Good stuff! Not much else to say since we hash stuff out over Steam
For the lurkers, I can expand on the long-term conquest objectives a bit:
* Team Balkans is going from Philippopolis to Dyrrhachium and then up the Italian coast to - if available - Rome and Venice. Neapolis is smaller and a harder target so saving it for last
* Team Med has just taken Athens and is about to set sail for Sicily, and from there on to North Africa
* Team Anatolia has secured
Constantinople Miklagard (need to remember to rename that!) and is going to move on to Attalea. After that they will sail for the Med - probably Neapolis?
All subject to change depending on where Norway decides to interfere. They have a settler off the coast of Sardinia that we've been trying to stall a bit. Will enable them to buy troops to attack Italy with. And they've been making a lot of hay over in France and Iberia: looks like Denmark is gonna get hosed again at Cordoba
Norway has basically the whole of those regions - only Narbonne remains for Charlie, Cordoba and Valencia for the Moors, and Arles as an independent CS. It looked like Denmark was gonna get Arles, hopefully that remains the case. Hopefully they have a shot at Cordoba + Narbonne and/or Pisa, too.
There are 12 remaining AI cities:
Attalea - securely ours
Dyrrhachium - securely ours
Neapolis - probably ours, but contestable since we aren't going for it right away
Balarm (Sicily) - likely ours
Al-Qayrawan - maybe ours
Roma - maybe ours
* I would say we have very good odds of getting 1 of [Neapolis, Roma] and 1 of [Balarm, AQ], depending on where Norway spends their energies. Decent odds of getting 3 out of the 4. All 4 is unlikely. Norway's best odds are probably Roma and AQ due to being closer to them than we are. We can try to disrupt their landing in North Africa but it'll be difficult to do for an extended period.
Venezia - probably ours if we don't get both of Roma and Neapolis. Otherwise whoever gets Pisa/Roma has a decent chance.
Pisa - not ours, hopefully Denmark
Narbonne - not ours, hopefully Denmark
* Unfortunately the Danes have had a really bad streak of luck, so I'm not expecting them to pull off both of these. But I think their Army Group which I'm assuming is Arles-bound can roll on into one of them
Arles - probably Denmark. I want to rate it securely Denmark but the Norwegians have been right bastards again and again so who knows what's going over there
Valencia - probably Norway, unless they bypass it to get to the central med
Cordoba - from our perspective it's a toss-up, but I'm giving the edge to the Norskjavlar
I think that totals to ~5 maybe 6 for us, 2 maybe 3 for Denmark, 4-6 for Norway?
Not sure how the exact population will shake out (especially since I can't see the pop for several of the cities) but looks like we should keep pace pretty well. Though unlikely to gain much ground. As of End-of-Turn, we're down by about 500VP:
Our Settler game should be able to catch us up on that!
Gonna be a close one, though. Need to not get outfoxed in the Med, if Norway pulls off a swing of 6 to our 4 or takes Denmark's stuff it'll get a lot harder. Could come down to faith and gold VP? Might be wishful thinking
I know reporting quality has declined again
the backlog just starts to weigh things down, so gonna try and cut that off and just move forward. Will try to go back and fill in the gap of the early ERE conquest but no promises >_>