Turn 176
Hello OH. That Caste swap was slightly unfortunate as well.
91% odds of being able to trigger the GA on T179 now, with the GM from SA being brought forward a turn.
This may seem like a stupidly early usage of a third, and usually final GA, but FWIW, I could get a further 3 GP from the 2 NE cities, and a slow grown GP from SA if needed. Or just get 2 GP from each NE city. So one thing I do believe the new IND can do, is reliably get a fourth GA. I've not used Pacifism, so in a better played game I can see it working.
At this point, the question is how OH defends. The obvious point is that he just needs to scramble whatever land units he can to Constant Sorrow, because FaL falls no matter what he does. The not so obvious decisions he had was what to do with the navy. He has a single turn to stage and hit Sold American to harm my GA plans, but beyond that he can't know how close or how far I am from Frigates. how he intends to position and threaten my coast I can't know, but every additional turn I can delay him puts me into better defensive position to draw him away from his supply lines and then smack him on the nose. I'd need to keep his units outside the western island chokepoints, but do that and I'd be able to group plenty of frigates and construct a real stack. The land attack also puts pressure on OH to not go straight into frigate building, and delaying him positioning and pushing forward. In that sense, the land attack is itself a diversion, and the main aim is not to conqueror, but to not lose units. Given I need to build research to get to Chemistry, those units are not replaceable until the end of the third GA.
By this point I know I'm stuck in a brawl, but brawls take too many turns to reach a conclusion, and Gav is just sitting back and growing, so I stand by my conclusion that this is game over: superjm has to attack me before I can put up a naval screen in the east, but he only has cuirs, caravels and privateers. I don't have any of his graphs though, so I need to get those to adequately understand the threat he presents.
Hello OH. That Caste swap was slightly unfortunate as well.
91% odds of being able to trigger the GA on T179 now, with the GM from SA being brought forward a turn.
This may seem like a stupidly early usage of a third, and usually final GA, but FWIW, I could get a further 3 GP from the 2 NE cities, and a slow grown GP from SA if needed. Or just get 2 GP from each NE city. So one thing I do believe the new IND can do, is reliably get a fourth GA. I've not used Pacifism, so in a better played game I can see it working.
At this point, the question is how OH defends. The obvious point is that he just needs to scramble whatever land units he can to Constant Sorrow, because FaL falls no matter what he does. The not so obvious decisions he had was what to do with the navy. He has a single turn to stage and hit Sold American to harm my GA plans, but beyond that he can't know how close or how far I am from Frigates. how he intends to position and threaten my coast I can't know, but every additional turn I can delay him puts me into better defensive position to draw him away from his supply lines and then smack him on the nose. I'd need to keep his units outside the western island chokepoints, but do that and I'd be able to group plenty of frigates and construct a real stack. The land attack also puts pressure on OH to not go straight into frigate building, and delaying him positioning and pushing forward. In that sense, the land attack is itself a diversion, and the main aim is not to conqueror, but to not lose units. Given I need to build research to get to Chemistry, those units are not replaceable until the end of the third GA.
By this point I know I'm stuck in a brawl, but brawls take too many turns to reach a conclusion, and Gav is just sitting back and growing, so I stand by my conclusion that this is game over: superjm has to attack me before I can put up a naval screen in the east, but he only has cuirs, caravels and privateers. I don't have any of his graphs though, so I need to get those to adequately understand the threat he presents.