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Realms Beyond Werewolf 2 : Game Thread

Well, great. I agree with you Kyan that it is bullshit to change roles in the middle of the game. That just doesn't work I am sorry, even if they are too strong (what probably is the reason for the change).

Instead of proving my innocence Kyan now can only prove that I am not sending PMs to F&I.

Still, I am telling you, you did not see me visiting someone because I am no wolf. And I ask F&I officially to change the rules back (Kyan is dead this night anyway and we all know that) and give him the correct information about Irgy and me. Everything else is in my opinion just unfair on the people playing - no matter if villager or wolf. Everyone played in accordance to what we knowed about this role.
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Kyan Wrote:Also, i really hope i'm not alone in saying that the power roles in this game have totally removed the element of fun. The best way to win involved ridiculous PM circles and leaves the true villagers to either be simple sheep or be shown as wolves.

I absolutly agree with this. IMO seer, fool, devil is all there need to be every additional role unbalances the game and makes it to a pure luck-based game. I surfed the net about this game and the possible additional roles there are and culd believe how many completly idiotic roles there exists.
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I do think the village needed something more than just a seer/baner when there are 6 werewolves. Don't forget, the set-up we have we only get to get 4 decisions wrong all game before we lose. That's not a lot of cushion for the number of players we have. Seer/Baner/Masons and no devil would probably have been reasonably balanced. Seer/Baner/Masons/Owl + devil (and this is all we know for sure - there could still be a godfather/possessed out there we don't know about - pretty much any of the other traditional roles would most likely have been outed by now) is just too much. The first RB WW was my first exposure to this type of game and it looked like a lot of fun. I actually think the biggest reason it looked so fun was that all the village scrying roles were dead on Day 1, so all the team had to go on was reason and building a trusted network as the game went on. This game has not been nearly so much fun, mostly because everything has played out through all these power roles.

That said, its really frustrating that the rules of the game keep changing as we go. I can't say that MJW didn't deserve what he got, nor can I say that the Owl as Kyan described it initially was overpowered. But given that the game, ultimately, is for us, I think we deserve transparency and consistency, and we have not gotten that here.

Onto lynching a wolf. I actually think some of what Kyan has said has a bit to do with why Rowain and to lesser extent Serdoa has a presumption of less than innocence. They've been frustrated at stuff going on behind the scenes. There's a presumption amongst many that I'm part of an inner-circle that I'm not part of, simply because I've gotten a few more crumbs of info from that circle than others, when the game happens to you rather than you play a part in, it becomes incredibly frustrating. I'm not vouching for either of their innocence. I'm just saying it makes it easier to justify the contrarian behavior.

I'm really at a bit of a loss. My other half is reading over my shoulder right and I think I'll share this bit of conversation since its as helpful as anything else I can drum up right now:

Her: So what are you? A villager or a wolf?
Me: A villager.
Her: How do you know that?
Me: The guy running the game told me at the beginning.
Her: Why don't you just tell them that?
Me: Why wouldn't everyone just say that then?
Her: Good point. I wouldn't be any good at this game.

(moments pass as a read through thread)

Her: That guys name is Mr Nice Guy? He's totally a wolf.

So... just sayin' MNG, the wife has her eye on you. (wait, I shouldn't give f&i any ideas, next thing we'll know she'll be recruited to play as secret role - villager's wife: can scry intention based on players username.)

I don't have any better ideas, so for now:

scooter
I've got some dirt on my shoulder, can you brush it off for me?
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Gaspar Wrote:There's a presumption amongst many that I'm part of an inner-circle that I'm not part of, simply because I've gotten a few more crumbs of info from that circle than others, when the game happens to you rather than you play a part in, it becomes incredibly frustrating.
You hit it exactly. This game was fun on Day1 but this strangely fast forming of a block of 5/6 people (all based on 1 owl scan) that is absolutly sure that there is no wolf in them makes me think that there might be more reason for some actions from f&i.

Take just a look at yesterday. Had any other villager than roland argued that hard for a lynching of Sareln instead of uberfish he ould be on the chopping block by now. well in a way Serdoa's currently position is because of that.

