So the turn finally came to me. This is what I saw at the start:
Moved 1W with the settler and not losing 3-moves here is pretty sweet:
Settled on the hill. Basically I traded 2 grasshills, Pig and Cotton for Sheep and a riverside Wheat. Which is okay because I'm not going to grab Calendar right away - and also, had I settled in place I couldn't get a city near the fish.
2nd city is probably going 1N of the Pig, then it can use capitals Corn. Another possibility is 2S out of Pig. Khazak's borders have popped twice by the time I get my 2nd city so I can work pig even from there also.
There's some potential city sites in the west as well, the southern one is pretty good. Even without border pops it can work Wheat and Sheep from capital and incense and a few mines.
My early tech plan is: Agri -> Mining -> Exploration -> AH/Calendar.
I've simmed this a bit and there are some choices I need to decide on:
#1: Build a worker, grow to size 4 and build one warrior (comes out the same turn as capital hit's size 4), then settler
#2: Build a worker, grow to size 3 (warrior 1t away), then settler
#1 results:
Settler out on T28. 2nd city on T30. Agri, Mining, Exploration and 47b to either AH/Calendar. 2 turns away from size 5.
#2 results:
Settler out on T27. 2nd city on T29. Agri, Mining, Exploration and 24b to either AH/Calendar. 3 turns away from size 4.
Growing to size 5 is slowing settling 2nd city down to T33 with 2 warriors in capital. So that's not even coming into a question.
Comparing the #1 and #2:
Pros #1:
- Faster to happy cap and faster 2nd worker
- Slightly more beakers researched on T30 -> can hook up pig faster
- have 1 more turn done with a non-river farm
Cons #1:
- 2nd city settled 1 turn slower.
Pros #2:
- 2nd city 1 turn faster.
Cons #2:
- no warriors out
- slower growth of capital compared to #1
- slightly worse teching -> pig comes online one turn later
Both #1 and #2 can give me a worker out in 4 turns after settler. Thought #1 gives me a lot more overflow afterwards if I decide to go for a 2nd worker.
Overall, I think I'm leaning towards #1.