WW17 - A Game of Thrones

[Tasunke]

Mardoc

[pindicator]

Uberfish, can you confirm the 24-hr no-post for Thanksgiving occurs on this day? East Coast US is 27hrs away from the holiday.

[Tasunke]

doesn't the 24 hour no-post day start 27 hours from now? as u say?

[Azza]

Azza - he's got a mix of good and bad posts, and not many of them. I still REALLY don't like his post where he accused my ability of being a third party, or anyway 'not town', without making a case on me. And his random suspicions thrown on people felt off, too. He also voted for Tasunke day 1, , not involved in the leading candidates at all, which is a popular place for scum to be day 1. But he did vote for TT. I dunno - I think he's my top candidate thinking independently, but no one else seems to agree.

In hindsight, I realise I wasn't particularly clear with that. Before that post, I'd pretty much decided that you were confirmed town based solely on having the double vote, but I started thinking about possible scenarios which could be balanced without you being town. It was meant to be moving you from certain town to leaning town, not moving you into the suspect list.

I could see Tasunke as another survivor/3rd party. Some of his posts have seemed like veiled hints at his character, although if they are the way he's dropped the potential hints is in such a playful and carefree manner that i don't see him in the Serdoa/TT faction.

I dont know that Lewwyn would know that thestick was the SK if he was scum. Thestick arguably didnt know the scum identities: why kill Serdoa if he can't night kill you? Seems odd to give the scum that knowledge in a game with so many factions, although story wise it may fit. Dunno, thats a bit too meta for me.

Azza i have a bad feeling about. That post i quoted almost seems too accurate in hindsight- and we havent seen the same energy or posting out of him since scum started dropping. But back to that post- note how he has gotten the one-in-this-group part right but picks the wrong target. Well, that assumes rowain is innocent
Azza, still having enjoying the hunt and having fun?

I don't think I've really dropped my activity levels all that much, if at all? The lack of an easy way to search a thread for all the posts made by a specific person does hamper my participation a little though. There's too many posts to read through them all to make a good case on people.

On the "one of the four is scum" thing, statistically the probability of all 4 being innocent (if selected randomly) is around 25-35%, assuming 4-5 scum. So it's not really "too accurate" imo, maybe a bit vague from me though. I definitely wouldn't be taking credit for it to prove myself town, when it was meant to be a way to prevent scum from potentially being ignored in the coming days because they were on the block and not lynched.


However, my vote;
Qgqqqqq. He started off the game by voting either for no one to be lynched, or for targets who were nowhere near the block. The next day, after I called him out on it, he started voting for me, only to jump onto Coco late in the day with no explanation why. Yesterday, he votes coco, doesn't say why, changes his vote to me because he doesn't want to kill TT, then switches to zak because he likes Lewwyn's multiscum theory while at the same time saying he hates multiscum theories. It seems like a combo of avoiding thinking for himself, being cautious with his votes and revenge voting to make it look like he's not just a sheep.

[pindicator]

Yeah, that "knew too much" theory lost a lot of steam for me when Rowain flipped town. But I really couldn't remember your contribution at all in Day 3. I'm sure it's in there, I just couldn't recall at all what you were arguing for

[Qgqqqqq]

Azza...your completely wrong in pretty much everything you ve said.

Dont have time, will respond fully later.

[Jkaen]

Love Joff's letter, and am surprised at the scum's target

from my chart I have Rowain voting the stick (gone), suspecting TT (gone), then zak, lewwyn and coco (who most people suspected somewhat at that point.)

Cant see from that why they would rush to kill somebody who may have got hanged soon.

I think today I want to hear much more from Sareln

[pindicator]

Wow, we all have our own pet projects today, huh?
Btw, rereading day 2, and with all the actice defending TT does for coco combined with Serdoa pushing other targets and not even mentioning him, i am pretty sure coco is scum. If he shows up again today i would advocate lynching him.

Lewwyn, what is your reasoning on qgqqqq? He seems pretty carefree in his posting

[pindicator]

Azza! This shit is just uncanny!
You wrote this right after the day 2 lynch

4 dead, all loyal. Not feeling great about our chances right now, especially with another couple of night kills likely coming up. Hopefully there's some scum crossfire in there...

Any future predictions from Nostradamus?

[zakalwe]

Zak-
Why didnt mardoc & TT vote on you yesterday if that is the case? They could haved saved TT and gotten rid of you

That's a good question. I think either it was just because they didn't feel they could credibly do so without tipping their hand too much, or it was because Coco is scum.

Btw, rereading day 2, and with all the actice defending TT does for coco combined with Serdoa pushing other targets and not even mentioning him, i am pretty sure coco is scum.

I agree with this. So on day 3, (either as it progressed, or from the beginning), they decided to bus Coco. Mardoc was extremely quick out of the gate in going after Coco on day 3. If they had managed to lynch him instead of TT at the end, it would make TT look pretty good and me look pretty bad. So instead of turning on me, they were trying to win the votes of the Zakalwe voters. On the flip side, if they had lynched me it would have been pretty suspicious to begin with, and once Coco's alignment became known (through mod-kill or lynch), the game would be up.

That's the best explanation I've got. Perhaps not entirely satisfactory, I concede. But there aren't a lot of feasible scum left IMO, so it makes decent sense to me.

I've got some more standalone scum tells on Mardoc, but I'll get to those later. Early morning here.