WW48: Melllvar's Grand Competition!

[Meiz]

Once again I find myself very interested to see if Commodore & Pindicator are red and Lewwyn is the third

[Gaspar]

If all of them are village, I would have expected CIA, Weeb Fox or Meiz to die as they are highly active players who had little to no suspicion on day 1.  

So Doc, since none of them died, does that mean you suspect one or more of them to be a villain?  If so, Omar, all ears, because in post 608, they were your top three most likely to be town.

I mean, sure they could be. I've been wrong before. Not often, but it has happened. I'm definitely more neutral on Weeb Fox than I was when I made that post, just from sort of reading everything and re-thinking the day.

Also, one would expect the villains to target the most vocal players who are getting consistent town reads. There are a bunch of reasons those kills wouldn't happen. The scum thread can be an echo chamber and they can talk themselves into some stupid shit. The vocal players aren't providing much of a footprint so the scum feel they can skate underneath their pressure. The most likely reason however is that if if the town knows those are the most likely players to be targeted then protection roles also know that. And the most important thing for the scum in the early game is reducing the numbers of villagers relative to the scum. So Gaz seems like a normal target - decent player, didn't shake a lot of trees either way, small footprint, but not an easy mislynch like a lurker or a Rowain/Gaspar mouth gets them in trouble type.

[pindicator]

You don't mention Pindi at all in your initial vote and statement of suspicions here. GES posts a pretty good defense and even claims tracker. You gotta drop him from the wolf lists. So Pindi makes a reappearance, but you say sticking with the day one read? and you brush off his posting today. Very lazy wolf. Today pindi has posted a lot and much of it HAS been productive, but you are disregarding that entirely. Why wouldn't pindi try to scum hunt today if he is actually a villager? Instead you characterize it as distracting and trying to get the heat off. How is posting more and discussing possibilities distracting? He's literally doing what we asked him. Scumhunt.

As far as I can see, Pind has done a long investigation work on me & Gaspar at the time of your post here. He also presented his theory of expected scum behavior and then started to look for persons fitting that pattern (backwards hunting as you called yourself), but was there any results on that? You don't think that would fit as a potential scum play providing content to the game?

Also read Commodore, Gazglum, GES, and now Warriorknight but don't let silly things like facts get in the way of your tunneling. WarriorKnight also fits my earlier theory, btw

[AdrienIer]

Lewwyn, your thoughts on Com and Pind mirror mine yet you vote for me, THEN for one of those who've been on my suspiscion list since forever. What the hell ?

I'm not sure I want to join you on WK now

[Meiz]

To be honest, I don't see from where your sure townread for Commodore comes from, which definitely affects my read on you as well.

[Lewwyn]

Lewwyn, your thoughts on Com and Pind mirror mine yet you vote for me, THEN for one of those who've been on my suspiscion list since forever. What the hell ?

I'm not sure I want to join you on WK now

I can’t tell if you’re scum or not. I’m just going on my gut. My reaction to your post is genuine. Either I’m right or wrong, but I think WK is definitely scum now. I don’t know about you. I keep going back and forth on you.

[Lewwyn]

Once again I find myself very interested to see if Commodore & Pindicator are red and Lewwyn is the third  

I don’t know whether comm is scum or not. I’m reading him neutral right now. But meis you really have been stuck on him and pin basically all day. I mean if you wanted to optimize your time you should have scumhunted around all day and then came back to comm at the end. But both you and Gaspar have just sat on him basically wasting time that could have been spent pushing people and getting new reads. I find it to be pretty suspect.

[Meiz]

Once again I find myself very interested to see if Commodore & Pindicator are red and Lewwyn is the third  

I don’t know whether comm is scum or not. I’m reading him neutral right now. But meis you really have been stuck on him and pin basically all day. I mean if you wanted to optimize your time you should have scumhunted around all day and then came back to comm at the end. But both you and Gaspar have just sat on him basically wasting time that could have been spent pushing people and getting new reads. I find it to be pretty suspect.

It's true my vote is on him, but that hasn't stopped me from commenting rest of the players.

[Lewwyn]

Cynehard (After his post #641 where he raises arguments why he voted for Commodore and encouragement to pressure others, no other analysis about others. I don't want accuse Cynehard of tunneling here, otherwise I get complained by Meiz again for using too strong accusations like in WW 47, but I like to hear more thoughts about others than Commodore from Cynehard).

C'mon. WW47 was one specific read you made that I did not see as warranted to. Yet you were even right of that read in the end. Don't let anything hold back on giving out reads. But of course if I think something is fishy, I will comment on it.

Do you think he’s being more obtuse this game then usual? It strains credulity. Sigh maybe adriens it’s on Alhambram was a good one.

[Lewwyn]

Once again I find myself very interested to see if Commodore & Pindicator are red and Lewwyn is the third  

I don’t know whether comm is scum or not. I’m reading him neutral right now. But meis you really have been stuck on him and pin basically all day. I mean if you wanted to optimize your time you should have scumhunted around all day and then came back to comm at the end. But both you and Gaspar have just sat on him basically wasting time that could have been spent pushing people and getting new reads. I find it to be pretty suspect.

It's true my vote is on him, but that hasn't stopped me from commenting rest of the players.

Sure sure who knows where you’ll end up. I do think that your comments or accusations have less weight when you basically declare at the beginning of the day you’re intended target for the whole day.