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Damnit dtay, don't be trying to make me trust you now....
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(March 6th, 2015, 13:07)Jabbz Wrote: Lewwyn even comments that you are the one that gains if Novice pops town.
Can you link me to that? It's not in any of Lewwyn's posts that you quoted there.
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(March 6th, 2015, 13:08)dtay Wrote: Re this and Adrien, I've basically seen nothing today that changes my mind from where it started, probably like 60-40 or 70-30 adrien.
If it's 3-2 Brick with like 10 minutes to go though I'll put my vote on brick just to stop potential scum switcheroo in the ending seconds.
If it's 3-2 on me at the end of the day, how would last minute switching to vote me be any help if you really believe that AdrienIer is more likely scum?
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Ah okay, thanks Jabbz, I had forgotten about that post.
So for you the main decision hinges on if it makes sense for me to play a gambit or not?
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(March 6th, 2015, 13:10)BRickAstley Wrote: Can you link me to that? It's not in any of Lewwyn's posts that you quoted there.
Sorry Brick, you're correct, too many pages of reading too quickly.
(February 27th, 2015, 15:46)Lewwyn Wrote: So if you think its a gambit and you think that Brick is scum who benefits? Gaspar for one. Another big problem with it being a gambit though is that it targets novice. Do you think novice is town?
This is the quote I was referring to.
What I get out of this quote, is that Lewwyn questions the usefulness of the gambit because Novice is obviously scum. With the knowledge now that he is not, it supports the power and justification for the gambit.
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(March 6th, 2015, 13:15)BRickAstley Wrote: Ah okay, thanks Jabbz, I had forgotten about that post.
So for you the main decision hinges on if it makes sense for me to play a gambit or not?
Kinda. Really my problem is that, based on what I'm reading, I'm at a complete impasse on deciding which of you is scum. Going back to early dead townies only provides a little bit of info, because they only had a small amount when they died. So I went to the two most recent. Saul just confused the ever loving hell out of me, so that wasn't much help. Lew on the other hand was pretty clear, though his timing is a bit out of date as well.
I don't trust dtay, and I don't trust sunrise. No help there.
So I make the best shit sandwich I can, and hope to find it's really just strange looking peanut butter.
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(March 6th, 2015, 13:12)BRickAstley Wrote: (March 6th, 2015, 13:08)dtay Wrote: Re this and Adrien, I've basically seen nothing today that changes my mind from where it started, probably like 60-40 or 70-30 adrien.
If it's 3-2 Brick with like 10 minutes to go though I'll put my vote on brick just to stop potential scum switcheroo in the ending seconds.
If it's 3-2 on me at the end of the day, how would last minute switching to vote me be any help if you really believe that AdrienIer is more likely scum?
Anyone last second switching is scum, town wouldn't do that. If the final scum is switching from you to Adrien, then I'm wrong about which of you two is scum. So I might as well lock down the lynch target with some minutes left (if someone switched over to Adrien with like 5 minutes left I would follow them off of you onto Adrien, since that does leave enough time for people to react, I just had to set the timeline SOMEWHERE).
Fear cuts deeper than swords.
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(March 6th, 2015, 13:19)Jabbz Wrote: (March 6th, 2015, 13:15)BRickAstley Wrote: Ah okay, thanks Jabbz, I had forgotten about that post.
So for you the main decision hinges on if it makes sense for me to play a gambit or not?
Kinda. Really my problem is that, based on what I'm reading, I'm at a complete impasse on deciding which of you is scum. Going back to early dead townies only provides a little bit of info, because they only had a small amount when they died. So I went to the two most recent. Saul just confused the ever loving hell out of me, so that wasn't much help. Lew on the other hand was pretty clear, though his timing is a bit out of date as well.
My best interp of Saul is he thinks they're both scum, and then for unclear reasons thinks the more likely independent scum in Adrien, but he didn't explain why.
It is def confusing how he spends a while explaining why Brick is scummy and then concludes "But I think safest to lynch Adrien"
Fear cuts deeper than swords.
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(March 6th, 2015, 13:10)Jabbz Wrote: Damnit dtay, don't be trying to make me trust you now....
Fear cuts deeper than swords.
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But that argument doesn't make any sense.
Why would I bother making up a gambit to nail novice to the wall, if he already looks really scummy? Whether a person is scum or not doesn't matter to scum wanting a mislynch, it only matters how scummy the town perceives them as as a whole.
The only way something like that would make for an effective gambit would be to try and implicate two townies who both looked scummy, so you could mislynch them both before giving up yourself.
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