Posts: 575
Threads: 6
Joined: Dec 2005
Meiz Wrote:Maybe it's time to hurry up a little?
Sandover
Sandover, you are either a terrible mason or a terrible wolf following novice around. Time to go packing. If your imaginary mason buddy feels that you are worth saving, I'll change my mind.
Sandover
Posts: 5,157
Threads: 37
Joined: Jan 2011
Mardoc
Ok, I admit, I almost went with Sareln again, but nobody seems to suspect him!
Post 1 - Votes F&I lynch, Irgy mayor based on Irgys put pressure on suggestion
Post 2 - comment on the F&I self vote
Post 3 - switch lynch to Cull to keep large number of suspect in running
Post 4 - expect wolves to spread votes on day 1
Post 5 - lynch to Pb to get him to post
Post 6 - Lynch to MNG to get him to post
Post 7 - Lynch to MJW on good wolf/ bad villager reason
Post 8 - Then switches to Cull due to silence
Post 9 - novice mayor vote
Post 10-12, 14, 24, 25, 26 - no content
Post 13 (day 2) - admits he suspected bob
Post 15 - Vote on PB due to posts being either defense or jokey
Post 16 - Mardocs 5 WW theory (I think I've picked out the werewolf team: novice, Meiz, Pocketbeetle, Cull, Lewwyn. )
Post 17 - Defends theory, Switch vote to novice
Post 18 - switch to PB
Post 19-22 - theory defense
Post 23 - Asks for Rowains theory
Analysis
Ahh the man with the theory!
Can't really spot a suspicous thing here at all. Early votes were putting pressur eon people to vote. He then came up with his theory and pursued that as well as he could until it was blown out of the water.
Will be interesting to see what he does now, but right now 3/10
Posts: 13,563
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I'm not sure what to think. I don't like the current suspects too much.
Sareln Wrote:[SIZE="7"]End of Day 1[/SIZE]
7v: Cull(Meiz, Roland, Uberfish, Sandover, Mardoc, Scooter, Novice )
Anyone interested in giving Cull a second go? I remind you that Lewwyn saved Cull with a last-minute switch. Alternatively skip the foreplay and go straight for Lewwyn's throat?
I have to run.
Posts: 1,386
Threads: 8
Joined: Jan 2010
novice Wrote:Alternatively skip the foreplay and go straight for Lewwyn's throat? Very tempting.
I think at the moment, the assumption is that he's playing so bad that he simply can't be a wolf. Unfortunately that's backed up by his behaviour in WW2.
Is he smart enough to realise that and build upon it as a werewolf?
Dunno.
Jkaen Wrote:Mardoc
Will be interesting to see what he does now, but right now 3/10 3/10 despite not having posted anything in 2 days?
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Threads: 37
Joined: Jan 2011
MJW
Almost skipped him, since it was such an early and sure lynch, but maybe there is something to be found? Will just pick out key bits though.
Early suspect of Irgy as a wolf. switched to F&I rather than Meiz to try and save himself. Later states he suspects F&I, Lewwyn and Bob. Switched to Lewwyn when F&I bandwagon collapsed
Cant read too much into it all, as it was so early (and at least one is wrong)
Serdoa
Post 1 - Rowain RP lynch
Post 2, 4, 7 - MJW lynch from WW2 experience. later supports this
Post 3 - states wolf mayor isnt as risky this game
Post 5-6,8,15,16,21,22 - no content
Post 9 - Stays on MJW, but suspects Novice and Rowain for bandwagon starting
Post 10-13 - wants mayor to make decision
Post 14 - stating to rowain wolves would not gamble one of their own on day 1
Post 17 - joke Sareln lynch
Post 18 - Roland lynch due to change of writing style from WW2
Post 19 - Chooses to switch to novice over PB (doesnt see silence as supicous, novice lynch says more)
Post 20 - Switch to Rowain due to unclear PB crusade
Post 23-27 - Suggests we lynch Rowain, if wrong we get PB and if PB is wolf then me due to my switching. Is still suspicious of Cull. Then goes on to support the rowain lynch
Post 28 - Happy voting for PB if everybody agrees to hit Rowain should PB prove innocent
Analysis
Nothing jumps out too strong, fairly floaty day 1 voting, early suspicion of novice and rowain, who he then jumps on and becomes PBs biggest supporter in the counter-crusade.
Only potential thing I see is the last post, which should Rowain be a misguided villager and Serdoa a wolf means they can orchastrate villager lynches 2 days running.
I am fairly indifferent, but probably fall just on the villager side this time, so 5/10
Posts: 5,157
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Joined: Jan 2011
Quote:3/10 despite not having posted anything in 2 days?