I think Ug, Dantski & Irgy made it right. It makes no sense at all to post in this game. Nothing one says or votes for makes a difference. Those included in the group even those slightly outside (Gaspar & Mr Nice Guy) are per se innocent and the others have to take the rope and swing.
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I'm not going to write up a big huge defense of myself tonight, as it appears that either Serdoa/Ug will be lynched today, and I'll probably be one of the candidates on the chopping block tomorrow. Let me at least address a small thing or two in my defense, before I get to thoughts on today:

[later edit: screw it, I wrote up a big defense anyways]

Kyan Wrote:2. The wolves WILL and have sold each other out to try and 'prove' their innocence.

This is certainly an accurate observation, and it's been evidenced first by the fact that Selrahc could have saved Sandover, but voted to kill him late instead, and then furthered by uberfish being the guy who pushed the killing of Selrahc. However, it seems to clash with this:

Quote:[COLOR="DarkOrange"]Probable Wolves

Serdoa
Scooter[/COLOR]

These two should be fairly obvious. I'd mainly point to their staunch defence of both Sandover and Uberfish.


It just doesn't make sense to me why I'm getting pinned down as a bad guy here, for doing the exact opposite of what you just said the werewolves are doing..? Let's say for sake of argument that I'm a werewolf... would I really be that obvious? If things are as you say they are - that I staunchly defended the two of them, then would I really be that obvious about it?

Further though, you are being deceiving in the way you put your words, which isn't too surprising to me since you lied to all of us about being mason so who knows what else you've lied to us about. I never staunchly defended Sandover, nor did I staunchly defend uberfish. I'm not going to run all that stuff into the ground, but let me go through the crux of my thoughts that I developed on each day:

Day 1. I didn't like the MJW/Sandover thing that erupted, and I felt it was too risky to vote for either one. I proposed a very logical plan that would have allowed us to find the true baner within 4 days, all the while avoiding the risk of lynching the true baner. I still insist that my plan made the most sense from a probability/risk standpoint, but in the end we gambled and won. I never staunchly defended Sandover, if you represented me fairly you'd know I was against lynching MJW as well. I was just terrified of losing our baner on day 1, and that is by no means a case of me staunchly defending Sandover.

Day 2. Meiz was on the chopping block today, for reasons I still don't understand. He was the only person I was in contact with frequently by PM, and from things he'd told me, I was highly confident that he was a villager. I "staunchly defended" him that day, and made the case for why the basis for lynching him was flimsy.

Day 3. I voted for uberfish, because I was skeptical of uberfish and the whole owl claim. I was very wrong, but Selrahc had such an overwhelming majority that it didn't matter. Keep in mind, if I was a wolf, would I be so ridiculously obvious as to NOT vote for another WW when he was clearly about to die? I mean why even be so stupid to risk it? I simply had my doubts about the Selrahc thing, so if the thing was a sham, I didn't want the blood on my hands when I was skeptical to being with. Also remember that haphazard also didn't vote Selrahc, and he's someone that everyone seems to trust. But my point is this - if I was a WW, I wouldn't be so stupid as to have it on record that I voted for someone OTHER than Selrahc, when it's not like I could have prevented the thing anyways.

Day 4. I made my opinions quite clear yesterday. I never actually defended uberfish, I just felt that statistically, we were better off lynching someone else that day and then seeing if the WW's would prove uberfish guilty over night - which they did exactly that. I still believe we had two very realistic victims that day, and I rode the train of the guy I felt more comfortable lynching, because I honestly believed the game was imbalanced if there was no fool in the game. Turns out there probably is no fool, but the point is, I was wrong, but I defend the thoughts I shared on that day. As Day 2 proved, we will often develop what might seem like a solid option, only to find out we were dead wrong.

