April 20th, 2014, 08:17
(This post was last modified: April 20th, 2014, 08:29 by haphazard1.)
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Hopefully get this prediction in under the wire, just found this whole tournament and have been reading to catch up. Great stuff! Many thanks to Sullla for handling everything, and for fascinating write ups.
Winner: Peter
Runner Up: Zara
First to die: Asoka
Number of leaders surviving: 3
Victory type and date: Diplomatic, T322
Thoughts:
Asoka has the three 'evil' civs around him, and will almost certainly offend at least one of them by planting a city or two in their faces. He will be too tempting a target, and will be the first to go.
I think Zara will find himself at least one religious buddy, and will manage to claim enough land to do well. He will avoid most of the fighting and will end up in second place.
Everyone else will either instigate (Temujin and Qin), get dragged into (Washington, Frederick, Darius), or opportunistically join (Peter) a long series of wars. I think Peter will manage to grab the most land of the 'evil' trio, and due to his placement will end up joining wars started by Qin and Temujin. This will lead to him picking up a good chunk of land without suffering nearly the losses, and he will eventually amass enough population to land a diplomatic win with support from either a military ally and/or a religious buddy.