Omar wanted to share a few of his musings in case he not around after tonight.
Omar tracked Bee-Boy. Omar figure if he successfully bodyguards and dies, we can confirm a villager based on his target. Also, Omar not sure how order of operations work, but if Jabbz is who he says, I expect he beholds Omar, and so maybe village gets the information even if Omar gets got tonight.
Omar did not track yesterday for a few reasons. First, limited charges on an ability that seems to increase in power as targets diminish. Two, Omar trying to draw a nightkill on himself. Omar been out of this here game for a long time and so Omar a bit lacking in baselines to read from. Omar figure if he can draw a night kill, village would be better off overall than if some of the better players go down. Additionally, Omar just lacks the time and inclination to "Meiz his ass off," and due to 9-5 reasons, that is about to get a lot worse. If late information affects voting in the future, lets just say Omar often got meetings with lovely men and women in black robes that start a half-hour before deadline. Day at a time if Omar can make his presence heard at crunch time.
But at this point, we on a short clock, with only one more guaranteed night after this one to track before the game ends if Omar's arithmetic square, so at this point, better smoke them Newpo's while you got 'em.
It looks like today likely to be a referendum on Doc. Omar no Mozart. He don't got that perfect pitch like some players here think they do. But while Omar lacks that tonal proficiency, and a baseline to really answer a hypothesis, Omar thinks he is able to posit some decent queries.
1) Let's assume Bee-Boy village. If Doc a villain, would he have gone that hard at him on D1? It seems Q was probably seen as village by the villains. Would Doc draw that much unnecessary attention? If Bee-boy is a villain, Doc's move seems even more unlikely. Someone with a better sense of baseline Doc should chime in here. Omar asked yesterday if a villain Weeb Fox kills Duo Puppet and bright lights his misread, but no one who could make that read seemed to really address it.
2) Would Doc bus Flip that hard D2? This one seems probable to Omar that he might, but others can probably say if Doc arrogant enough to think he and three additional villains could silver tongue a reprieve instead.
3) When Omar assumed Weeb Fox was a villain, it sure looked like Doc and Weeb Fox were going at each other when Weeb Fox was not a threat, but not when Weeb Fox was under the gun, as a misdirect. But now that Weeb Fox village, Omar has not had a clear reinterp come yet. Would villain Doc intentionally pick a scrap with Weeb Fox who was looking likely to be mislynched?
4) Omar still remembers that Flip/Doc back-to-back on Skelly ("Bee-Boy") early D1. A villain attempt to start a train that never left the station on a power player?
5) Omar's notes show that Doc was the leading vote getter at post 116, with four votes. A close read of the votes before and after could be useful.
Omar voted Doc D1, but this is mainly because Omar woke up to an impossible glut of new posts, never caught up, and felt more comfortable leaving it there than joining in on a fast moving situation without any real understanding. But Omar did have his vote there initially for a reason. Overall, Omar think Doc more shady than average this game, but then again, Omar was convinced on Swanson and Weeb Fox too. Batting average feel closer to Bob Uecker than Ted Williams right now. Also, not sure why Omar favoring baseball metaphors. Omar hates baseball. Following the Orioles more of a downer than heroin.
Jabbz is either impersonating a drowning villager or is a drowning villager. Omar not sure. If Jabbz does not behold Omar tonight, that would set off alarms for Omar, given he claims to understand his role now. If he does behold Omar, then I would tend to think he is village, because that role seems fairly useless for a villain. That said, Skelly and others say trying to read the game through meta-analysis like that a fool's errand.
Robot has some odd votes as I already pointed out. Voted Q D1 after saying he thought Q was less suspicious. Voted Swanson D2 when it was clear that train was going nowhere, then a useless late switch onto Flip. Plus he mentioned that Weeb Fox started the Q train in 537, even though Robot was already asking questions about Q before Weeb Fox's crusade, and votes were already on Q. Given Robot has made pretty detailed observations when he decides to, this seems maybe a little shady. Robot's role claim could be true, but is conveniently unverifiable.
Speaking of odd votes, Jerry! voted for Simp D1, Swanson D2, and Bee-Boy D3. That's three for three voting the lowest vote getter. This appears to be time-related potentially. Omar got no clue where Jerry! walks the streets. Omar not one to call someone out for availability, but again, will leave it to those with baseline reads on Jerry! if his activity alone is a tell one way or the other. All things being equal though, Jerry! the last of you players at all entertaining Omar, so Omar would probably tiebreak with a reprieve just so he don't die of boredom reading this thread if it was a close call.
Omar notice CIA really went full spook D3. This was definitely a change in behavior. But Omar thinks this is likely due to the lynch being fairly obvious, and the thread being cluttered up with Weeb Fox rants, most of which were against Kardashian, who flipped village, along with flailing at Omar, Simp, Robot, Doc, Bee-Boy and probably a few others Omar forgot. Omar admits he will need the upcoming weekend to truly catch up on D3 because he was not that engaged in the details either.
Also worth noting that best as Omar can recall, only CIA, Doc, and Jerry! have not claimed. No clue if that means anything at all.
No one expects to die an old man in this here game, so if Omar passes, do not fret. Just make them Barksdales pay.
Omar tracked Bee-Boy. Omar figure if he successfully bodyguards and dies, we can confirm a villager based on his target. Also, Omar not sure how order of operations work, but if Jabbz is who he says, I expect he beholds Omar, and so maybe village gets the information even if Omar gets got tonight.
