Good morning everyone! Apologies for not being around yesterday (and it's very concerning for me that no one noticed - how many other people are lurking and getting away with it?).
I think trying to untangle Day 1 when there's a pretty good chance of hitting scum is the productive way to go, though, so that means Comm and Pind deserve the most scrutiny.
Commodore gets my vote - there's just SO LITTLE content there; the lurking concerns also apply. We talk ABOUT Commodore an awful lot but he's hardly saying anything. Untangling Day 1 + hitting a lurker seems like the smart strategy by far.
Commodore's one-line posting style is making it way too easy for him to do things without good explanations. A Commodore re-read just jumps out with how much of our Commodore discussion doesn't involve him at all.
Other people need some pressure/involvement too (note to Jabbz - Commodore is trying really hard to not be useful, that's the biggest reason why there's been a case on him), but Commodore seems like the most useful and most obvious choice today.
And for anyone (mostly Rowain) wondering about the Gazglum-is-almost-certainly-town argument, think through how Night 1 makes sense if he's a) a wolf or b) a non-wolf scum (Traitor, SK, etc):
There was only 1 nightkill, so in order for Gazglum to not be the wolves' kill, two things would have to happen:
1) The wolves' kill would have to be blocked/delayed - sure, that's possible, BUT:
2) then there needs to be an SK kill - also possible, but then that kill needs to hit a wolf who had very little suspicion on him whatsoever? AND the alignment was hidden by either the killer or by Gazglum's ability (a third party's involvement in this scenario is way too absurd for me to contemplate at this point)?
3) The other possibility, that Gazglum was a vigilante target, that's just pure
. If the only dead person had been, say, Pind or Comm - who could have been a viable vigilante target (and notably a very poor wolf target, as they're either wolves or likely mislynches), then I'd agree with the skepticism. But a vigilante shooting Gazglum is absurdly unlikely. Yes, I know we have had unlikely vigilante targets before, but still, this would be a worse kill than any of superdeath's in WW46, including the one where he shot the same villager the wolves did!
If Gazglum isn't town, and it's really hard for him to be a wolf, then he'd either be:
Traitor #2 - that sounds like an awful setup to me. And again you're saying we hanged a traitor and then the wolves ate the other one? As the first two kills???
Serial Killer - well that would be funny and good for us overall, but makes very little difference on how sincere Gazglum's reads may have been - he would probably want to be a good villager or at least good enough to avoid suspicion. Also less likely as SKs often have some sort of defense.
Gazglum was town. Not knowing his role hurts because it would give us some more setup information, but his arguments should be treated as confirmed-dead-townie arguments. If we lose because we treated a 99.5% read as a 100% read, then so be it.
I reserve the right to take back this logic sequence if Rowain turns up as a dead Vigilante or Serial Killer.
