(January 7th, 2013, 16:32)novice Wrote: Btw, you do realize that I'm 100% innocent if Serdoa is innocent, and that Serdoa is quite likely to be innocent? I'd kindly suggest that you focus your efforts on the more likely candidates for now.
Not entirely true. The scum who actually had the card passes it to Serdoa while you claim to have done so. I believe I've outlined this several times (including before it happened, with 'Serdoa' being 'a random villager') as how I'd be progressing from a fake miller claim as scum.
Still think you're overwhelmingly likely to be town, but what happened does actually make perfect sense even if you aren't.
Arguments against
Selrahc appear to be a mix of meta-hate and Ryan flailing. Neither of which I consider good reasons to lynch - Ryan's main value appears to be coming up with completely incorrect arguments have having them corrected (which ensures everyone else is on the same page, at minimum), while I personally consider productive meta discussion to actually be quite useful a lot of the time - especially if we know a reasonable amount about the game set-up, like we do here. No real read here.
Waterbat's claimed bomb, which I'm inclined to put in the villager camp for now, if only because it would be fairly pointless on scum - only possible kill it can activate on is the vig-shot, and they're not going to pass it and risk being hit after it's passed further.
Serdoa is fairly safe town. No-one disputed bulletproof, and I *really* can't see scum voluntarily declining a night kill this early. Probably the closest thing we have to 'confirmed town' IMO.
MJW shot someone who was overwhelmingly going to be lynched, meaning we actually had to engage in discussion for the rest fo the day - and he left plenty of time for us to do that discussion in. I'd say this gives him town leanings, though scum opportunisticly taking out a villager could be an explanation. I'd've been more inclined to save it as late as possible and hit town with a day kill they didn't know was coming to win the game / force MyLo a day earlier, were I scum.
Assuming
Azza is being truthful, his actions make sense regardless of his faction. Village wants the liar outed, because liars are scum. Scum wants the non-scum liar outed, as he's an extremely easy mis-lynch that should gain you slight town cred.
Ryan... while killing him off would make the game significanly easier (and shorter) to read, I don't know that he's doing anything particularly scum-favoured. Unless he's actually completely sane and is just emulating Tasunke for cover
Didn't particularly like
uberfish's initial arguments to get the Tasunke train rolling this morning, but they didn't seem excessively out of character, either. Hence why I went after someone who jumped on that wagon for parroting, rather than the initiator of it.
To be honest, haven't put that much thought into the rest. Anyone comes up with particularly convincing arguments (well, I suppose even remotely convincing would probably do at this stage), give a yell.
For now,
Azza. The claim does not actually give any village lean, given Tasunke's flip, and lockpicks seem to be (meta-wise) significantly more useful for scum to start with.