Are you, in fact, a pregnant lady who lives in the apartment next door to Superdeath's parents? - Commodore

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Werewolf 12: Game Thread

Time to play again.

After my last post I landed on Jkaen, perhaps not with enough reasons as I had to finish up my post and make dinner, but I was eager to prod other players besides tasunke and commodore, I got the same queasy feeling in my gut that Ichabod wrote about. We lynch A, then B, and assuredly then we must lynch C, and shit that was the game. I was expecting better from Jkaen than the vanilla thing. But then again, mabye that is just the way it is, simple explanation is of course the right one. I was earlier thinking that there would be a couple vanilla players at least, and that revealing a role (vanilla) would be too helpful to wolves. But with so many roles out here, and a lot of them not that powerful, well no harm in revealing another vanilla. Wolves would still have many targets to choose from. And a vanilla claim might even make them a target as proven villager. If noone reveals, I am thinking there really are no other vanilla villagers. And if so we are left with:
* Commodore is only vanilla villager, he spoke truthfully. NobleHelium dealt out 20 roles and one was left vanilla. Which really is the role of "prepare to be lynched once you are suspected and asked to roleclaim..."
* Commodore is a wolf. He might have a role, or might have nothing. He could not claim his role as it would reveal him to be a wolf or lead to trouble down the line, and/or because he thought there had to be several other vanilla in the game.

Both are possible, is one more likely? There was also pressure on him from day 1, does that tip the scale further in one direction? I'm still unhappy about the "prepare to be shocked" which seemed real. But a tip, if you really are a villager, Commodore, do leave behind more thoughts about how you feel about people. Other people. If you turn out villager we know everything you said was truthful, and mabye we stand a better chance to win in the end. If you are a wolf, well then we might just be able to read enough between the lines to pick out fellow packmates.

Ichabod. (And Tasunke). I did not follow too far into your Tasunke-role-wolf logic before going ...huh? I wonder if anyone else feels that every-other night watcher is unbalanced for the village? Last game I was tracker, with 3 charges, which I used up in 3 nights. If Tas is going to use his power as many times as I did, he needs to survive 5 nights and days. Oh, and if he gets a useful result he can reveal it and die, or keep silent and risk (random) nightkill next 2 nights. (This from a theoretical balancing viewpoint). And not too many games ago, the village had a seer who every &%¤% night could target a player and learn their alignment. Watcher and tracker is a bit weaker than that, surely. Most of the time they will see nothing.
My conclusion: It is not unbalancing to the village.
So the arguement that Tas is a not a villager because he is too awesomely overpowered watcher is weak to me. It is an interesting theory that wolf packs are not just balanced but identical. But even if they both have announcers , which to me actually makes sense even if the wolves don't seem to understand, they don't have to be. I'm still struggling with your guilt or innocense, thought. How convinced are you still that Tasunke is a wolf based on your theorizing? I see it as a possible set-up which is later easy to explain away the result is revealed.

Tasunke: To me a no-brainer to lynch him today. We will learn from night action even if he is a wolf. Still worry about your announcing who you will watch, like I said before, wolves can hog the thread and dispatch a new PM to He in 5 seconds if they see you watch their target. I don't worry too much about the lying bit. But I must have missed something, because people are talking about if commodore is innocent, we lynch Tasunke. Why is that, again? Besides that, there are points against him as well, but there will be a day tomorrow too. For some of us.

I am still unsure about Zakalwe, active at first (to build trust?) then tapers off (to blend in?). Same could be said for Catwalk. Not that I'm the right one to accuse of inactivity, but I see myself going in the other direction...as more people die there is more to talk about, not less.

Gaspar and Lewwyn arguing...I'd agree a bit more with Gaspar there, Lewwyn did act very suspicious on the tie-day, but it might just be a gamer's interest in working out the game's mechanics.

I agree a lot with Meiz and Serdoa so far. Pindicator comes across as sincerly helpful, and Injera and Pling are leaning slightly towards village people.