Somebody who was a low poster anyway not posting over the weekend. not that suspicious to me
Posts: 5,157
Threads: 37
Joined: Jan 2011
Fire and Ice
Post 1,3,4,7,8,10,13-17,22,23,25,27,28 - no content
Post 2 - double self votes
Post 5 - PB lynch, no reason
Post 6 - MJW lynch for odd posting
Post 9 - self votes again
Post 11 - Suspects MJW, mardoc, irgy
Post 12 - switch to Lewwyn due to drop off in posts, mayor to brund
Post 18 - MNG vote for low post count
Post 19-21 (day 2) - votes for me for low content posts and voting with him, also supporting the new villagers dont get lynched idea
Post 24 - wanting his vote to count switch to Pb for no reason
Post 26 (night 2) - states he is happy to stay on me
Post 28 (day 3) - votes me
Analysis,
He suggestion I was voting with him was wrong (50% hit rate) and the rest of his argument doesn't wash. He has ALOT of low - no content post for a person using that as a reason. and with self votes, voting Lewwyn when he was asleep etc, his record is bizarre
Generally staying low on suspect lists well, and contributing little to nothing makes him suspect. trying not to let the fact its me he is accusing colour my judgment, but I would put him up at about 8/10 right now
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novice Wrote:I'm not sure what to think. I don't like the current suspects too much.
Anyone interested in giving Cull a second go? I remind you that Lewwyn saved Cull with a last-minute switch. Alternatively skip the foreplay and go straight for Lewwyn's throat?
pocketbeetle Wrote:Very tempting.
I think at the moment, the assumption is that he's playing so bad that he simply can't be a wolf. Unfortunately that's backed up by his behaviour in WW2.
Is he smart enough to realise that and build upon it as a werewolf?
Dunno.
You guys make me laugh.
“The wind went mute and the trees in the forest stood still. It was time for the last tale.”
Posts: 1,311
Threads: 3
Joined: Nov 2009
Meiz Wrote:I'd like to hear his reasons for day 2 votings, because at the moment I see it as an attempt to save Selrahc.
Okay, day 2. Lets see. Gonna need to start with some background information.
There was something fishy about the communication between Pocketbeetle and novice day 1. A comment by Uberfish late in the day made me realise this (I do not remember exactly what he said and I'm not about to go looking for it) as he was pointing suspicion toward novice. It was too late to do something about novice, so I settled for simply moving my mayor vote off him with the intent of having a closer look at him the next day.
The night comes, and novice is seemingly trying to flush out the baner. At that point I decided to try and lynch him the following day, but that never really gained much traction.
Late in the day I have the option to switch to either Rowain or Selrahc, as PB had seemingly avoided death yet again. I was short on time that day. Had I been up to speed at the time of the Rowain bandwagon (i.e. when people started leaving novice in the dust) I would've jumped to PB and tried to push him closer to the others. As it was, though, best I could do was get my vote into action on one of the top two rather than let it die as an effective non-vote. But I couldn't make my mind up.
Out of the two, I felt Selrahc was a slightly better bet for a wolf. However, I also felt that lynching Selrahc would do nothing for my case against novice/Pocketbeetle as a possible wolf pair. Thus, I was indifferent, and decided to continue doing what I had as my main goal that day; putting pressure on novice - this time by giving him an extra vote and thus placing a high level of attention on his choice of target. The fact that it was Rowain at first and later changed to Selrahc didn't matter to me.
I could even try to make a case for novice's late switch being a reaction to said attention; that he felt forced to gain cover by bringing down Selrahc, knowing full well that Selrahc could get lynched even without such a switch, leaving novice somewhat exposed still voting for Rowain. I'm not going to do that, however, because I'm no where near convinced that's what really happened. Plus I find that lynching PB is a much more prefered option this time around, since I'm not buying his act even in the slightest anymore and because killing him will give us a lot more information considering what transpired day 2.
Oh, and I do find some amusement in the way PB followed up novice's latest post. Question is: is PB a wolf trying to tie himself to an innocent so that novice will get lynched after he does, or is that what he wants us to believe hoping such thinking will spare his packmate?
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Ichabod
Ok, this takes me to the half way stage on this little project, I hope these are helpful! (and naughty Sandover for moving up the list and almost making me review him twice!)
Post 1,3,8,22,31,35,37 - no content
Post 2 - Asks for voting to be spread, analyses the MJW posts, states we dont seem to be voting on him due to be a WW
Post 4 - Reviews Bob and Sandover votes, touches on Lewwyn too, but is not too convinced on any
Post 5 - disagrees with reasons for MJW lynch, Rowain for mayor
Post 6-7 - suggests people who want to be mayor are unlikely to be WW and that we should look to the quiet villagers right now
Post 9-11,14-15 - Vote Lewwyn for creating MJW bandwagon, then defends selection/attacks MJW vote
Post 12-13 - question on Roland activity (links to PB, seroda activity too)
Post 16,23 - suggests we avoid last minute switches
Post 17-21 - defends PB against rolands PB-Cull link
Post 24-26,28-29 - suggests the Selrahc linch as experienced player is quiet. post 28 (#640) is the big explanation
Post 27 - Suspicious of me as I joined a voting block after being accused of not doing so
Post 30,32-33 - discusses Rowain/PB issue doesn't take a side
Post 34 - minor suspicion of Zak, but mainly on me for no vote justification and being very defensive not offensive
Post 36 - tries to drum up opinions on zak, Me, Roland, Meiz
Analysis
We have him posting against late switches, which seem to be considered a good way of beating wolves, and a link with PB which makes me suspicious. Set the Selrahc thing going which makes me less suspicious.
Generally acting as a sounding board at the moment, and even though his current theory is against me, its got logic behind it. I think any result on PB would change my opinion quickly, but right now I am going to say villager (4/10)
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