Hmmm. Just looked in to see what happened to the last of Gaspar. Seems he burnt the 2 cities and resettled one on the iron. Makes better use of the available land, and gives us a slightly closer border that isn't under too much culture pressure. However I will control one of his second ring tiles for the forseeable future, I'm putting 6 tile culture per turn onto the old Gaspar city site. Doubt he will turn that around until he gets third ring culture in that city himself.
Think this is turning into a 2 horse race now... With myself at 2nd power it doesn't seem like anyone is planning a 'move' any time soon. DZ could have perhaps had a pop back at Drey4E before their Dutch war had ended as they have decent power, but now that would be quite foolhardy. Khmer pretty much have 2 players land whilst in SP so very little extra costs for it. I have a decent amount of cities compared to them and am currently more productive per city being org and with the SoL. I cannot see any of the other players catching us up now easily without a big military push.
I would say definitely it is Drey4Es to loose from here. They have leveraged the philo well for an early boost, and used spi to flit well also. However I count they have used at least 4 GP (eng for taj, 2 artists for communism, 1 GP for second GA) and have a GSpy in the bank. They might find it awkward to get another GA soon even with philo (perhaps) and now they probably will settle into a specific set of civics... It's not like usual where there are a lot of towns to benefit from FS/US, nor are the caps that grand really. It probably has moderate use at best now, although running serfdom with that new land could be good I suppose! I have an outside shot here.
Current guesstimate of win probability - Drey4E 65% myself 25% others 10%
Think this is turning into a 2 horse race now... With myself at 2nd power it doesn't seem like anyone is planning a 'move' any time soon. DZ could have perhaps had a pop back at Drey4E before their Dutch war had ended as they have decent power, but now that would be quite foolhardy. Khmer pretty much have 2 players land whilst in SP so very little extra costs for it. I have a decent amount of cities compared to them and am currently more productive per city being org and with the SoL. I cannot see any of the other players catching us up now easily without a big military push.
I would say definitely it is Drey4Es to loose from here. They have leveraged the philo well for an early boost, and used spi to flit well also. However I count they have used at least 4 GP (eng for taj, 2 artists for communism, 1 GP for second GA) and have a GSpy in the bank. They might find it awkward to get another GA soon even with philo (perhaps) and now they probably will settle into a specific set of civics... It's not like usual where there are a lot of towns to benefit from FS/US, nor are the caps that grand really. It probably has moderate use at best now, although running serfdom with that new land could be good I suppose! I have an outside shot here.
Current guesstimate of win probability - Drey4E 65% myself 25% others 10%