I still need to look a bit more about those left out but baby wake-up time is upon me again Will surely check in this evening, even though I'll be unable to be on around lynchtime.
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Heh.

Molach: "To me a no-brainer to lynch him today"
should be: "To me a no-brainer NOT to lynch him today"
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(That was about Tasunke. Not lynch him today. Right)
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Molach Wrote:So the arguement that Tas is a not a villager because he is too awesomely overpowered watcher is weak to me.

Ichabod's point was that a villager Tasunke would be watching every second night, and would therefore be hunting the same pack of wolves every time if there are two wolf packs who take turns killing. Therefore it would be unbalancing to one of the wolf packs to have a villager Tasunke.
I have to run.
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I don't understand why we're speculating so much about wolf pack setup with hardly any data points. Molach, I don't think Ichabod was arguing that villager Tasunke watcher would be overpowered. He was arguing that his power (as a villager) would be rendered useless after one pack is down. That's a different meaning of "balanced". I don't really buy his argument, as I find it very likely NH could have made a minor oversight here.
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Catwalk Wrote:He was arguing that his power (as a villager) would be rendered useless after one pack is down.

Not it either. smile

Ichabod's argument does depend on some assumptions, which he lists up himself in his magnum opus.
I have to run.
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Molach Wrote:Lewwyn did act very suspicious on the tie-day, but it might just be a [strike]gamer's[/strike] gambler's interest in working out the game's mechanics.

Fixed. smoke
“The wind went mute and the trees in the forest stood still. It was time for the last tale.”
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Ah, I get it now. Assuming he uses power as soon as it is recharged, only one pack will get watched. Okay that is more understandable.

I have for a while been pretty sure that once one pack is dead, the other pack can kill freely, I looked a bit at the mafiawiki page, and saw an other game with just that rule. Two pack - alternate - one pack - go for it.

It even gives the wolves more incentive to go after each other.

Also did not find any 'tiebreaker' role on the wiki, which might mean there isn't any - He said he was gonna go by known roles. Doublevoter exitsts, but that seemed to give an extra vote, visible to all.
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Injera Wrote:I've been torn on Ichabod all game, as has been stated he's playing a bit like he did in WW7. That being said, his idea isn't non-sensical:

1) At this point, it's not unreasonable to assume Commodore lied about his role, most likely because he's a wolf. (If he has a strong village power role, which I don't think exist in this game, he would have claimed yesterday.)
2) It's possible he did this because both he and Tasunke are wolf trackers, which would indict both if he had claimed that power. He couldn't make another one up in time on the spot so just claimed vanilla villager.

So, if theory 2) is correct then they're both probably wolves, and it wouldn't matter which one got lynched. If the theory is false (Tasunke is a village tracker) then Commodore is still probably lying about being a vanilla villager.

Crucially, the only way Ichabod would go for Tasunke first would be if he was absolutely certain Commodore claimed vanilla to not make trouble for himself and Tasunke. But Ichabod is too smart to think he's certain about anything in a WW game, I think. So it makes sense to hit Commodore, which would be equal if the theory is correct and a better vote if it's false.

Thanks, my friend. At least someone understood what I was trying to say. I didn't know I was such a bad writer, but it seems that 90% of the playes coudln't understand my "very-confusing-almost-worth-skipping-james-joyce-like" posts.
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pindicator Wrote:What I mean is that these ideas are not incompatable

Ichabod could want to save Tasunke and kill Commodore. And they all could be wolves. That's because, like Ichabod said, we likely have 2 packs.

Oh, and Ichabod didn't actually say "let's lynch both of them" until people started voting for him. Just noticed that little detail. Mardoc votes him 790. Sareln votes him 803. Ichabod first says to lynch both of them on 804. Of course, people are on to him. Gotta drop the dead weight.

What does "gotta drop the dead weight" means?

I really hope you are a wolf, Pindicator, because I'm finding some of your comments rather offensive. At least if you are one of the bad guys, I could see your comments justified. But if you are not, I hope you reevaluate how you play games and start thinking a bit more about other people.
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