--------------------------------------------

If you find all this suspicious... okay? Just keep in mind, one of the general principles of wolves is that they know exactly who is who, so they actually tend to have fantastic voting records, because they will almost never be accidentally caught with a super incriminating vote. Look at Selrahc and uberfish - their voting records were quite good. Look at Roland who almost everyone believes is a villager - his voting record is awful. I look at that and I see someone who is a villager who has had poor judgment. If you want to find someone who is a werewolf, your best bet is to find someone who is flying under the radar a bit and has a very solid (though probably not perfect) voting record.

Look at someone who posts every now and then, but their posts feel low on content. To me a give-away is someone who will slap down who they are suspicious about but doesn't have much by the way of reasons. I would write more, but this is getting longer than I intended so I'll just give my vote. Ug the Barbarian. I can't remember a single meaningful post of his... He blasted Dantski a bit ago for staying quiet, but the irony is I can at least remember 2-3 Dantski posts that were useful. I can't remember a single one from Ug... He routinely will drop a post saying he suspects someone, but he never has much by way of reason for it.

Contrast that with me. This entire game I've been one of the heaviest contributors. I've routinely gone against the grain and bucked against the "consensus" and I made it no secret that I was skeptical as to how the "trusted group" got so big so quickly, which turned out to be a good skepticism since Selrahc was apparently a part of that group.

I've always developed my own thoughts, explained the rationale behind every person I suspected. Contrast that with Ug, and if you can find a post where he introduced something new to the discussion, well please find that for me.

---------------------------------------

So, in conclusion....


1. If you think I'm a wolf because because of voting record, just remember that one of the hardest ways to catch a wolf (until the very very late game) is by voting record, as they know how to maintain a flawless voting record. My votes were always well defended, and I never just blindly voted for a bandwagon person.

2. I've contributed to the discussion here over and over again, and in the end I believe I have helped the village as a result, and will continue to do so. I believe I am valuable to the villager especially because I'm never willing to take an opinion just because a trusted person said it, but rather examine everything against evidence. Getting to the late game without a seer/baner will actually be quite difficult, and now is not the time to be lynching a villager who has constantly contributed - even if you don't always agree with the conclusion. It's the same thing for a president, you don't want a bunch of yes-men as advisers, you want people who have the guts to go against you if they think you're wrong, because even if you're right, it gives you more information to base your decision off of.

So who would you rather lynch, Ug who has done his best to fly under the radar, or me who has done nothing but contribute all game long, and who has apparently ruffled a few feathers in the "trusted circle." If you think my voting record is suspicious, fine. What's not fine is an agenda of nailing me to the wall because I've been at odds a few times with the "trusted circle" and then looking at everything in a WW light and trying to bust me with it.

I'll won't defend Serdoa - I'll let him take care of it himself. I'm not 100% convinced of his innocence necessarily, but I would be surprised if he is a werewolf.


Edit: One final addition. Please spare me the "wow awfully defensive there, you must be a werewolf!" routine. We all know that's a ridiculous comment to make to anyone, as a villager or a werewolf would both defend themselves, and you know it too.
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Gaspar Wrote:I'm really at a bit of a loss. My other half is reading over my shoulder right and I think I'll share this bit of conversation since its as helpful as anything else I can drum up right now:

Her: So what are you? A villager or a wolf?
Me: A villager.
Her: How do you know that?
Me: The guy running the game told me at the beginning.
Her: Why don't you just tell them that?
Me: Why wouldn't everyone just say that then?
Her: Good point. I wouldn't be any good at this game.

(moments pass as a read through thread)

Her: That guys name is Mr Nice Guy? He's totally a wolf.

So... just sayin' MNG, the wife has her eye on you. (wait, I shouldn't give f&i any ideas, next thing we'll know she'll be recruited to play as secret role - villager's wife: can scry intention based on players username.)

Don't give me any ideas Kyan already hates me soo much cry
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Gaspar Wrote:Onto lynching a wolf. I actually think some of what Kyan has said has a bit to do with why Rowain and to lesser extent Serdoa has a presumption of less than innocence. They've been frustrated at stuff going on behind the scenes. There's a presumption amongst many that I'm part of an inner-circle that I'm not part of, simply because I've gotten a few more crumbs of info from that circle than others, when the game happens to you rather than you play a part in, it becomes incredibly frustrating. I'm not vouching for either of their innocence. I'm just saying it makes it easier to justify the contrarian behavior.

