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American Politics Discussion Thread

(3 hours ago)Mjmd Wrote: Did the US / UK invade the Solomans when they signed security agreements with China? Those used to be ours, we should clearly go take them back! China could station nukes there! They could threaten supply lines to Australia! They are building a naval base there.

Aren't you describing the Cuban Missile Crisis?

Quote:I think MOST people when they are talking about reconstruction didn't go far enough are talking about protecting civil rights. I'm not saying there aren't people who say what you are saying, but its far from a majority. I prefer to usually go with what most people say and not to group people into the worst grouping. You often treat a group of people as a monolith and of course the monolith you choose is the worst one (a criticism I've noted before btw).


Most people are moderates with moderate opinions. Extremists are still the ones to watch out for, despite being a minority, because they are willing to fight to great lengths for their extreme beliefs. In the present day, "woke" policies are near universally unpopular, but will never be ditched by the Democratic machine because there are a bunch of extremely woke staffers who refuse to compromise on any of their positions. And you've poured most of your worries into the machinations of what Trump's team could do, rather than the median GOP position of reducing inflation.
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Looks like RCV repeal might fail in AK. Doesn't change me 2026 Senate ratings because Mary Pelota has filed for the House seat in the meantime. This could change but my ratings consider what people say.

Solid: Everything else

Likely R: TX, AK, FL (DeSantis might mess up appointment), IA (DEMs actually have bench here), Edit: KS if Kelly declares, (KY would be here but Beshar said he's not running, Tester also seems unlikely to run for MT)
Lean R: OH (DEMs are going to get good candidate, even if Brown doesn't run, here because the incoming gerrymander is going to kick DEMs out of the House)
Tilt R: Nothing
Tilt D: Nothing
Lean D: NC. If Cooper doesn't declare for this seat it goes to Tilt D, but I'm very sure he will because he declined a VP slot. GA. (If Kemp ruins for this seat or Stacey Abrams ruins for governor a third time it goes to Tilt D. If both happen it is Tilt R).
Likely D: MI, NH (Trump lost here but he's weaker than a generic republican for the NE region), ME (Collins is running, but here margin last cycle was actually very low due to RCV)
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