Sorry, the slower turn pace due to Ichabod taking sometimes more than 24 hours for his turn lead to a delay in me posting my overview.
I like quite some of your points and redecided on where to move my troops midway this week, I will get to that in the report.
State of the Empire:
I think we were up to a quite good start thanks to our position within 4 important early city states and close city placement. However, there are 2 major mistakes I see myself making in this game:
- Getting nervous with Ichabod executing his Wombo Combo
- Fighting the war against CMF at Bruins for way to long
While I could have denied the first by taking Sacred Path instead of my half assed God of Craftsmen, I was worried that he would be running away with the game and I needed to make a bold move myself. The bold move was attacking CMF to conquer, which was swatted away by CMF despite the tech disadvantage. I was completely underestimating the support CMF was getting (I guess roughly 500-800
from all other players and the neck breaking military alliance) and ended up loosing way to much military without making any gains.
Due to this war effort, I neglected the settling of 4 cities, which we will have remedied in 6 turns from now, egalizing Woden's city count. However due to the late settling of these, we are clearly on the backfoot and have to play catch up right now.
Game situation:
While we are not out of the competition, we are in a difficult situation being the only player attackable by all 4 players (well Suboptimal has to go via sea or through Geneva). Luckily Suboptimal and Ichabod have difficult/narrow access only to our lands.
We also have started catching up with settling 3 of the 4 settling spots and still remain competetive in science and culture, however our military starts to be lacking.
As long as Woden keeps our military Alliance protecting our vulnerable NW flank, we are in a good position, however we are about to tie him in cities in a couple turns and I do not expect him to be able to hold more than 1 of Ichabods cities in the long term. In fact he seems to be utilizing his fleet right now to go for San Luis and maybe Venice to raze them as well as razing Recife. This will potentially free him up to backstab us in worst case and we have to prepare for that possibility.
His fleet my turn once around the Pangea and raze all coastal cities it can get to to force a concession
Ichabod has lost 2 cities already, 1 to me and 1 to Woden. Recife was conquered by Woden but is rebelling next turn and I expect him to raze it when in rebellion. He has two more cities in danger of Woden's fleet, one is already bypassed by Woden but I expect San Luis to fall as well. He is still sitting on an extremly productive core though with a couple new cities added in. I doubt that Woden will be able to conquer him on land without a significant technological edge, but he is punishing Ichabods farming game hard, he still has not caught up significantly to Woden in military power.
CMF has had a rough game, mostly due to me keeping him down where possible. I have to compliment his defense against me and I fear what will come next time we attack but he is out of the competition and the question is if we can conquer the most important cities (Bruins and Kings for an Eastern defense) without getting backstabbed or Suboptimal beating us to the punch. We will want at least Bombards and Pike & shot before attacking him again.
Suboptimal has buildered himself into 3rd position, surpassing us because he continued settling while I waffled against CMF. I do barely know anything about his land though, so he might have settled everywhere and is preparing an attack on either me or more likely CMF. At least his military score indicates this. If Woden wants to force a concession, he might be the next target of the 4 Frigate + Frigate Fleet Navy Woden is currently moving around south of Ichabod.
We are not that much in danger by Woden's Death Fleet as we have basically only Alara Kitan in danger of being directly attacked, with EM and its Campus as well as the Campus from GM in ranged attack by sea.
Going forward:
After you mentioning Sao Luis needing naval support to be conquered, I rechecked this and believe you are right. I was moving my units here earlier this week to get a better border with Ichabod and Woden, however we likely won't be able to conquer it easily and I believe Woden's fleet is already on its way here.
Venice was also on the menu, as it powers Ichabod and Suboptimal up right now, but it finished a Musket and with DoF it is way to strong right now for us to attack. These two cities would also be a nightmare to defend against Woden's Death Fleet, so I hope he razes them. We want Venice to die if possible, but we have to look at this later.
So I fully agree to let Woden and Ichabod fight, while we consolidate and prepare for conquering CMF.
Our MA with Woden runs out in 8 turns and I am not convinced he is giving us another one if he can peace out by then with Ichabod. While we have a very defensible mountain range as border, we need to fortify it further and I redirected my units to conquer Vilnius. Last time it build walls the minute before we attacked, I hope it will not finish a Musket in the next 5 turns so we can conquer it succesfully.
The force consists of 2 Muskets, a Ram, a Catapult to become Bombard and 3 MYC. If we manage to conquer it, I want to get the marked encampent down quickly as it controls this area nicely. We later can support here with a 2nd encampment from Cassius if necessary. CF Encampent will help protect here as well and we should even be well defensible here when mountain tunnels show up to the limited space and good encampment coverage.
The NW is a different thing, we are wide open here to Woden, however we could block him nicely at Moria and Bologna if we can avoid him positiong his units way before this. Another city here is possible but would be weak and barely a stepping stone. Instead can use the exisiting rivers as defensive positions and I am speeding up Alliance visibility with trade routes so we can see him moving units up in time.
This will only work if Woden signs up for another MA though, so this will be a big tell on where we have to focus. He probably should not give us another MA, but it is also a 5 strenght swing for Ichabod if he does not keep ours.
Here is the only vulnerable area by sea in our empire, the most painful would likely be the two Campus from EM and GM, however they are both on hills and can be protected against naval assaults by Siege weapons, we just need to make sure to get them here in time. Alara Kitan is the only city we have which is conquerably by sea, it is a good city but we can live with loosing it. Having a state of the Art defender and Siege here in time will be great but of less importance than protecting EM and the Campus.
Isaac will become an encampent to the South to close the mountain pass near bruins, if we can conquer Bruins this will be highly redundant, but if not then it is a necessary precaution.
This is where we should attack as soon as possible with Bombards and Pike & Shot better even Curassiers and more advanced units. We need to execute fast here and avoid Suboptimal getting Bruins and Kings, as these two are immensely important for us to hold as defensive positions agains Suboptimal.
I fear that CMF will throw everything he has at us (justified, we made this game probably unenejoyable for him, sorry for that but I believe it was the right strategy to keep you small, I just wasted to much units in our fight instead of settling my final cities first while pushing for a bigger military edge) opening the backdoor to Suboptimal.
The good thing about CMF cities is that they are all landlocked, meaning safe from Woden's Death Fleet if we should manage to conquer them.
Some answers to your remarks/questions:
I am currently researching cartography as we wait for a catapult to finish at Bortus, as soon as it is ready we will finish Metal Casting and then Printing (boosted next turn) for upgrading our two catapults and another +3 Strenght swing in our direction.
We will need Cartography later as it is a stepping stone to other techs and it is highly unlikely that we will even start a 2nd Harbor anywhere, so that is why I am currently working on it.
EM can run a science project starting next turn to rush for the Scientist, I need to check though if we can still get him with it and how we can best arrange the boosting with the overflow.
Niter wasting was a mistimed policy switch to upgrade the musket for the Vilnius attack, we are going to use 40 more niter for the Bombard upgrades and I started getting Knights and Coursers out to optimize the other resources as well.
We have a big issue with money though, as we need to upgrade units and buy the tiles at Vilnius and Sphinx Paradise (the niter) quickly to lock the campus and the only good production tile down. I have no good solution yet, besides sending our trade routes to Woden to increase our income (and speed up the alliance level development)
What do you think, where should we attack CMF first assuming Bombard and Pike & Shots as the first wave?
I will need to get more Pike&Shots out as well!
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