February 6th, 2014, 15:18
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Ichabod, I agree about N3 targeting. I noticed Merovech's soft claim and thought he'd protect MJW. I said this when I revealed my role.
Good point about N3 bombs. If scum only have a factional kill (as it seems after Catwalk reveal) then Catwalk must have detonated on N3 since there were 3 kills (and 4th by Azarius was blocked). Only max two could come from non-Catwalk targets (scum factional kill and MJW vig).
February 6th, 2014, 15:20
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February 6th, 2014, 15:33
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(February 6th, 2014, 11:36)Ichabod Wrote: Ah, and Qgq vote on Sunrise felt bandwagonny... Though it fits with his Sunrise watch...
Can we get an updated spreadsheet of the night powers? Who Sunrise visited on the last days, I only remember him visiting me, Zak and Novice.
Ichabod (and serdoa for the spreadsheet), I visited you, zak, novice, and then Jowy. After that I stopped visiting. My thinking is with all of the roles out in the open and with my own role confirmed, it wasn't worth either being misidentified as scum if I visited a person who was killed or otherwise falling victim to some other ability that triggered from a visit. That would be different if my ability had served any useful purpose, but nothing was really developing between me and my chat pals.
February 6th, 2014, 15:46
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I'm voting for Mattimeo based on item use and ability use...it seems like you're handwaving away a lot of questions about how those mechanics have functioned.
If Matt can be semi-cleared (for instance by figuring out a more credible explanation than "I used my item to turn my power off") I'd vote Q by default, since I don't think there is any real case on anyone else. But I give more weight to one suspect post plus suspect night actions than the weight of a bunch of emotional posts from Q over the past day.
February 6th, 2014, 15:53
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Ok, after checking I think most likely is that catwalk killed every night the first 3 nights with the 3rd kill on N3 being either MJW shooting or novices ability triggering despite MJW being killed being processed first.
On N4 catwalk was scrubbed and the communists must have targeted someone protected and N5 either catwalk didn't feel like risking it (would make sense, he was discussed at that point IIRC) or he or scum targeted me (I was the only one being protected that night).
In any case, I'd rather not have scum influencing the vote too much and Mattimeo isn't necessarily the best target for today, so:
Qgqqqq
Reason as stated earlier the use of his ability. On top of that if you look whom he used it on, you will realize that it is mostly villagers (with just last night Ichabod and sunrise being real uncertainties, but apart from them and Ichabod on N4 again everyone he watched and watched for is a villager or at least non-communist). I find that a little bit odd. Of course it can be coincidence, but my general feeling is telling me differently.
February 6th, 2014, 15:56
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Ok, than lets pool on Mattimeo. He and Q are equally likely to be scum imo. One point in Qs disfavour is imo that he wasn't lynched over Azza on D1. I still think we might really have had 2 scum on the block, which would explain a few things (for example Azzas reaction to the lynch which might have been just a clever way to deflect attention from Q because his sentence implied that it was pure luck that we got a scum).
Mattimeo
February 6th, 2014, 15:56
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And if someone could make a tally, pretty please? 
February 6th, 2014, 16:05
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Tally as of post 2327:
3 votes: Qgqqqqq ( novice, Ichabod, spacetyrantxenu)
3 votes: Mattimeo ( Jowy, sunrise089, Serdoa)
1 votes: Sunrise089 ( Qgqqqqq)
Voting history:
February 6th, 2014, 16:11
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So we're only missing a vote right now from Mattimeo, which he'd obviously put on Qgqqqq for self defense. So effectively we're at:
4.3 votes: Q (or whatever Matt's TL fraction is)
3 votes: matt
1 vote: sunrise
February 6th, 2014, 16:13
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And that's obviously dumb because Q would vote matt to try and save himself, so:
4.3 votes: Q (or whatever Matt's TL fraction is)
4 votes: matt
Matt's TL vote carries the day. Keep that in mind, fellow Q voters, if you're queasy about that for any reason. I have suspicion enough for either of them to go, but a mislynch today would be BAD.
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