Omar did not track yesterday for a few reasons. First, limited charges on an ability that seems to increase in power as targets diminish. Two, Omar trying to draw a nightkill on himself. Omar been out of this here game for a long time and so Omar a bit lacking in baselines to read from. Omar figure if he can draw a night kill, village would be better off overall than if some of the better players go down. Additionally, Omar just lacks the time and inclination to "Meiz his ass off," and due to 9-5 reasons, that is about to get a lot worse. If late information affects voting in the future, lets just say Omar often got meetings with lovely men and women in black robes that start a half-hour before deadline. Day at a time if Omar can make his presence heard at crunch time.
But at this point, we on a short clock, with only one more guaranteed night after this one to track before the game ends if Omar's arithmetic square, so at this point, better smoke them Newpo's while you got 'em.
It looks like today likely to be a referendum on Doc. Omar no Mozart. He don't got that perfect pitch like some players here think they do. But while Omar lacks that tonal proficiency, and a baseline to really answer a hypothesis, Omar thinks he is able to posit some decent queries.
1) Let's assume Bee-Boy village. If Doc a villain, would he have gone that hard at him on D1? It seems Q was probably seen as village by the villains. Would Doc draw that much unnecessary attention? If Bee-boy is a villain, Doc's move seems even more unlikely. Someone with a better sense of baseline Doc should chime in here. Omar asked yesterday if a villain Weeb Fox kills Duo Puppet and bright lights his misread, but no one who could make that read seemed to really address it.
2) Would Doc bus Flip that hard D2? This one seems probable to Omar that he might, but others can probably say if Doc arrogant enough to think he and three additional villains could silver tongue a reprieve instead.
3) When Omar assumed Weeb Fox was a villain, it sure looked like Doc and Weeb Fox were going at each other when Weeb Fox was not a threat, but not when Weeb Fox was under the gun, as a misdirect. But now that Weeb Fox village, Omar has not had a clear reinterp come yet. Would villain Doc intentionally pick a scrap with Weeb Fox who was looking likely to be mislynched?
4) Omar still remembers that Flip/Doc back-to-back on Skelly ("Bee-Boy") early D1. A villain attempt to start a train that never left the station on a power player?
5) Omar's notes show that Doc was the leading vote getter at post 116, with four votes. A close read of the votes before and after could be useful.
Omar voted Doc D1, but this is mainly because Omar woke up to an impossible glut of new posts, never caught up, and felt more comfortable leaving it there than joining in on a fast moving situation without any real understanding. But Omar did have his vote there initially for a reason. Overall, Omar think Doc more shady than average this game, but then again, Omar was convinced on Swanson and Weeb Fox too. Batting average feel closer to Bob Uecker than Ted Williams right now. Also, not sure why Omar favoring baseball metaphors. Omar hates baseball. Following the Orioles more of a downer than heroin.
Jabbz is either impersonating a drowning villager or is a drowning villager. Omar not sure. If Jabbz does not behold Omar tonight, that would set off alarms for Omar, given he claims to understand his role now. If he does behold Omar, then I would tend to think he is village, because that role seems fairly useless for a villain. That said, Skelly and others say trying to read the game through meta-analysis like that a fool's errand.
Robot has some odd votes as I already pointed out. Voted Q D1 after saying he thought Q was less suspicious. Voted Swanson D2 when it was clear that train was going nowhere, then a useless late switch onto Flip. Plus he mentioned that Weeb Fox started the Q train in 537, even though Robot was already asking questions about Q before Weeb Fox's crusade, and votes were already on Q. Given Robot has made pretty detailed observations when he decides to, this seems maybe a little shady. Robot's role claim could be true, but is conveniently unverifiable.
Speaking of odd votes, Jerry! voted for Simp D1, Swanson D2, and Bee-Boy D3. That's three for three voting the lowest vote getter. This appears to be time-related potentially. Omar got no clue where Jerry! walks the streets. Omar not one to call someone out for availability, but again, will leave it to those with baseline reads on Jerry! if his activity alone is a tell one way or the other. All things being equal though, Jerry! the last of you players at all entertaining Omar, so Omar would probably tiebreak with a reprieve just so he don't die of boredom reading this thread if it was a close call.
Omar notice CIA really went full spook D3. This was definitely a change in behavior. But Omar thinks this is likely due to the lynch being fairly obvious, and the thread being cluttered up with Weeb Fox rants, most of which were against Kardashian, who flipped village, along with flailing at Omar, Simp, Robot, Doc, Bee-Boy and probably a few others Omar forgot. Omar admits he will need the upcoming weekend to truly catch up on D3 because he was not that engaged in the details either.
Also worth noting that best as Omar can recall, only CIA, Doc, and Jerry! have not claimed. No clue if that means anything at all.
No one expects to die an old man in this here game, so if Omar passes, do not fret. Just make them Barksdales pay.
Completed: SG2-Wonders or Else!; SG3-Monarch Can't Hold Me; WW3-Surviving Wolf; PBEM3-Replacement for Timmy of Khmer; PBEM11-Screwed Up Huayna Capac of Zulu; PBEM19-GES, Roland & Friends (Mansa of Egypt); SG4-Immortality Scares Me
