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Will someone be able to pick up some slack for me and post the day 4 voting? Maybe you can Sareln? I'm off visiting my little brother -- his birthday this weekend -- and did not bring my laptop that has the spreadsheet.
Suffer Game Sicko
Dodo Tier Player
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I didnt have much time yesterday, but today I should be able to review properly. I expect I will end up on Mardoc, but want to review things again first
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I'm feeling a bit uneasy about this Mardoc landslide. We've seen villagers give up easily before. I don't have time to gather the quotes right now (I marked the posts so I can go grab them tomorrow if needed), but here's the thing:
Day 1 & early Day 2 he's pretty aggressive against Commodore, especially in pointing out that he was obviously paying close attention to the game but not contributing anything. That was actually the argument that really got me thinking of Commodore as a wolf. Doesn't seem like a black wolf thing to do.
He was also the first person to call out MNG for the contradiction between "combine our votes" and "new vote on Bigger," and laid out a pretty decent case for him as the votes were starting to move, which doesn't feel particularly white wolfish either. I guess the case might not be evidence since MNG had apparently stopped trying at that point, but he was still fighting when Mardoc called him on Bigger.
Sorry if this isn't too coherent, I'm sleepy but I wanted to get this out before I went to bed.
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Mardoc started with small suspicion: http://realmsbeyond.net/forums/showpost....tcount=112
But pushed hard on pling: http://realmsbeyond.net/forums/showpost....tcount=105
http://realmsbeyond.net/forums/showpost....tcount=114
He jumped on Pindicator after Ichabod and me, http://realmsbeyond.net/forums/showpost....tcount=233
Very minor suspicion against MNG, http://realmsbeyond.net/forums/showpost....tcount=246
Votes at this point where:
Rowain (5) - Serdoa, zakalwe, Gaspar, Catwalk, Novice
Commodore (4) - Jkaen, Lewwyn, uberfish, pling
Mr. Nice Guy (3) - Injera, Rowain, Pindicator
Pindicator (3) - Ichabod, Meiz, Mardoc
Tasunke (2) - Mr. Nice Guy, Commodore
Ichabod (2) - Sareln, Tasunke
Molach (1) - Bigger
After MNG is clearly going down, Mardoc makes the big case against MNG, http://realmsbeyond.net/forums/showpost....tcount=265
(still voting Pindicator)
MNG is collecting even more votes, so Mardoc follows with his own vote (after uberfish said that he should just vote), http://realmsbeyond.net/forums/showthrea...post240663
So in summary, I see Mardoc trying to deflect attention elsewhere while keeping the back door open with minor suspicion against MNG. Later when his death is apparent, he makes a big case agaisnt MNG and votes later.
But what is bugging me, it would have been quite natural to vote MNG when he made the big case (bussing wolf partner for credibility). Instead he said "I'm tempted to vote for him, only I don't know that we really want a lopsided vote at the end.". It's a small thing, but still bit strange.
But this "stupid villagers, I give up" attitude is sure making me hard to not suspect him. I think it's quite out of character for him = could be an attempt of reverse psychology. Since wolves would not give up that easily, you know?
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On a different note, Lewwyn pushed really hard on MNG. It's hard for me too see him as white wolf. But he also pushed Commodore, and wanted a tie between him and bigger (says both are his suspects).
He was also picking the (assuming black) wolf announcement apart, http://realmsbeyond.net/forums/showthrea...post241850
Either he came up with an idea to distance himself from the blacks, or he is writing honestly. Leaning towards the latter, in which case I'd not see him belonging to either pack.
Also if wolves have identical roles, his role claim would be a suicide.
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Also if Mardoc is revealed as wolf, then it gives info on Gaspar's role as well. Since Mardoc says he scanned him, Gaspar would either be villager or from the other pack.
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pindicator Wrote:Meiz, what about Commodore's late day 2 votes? Commodore was on the block until that late rush got Bigger tied up with him. If he was looking at providing cover he may have started toward the end of day 2. His day 2 votes were for
Mardoc (413)
Gaspar, Rowain, Ichabod (456)
Bigger (598)
It looks like he's still fighting to keep from being lynched in day 2 despite being down. We know 3 of his votes were against villagers. What do you make of Gaspar, Rowain, and Ichabod being grouped together in one vote by him? It looks like flailing about, looking for a target to stick onto.
I definitely don't see Mardoc and Commodore being in the same pack. Rowain, Ichabod and Bigger are innocents. Commodore started to paint attention on Gaspar already on night 1 (and picked a lot of heat because of it), http://realmsbeyond.net/forums/showthrea...post241024
It could be a distancing attempt, but I'm not seeing strong evidence on it at the moment.
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Meiz Wrote:Also if Mardoc is revealed as wolf, then it gives info on Gaspar's role as well. Since Mardoc says he scanned him, Gaspar would either be villager or from the other pack.
Well for completeness he could be a colluding packmate, too, and it's all invented. Anyway, that reminds me - Is Mardoc telling the truth about night 1, Gaspar?
I have to run.
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Like I said earlier, all I can vouch for is that I haven't done anything any night. So any tracks/watches/follows/whatever would have come up with me sitting in my shanty eating cheetos. Perhaps in Superman underoos, but that's none of your business.
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Here's why I think Jkaen would not be in the white pack. Day 1 votes:
Catwalk (4) - Commodore, Jkaen, Meiz, Bigger
Serdoa (3) - Mardoc, Ichabod, novice
Mr. Nice Guy (3) - Injera, uberfish, Rowain
Jkaen (2) - pindicator, Zakalwe
novice (1) - Gaspar
Gaspar (1) - Lewwyn
Ichabod (1) - Sareln
Commodore (1) - Catwalk
Meiz (1) - pling
Zakalwe (1) - Mr. Nice Guy
uberfish (1) - Serdoa
Then Zak and Ichabod vote MNG, putting him in lead. What does Jkaen do? Switches away from Catwalk to Lewwyn, making MNG in even bigger lead.
And he pushed hard on Commodore (black). I guess he deserves a step up towards the innocents list.
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novice Wrote:Well for completeness he could be a colluding packmate, too, and it's all invented. Anyway, that reminds me - Is Mardoc telling the truth about night 1, Gaspar?
Additionally, on that - we know that Bigger watched me and that he saw someone else watching me. Given his innocence, we can assume this is true. So if Mardoc is lying about watching me, someone else alive knows its a lie because they watched me. No reason for them to come forward, of course. But something to file I suppose.
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