Although you voted for me (you posted after I started writing my novel), I wholeheartedly agree with this paragraph. This has been a strong source of annoyance to me, and in general, this game has been very poorly run. This rule changing stuff for Kyan is especially maddening, and the game has been overly-dominated by power roles and meta-gaming potential power roles - stuff like "is there a fool?" and "is there a fool baner?" and "wait there's an owl?" and "what does the owl do?" and then finding out the answer to the last question seems to have changed a million times, and I'm about fed up with hidden roles at this point. lol Sometimes I wonder if I'm the only one that was told at the beginning of the game that I"m a villager, because it seems everyone else has some crazy role. I would rant even more, but I'll probably save it for post-game discussion. It's just frustrating to have a game that feels like a constant moving target.
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Rowain Wrote:I think Ug, Dantski & Irgy made it right. It makes no sense at all to post in this game. Nothing one says or votes for makes a difference. Those included in the group even those slightly outside (Gaspar & Mr Nice Guy) are per se innocent and the others have to take the rope and swing.

While we're largely in agreement here, I think the idea that nothing anyone says makes a difference is not true. I think the last vote is a perfect case of that. If I had gone along with the train as had been suggested, we may well have missed a wolf and killed an innocent.

Re: scooter's posts - While I am as frustrated by all of this as you guys are, I'm still in it to win it, and being contrary for the sake of it is not anymore helpful than blindly bloc voting. Ultimately, blindly bloc voting in favor the scries was the right play - they're scries. No matter what any of us thinks of anyone's logic, if scries aren't a trump over logic and reason, there's no reason to have them involved.

Scooter also echoed a point I made earlier that voting records, if anything, are a terrible way to judge what has gone on to this point. Not that a villager shouldn't be criticized for crappy voting, but rather that good voting is as likely an indicator of wolf as it is of quality villager. They know more than us, never forget that. The votes tell little anyway:

Day 1: Villager vs Wolf vs Baner - could be illustrative, but its day 1, nobody really knows much of anything, no network has developed, we're all just guessing.
Day 2: Villager vs. Villager - this vote really should just be thrown out, we were all horribly wrong, and the wolves could vote either way and win. In fact, it was to there advantage to keep the vote close, so as to leave another target for another day.
Day 3: Scried Devil in a landslide. Again, not much to glean here.
Day 4: Scried Wolf vs Villager. Again, the swing away from uber came a little too late for a real opportunity for the wolves. If they had piled on last minute and we find out Sareln is innocent, they've basically given themselves away once we do inevitably lynch uber. I'd say the wolves were far more likely to have voted uber early. Also keep in mind they knew all along sunrise was the seer, so that doubt was never in their minds.

So bottom line, there's not a lot to see there. As we get closer to the endgame, voting records will mean more, as werewolves can't take the same chances when their numbers get this. Right now, voting patterns are far more likely to be instructive.

I'm going to move my vote off scooter now, not because I agree with a lot of what he just said (though I do) but because I want to have a think about who's really behaved most peculiarly. This thread really needs a Table of Contents, such a pain in the ass to go back through this monstrosity at this point. I'd like to hear a little something from some of the more anonymous villagers in the meantime.

No vote
I've got some dirt on my shoulder, can you brush it off for me?
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Gaspar Wrote:This thread really needs a Table of Contents, such a pain in the ass to go back through this monstrosity at this point.

Seconded. I think I'd like to play in WW3 if there is one... I just hope the moderator will keep this in mind.
You can get a look at a t-bone by looking up the bulls ass but I'd rather take the butcher's word for it.
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Mr. Nice Guy Wrote:Seconded. I think I'd like to play in WW3 if there is one... I just hope the moderator will keep this in mind.

I'll offer to do that after we finish this one. I'd like to hear more from Ug, so:

Ug the Barbarian
Blog | EitB | PF2 | PBEM 37 | PBEM 45G | RBDG1
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