or have some other unit already on the way. Or Masonry for Walls.

 
So you atack  this turn?or next one?

[Jabah]

the defending axe would have killed both a warrior and an axe, so it should be able to promote ?

[Mr. Cairo]

 
So you atack  this turn?or next one?

Next.

the defending axe would have killed both a warrior and an axe, so it should be able to promote ?

not in my sims, and I'm not sure why. There's not even a glow, so it's not as though the AI is being dumb.