Going from the sheet Sullla posted up-thread
I believe this is a correct representation of who is rooting for whom:
Outright wins:
Mansa / Zara: Ceiliazul
Sury / Zara: Ituralde
Mansa / Sury: Pindicator
Sury / Mansa: Regoarrarr
Zara / Sury: Sian
Zara / Mansa: Timmy827
Elizabeth / anyone: Refsteel
Ties:
Nobody picked Justinian or Suleiman to win or be runner up, so if either of them win or are runner up, we will have some big ties. Similarly Elizabeth only shows up as the winning pick by Refsteel (see above).
Sury winning with Suleiman, Justinian or Elizabeth - Ituralde, regoarrarr, von Adlercreutz
Mansa winning with Suleiman, Justinian or Elizabeth - Ceiliazul, pindicator
Zara winning with Suleiman, Justinian or Elizabeth - Sian, timmy827
Justinian or Suleiman/ Sury - Bobchillingworth, Pindicator, Sian, Superjm
Justinian or Suleiman / Zara - Ceiliazul, dazedroyalty, Dp101, Ituralde
Justinian or Suleiman / Mansa - Katon, regoarrarr, timmy827
Justinian or Suleiman / Elizabeth - Bobchilingworth, Ceiliazul, dazedroyalty, dp101, Ituralde, Katon, pindiator, regoarrarr, sian, superjm, timmy827, von Adlercreutz
Justinian / Suleiman - Bobchilingworth, Ceiliazul, dazedroyalty, dp101, Ituralde, Katon, pindiator, regoarrarr, sian, superjm, timmy827, von Adlercreutz
Suleiman / Justinian - Bobchilingworth, Ceiliazul, dazedroyalty, dp101, Ituralde, Katon, pindiator, regoarrarr, sian, superjm, timmy827, von Adlercreutz
So basically if you don't already have 40 points (or are named Refsteel), you're not going to win
It was unclear to me how ties were going to be broken, so I will leave that up to our benevolent tournament director...